UTSA at Rice - 2026 Matchup Preview
UTSA logo   UTSA Roadrunners at Rice Owls  Rice logo
Saturday, October 3rd 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Rice Stadium - Houston, TX  (American Athletic)

 
Roadrunners (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (53 - 26)
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (22 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 4.5 (#37)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
RICE is playing their 5th straight game
UTSA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: UTSA -11.5  (SP+ UTSA -18.5)
Projected Score: UTSA: 34 - RICE: 22 (56)
UTSA Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
UTSA Travel: 186 miles
Owls (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scott Abell (5 - 8)
Avg Score : 19 - 33 (24 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.1 - 8.9 (#88)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 8)
 
UTSA's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 UTSA vs UT Rio Grande Valley-23.5
Sat 9/12 UTSA at Texas State+3.5
Sat 9/19 UTSA at Texas+24.5
Sat 9/26 UTSA vs Colorado State-14
Sat 10/3 UTSA at Rice-11.5
Thu 10/8 UTSA vs South Florida+5
Sat 10/17 UTSA vs Navy-2.5
Sat 10/24 UTSA at Tulane+4
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/5 UTSA at Florida Atlantic-6
Sat 11/14 UTSA vs North Texas+1.5
Sat 11/21 UTSA at UAB-13.5
Sat 11/28 UTSA vs Tulsa-9

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Rice's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Rice vs Houston Christian-9.5
Sat 9/12 Rice at Notre Dame+43
Sat 9/19 Rice vs Western Michigan+6
Sat 9/26 Rice at Fresno State+13.5
Sat 10/3 Rice vs UTSA+11.5
Sat 10/10 Rice at East Carolina+19.5
Sat 10/17 Rice vs Tulsa+5
Sat 10/24 Rice at Florida Atlantic+8
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Rice at North Texas+20.5
Sat 11/14 Rice vs Tulane+13
Thu 11/19 Rice at Temple+11.5
Sat 11/28 Rice vs Army+9

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Rice's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA#31 (.23)45% (35)35.545% (47)2.81 (94)17447% (21)2474.23 (27)#82 (.18)40% (46)28.840% (44)40% (49)4.2 (115)68.70.91.4
RICE#122 (.06)37% (122)19.138% (114)2.69 (114)20533% (132)983.21 (114)#120 (.25)40% (49)32.941% (55)39% (46)3.71 (73)49.50.80.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
RICE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Offense1335.521.745.5%4.230.9224211742475.146%52%45%47%16%.23
RICE Defense1332.93240%3.710.5 - - - - - 49%50%41%39%14%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Defense1328.833.739.6%4.21.4 - - - - - 50%49%40%40%19%.18
RICE Offense1319.123.936.8%3.210.817302205984.170%28%38%33%18%.06

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTSA1331:5121.840%46%7.368.70.91.45.91.8231.8
Rice1332:4317.134%55%4.849.50.80.551.9027
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense1346% (100)45% (47)34.2174.15.121 (49).19 (35)2.81 (94)73% (61)10% (102)1.17 (6)
RICE Defense1349% (52)41% (55) - - - - .16 (103)3.02 (98)64% (23)9% (106)1.17 (132)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense1350% (65)40% (44) - - - - .12 (85)2.86 (62)64% (20)11% (20)0.97 (73)
RICE Offense1370% (4)38% (114)49.8204.84.120 (60).05 (102)2.69 (114)73% (61)14% (134)1 (53)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense1352% (37)47% (21)22.934.4247.27.210.834 (33)7 (34).33 (43)1.5 (96)30% (47)36% (21).45 (21)6% (55)2.2 (15)
RICE Defense1350% (88)39% (46) - - - - - - 3 (100).36 (117)1.9 (134)32% (55)31% (84).43 (123)5% (102)2.5 (135)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense1349% (77)40% (49) - - - - - - 11 (75).29 (85)1.8 (131)35% (18)28% (47).3 (69)7% (20)2.2 (123)
RICE Offense1328% (133)33% (132)11.417.297.65.78.611 (121)4 (7).12 (122)1.7 (28)32% (81)20% (135).02 (133)3% (7)2.1 (41)

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: -3.33  #84
UTSA's Offense Rating: 11.47  #77
UTSA's Defense Rating: 19.80  #95
2026 Talent Rating: 578.00  #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #57
UTSA's 2026 Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5
UTSA's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7  #62
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3  #27
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #91

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 728.49

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA: -3.33   Rice: -11.33

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 3.7   Rice: -14.8




Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -11.33  #117
Rice's Offense Rating: 3.46  #120
Rice's Defense Rating: 21.32  #109
2026 Talent Rating: 570.00  #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #87
Rice's 2026 Expected Record: 3.1 - 8.9
Rice's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8  #120
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7  #119
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #112

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 728.49


UTSA Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7

UTSA's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UTSA 34
Rice 22

Projected Total Points: 56
Rice Scoring
Offense: 19.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.9
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 32

