Arkansas at Texas - 2026 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 21st 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium - Austin, TX

Razorbacks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 34 (31 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#124)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TEX is playing their 7th straight game
ARK is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Texas -20 (SP+ TEX -11)
Projected Score: ARK: 21 - TEX: 41 (61)
TEX Win prob: 93% | Cover: 53%
ARK Travel: 449 miles

Longhorns (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (46 - 20)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (39 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 3.5 (#24)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ARK Players
TEX Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