Rice's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11UTSA61Rice13UTSA -8.5UTSA48.5Over
202410/12Rice29UTSA27UTSA -3.5Rice51.0Over
202311/11UTSA34Rice14UT San Antonio -13.5UTSA53.5Under
202211/19Rice7UTSA41UT San Antonio -14UTSA56.0Under
202110/16UTSA45Rice0UT San Antonio -17UTSA53.0Under
201910/19UTSA31Rice27Rice -5UTSA43.0Over
201810/06Rice3UTSA20Rice -1UTSA50.0Under
201710/21UTSA20Rice7UT San Antonio -20Rice53.0Under
201610/15Rice13UTSA14Rice -1.5UTSA52.5Under
201511/21UTSA34Rice24UT San Antonio -3UTSA55.5Over
201411/08Rice17UTSA7Rice -8Rice0
201310/12UTSA21Rice27Rice -4.5Rice0
201210/13Rice34UTSA14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Rice444 Overs
UTSA986 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 47 - 55 - 32 - 2
Road Teams4 - 95 - 72 - 23 - 5

(#84) UTSA at (#117) RICE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUTSARICE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #84 #117
SP+SP+ #62 #120
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #97 #102
Blue ChipsBC% #57 #87
UTSA Notes
(2/17) Vibes: OK, two 7-6 seasons but McCown back
(2/17) QB McCown back (3rd yr starter). Depth is ?
(2/17) New OC Rick Bowie (WKU) runs a fun offense
(2/17) RB good w Henderson + depth. High (Cal) nice +
(2/17) WR Amador/Wilson good start, have depth/portals
(2/17) OL 3 back from good unit, 3 portals w no exp
(2/17) DL 7 portals + 4 w PT exp. Has parts/promise
(2/17) DBs look ?, 4 portals at S, CB needs solid #2
UTSA Injury Report
Rice Notes
(1/29) Staff year 2, unique Gun Option offense
(1/29) QB Brown (UCF) better runner than pass, good fit
(1/29) RB Jackson good LY, 3 RB needed, some depth
(1/29) WR rebuild, Mosey (HC) good add. Must block/run
(1/29) OL 2 FT starters, 2 PT. Has pieces if depth can fill
(1/29) DL lost best DE/DT. Some exp to build on
(1/29) LBs are the size of DBs. Huge ? that lacks answers
(1/29) DBs went heavy in portal, some decent options
(1/29) Def Succ #s LY misleading, torched by big plays
Rice Injury Report
UTSA on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
UTSA OffRICE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #35 #49
ExplosiveExp #23 #136
PPAPPA #31 #120
PowerPwr #77 #109
SP+SP+ #27 #112
Pts POPPO #27 #73
HavocHav #80 #110
UTSA Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
UTSA OffRICE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #47 #55
Run ExplRExp #6 #132
PPAExp #35 #103
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #94 #98
Stuff RateStuff #105 #93
TackleTak - NR
UTSA Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
UTSA OffRICE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #21 #46
Pass ExplPExl #96 #134
PPAExp #43 #117
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #102 #106
DB HavocDB #55 #102
Rice on Offense
Option Offense 71%, Pass: 28%
CategoryCatRICE OffUTSA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #122 #46
ExplosiveExp #115 #126
PPAPPA #122 #82
PowerPwr #120 #95
SP+SP+ #119 #91
Pts POPPO #114 #115
HavocHav #109 #18
Rice Run Game
Option Offense 71%, Pass: 28%
CategoryCat
RICE OffUTSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #114 #44
Run ExplRExp #53 #73
PPAExp #102 #85
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #114 #62
Stuff RateStuff #102 #75
TackleTak - NR
Rice Pass Game
Option Offense 71%, Pass: 28%
CategoryCatRICE OffUTSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #132 #49
Pass ExplPExl #28 #131
PPAExp #122 #85
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #134 #20
DB HavocDB #7 #20
Program Comparison
RICE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

UTSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
UTSA beat Rice last year (61-13)
Rice beat UTSA in 2024 (29-27)
UTSA beat Rice in 2023 (34-14)

  
UTSA's OC Rick Bowie (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Owen McCown27640968%29903077.3
Brandon Tennison203459%199205.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Will Henderson III12586666.959
A'Marion Peterson4917733.614
Brandon High239814.322
Bryson Donnell208414.228
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
AJ Wilson30523417.477
David Amador4544349.845
DJ Allen2018939.543
Will Henderson III1913226.940

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC Jess Loepp (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Tucker Jr.353040
Owen Pewee284061
Marcellus Wilkerson273111
Jakevian Rodgers232004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Baldwin (Tr)236444
James Walley Jr.196202
Marcellus Wilkerson273111
Timothy Huff Jr.31100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jakevian Rodgers232004
Elijah Baldwin (Tr)236444
Cam Upshaw Jr.131002

RICE's OC Vince Munch (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Patrick Crayton Jr.71547%73124.9
Lucas Scheerhorn91369%40003.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinton Jackson18088964.973
DAndre Hardeman Jr.7630224.036
Tyvonn Byars3419315.732
Jacurri Brown (Tr)1614228.960
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Max Mosey (Tr)5049009.846
Payton Matthews493023.354
Quinton Jackson474118.575
Tyvonn Byars253026.543

View Rice's Full Roster

RICE's DC Jon Kay (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
AJ Brown (Tr)530000
Jo Chavez402011
Austin Harnetiaux (Tr)372002
Chibby Nwajuaku253220
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chibby Nwajuaku253220
Joseph Mutombo122211
Cooper King82100
Daveon Hook163100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tariq Watson120012
Austin Harnetiaux (Tr)372002
Jerrick Harper231002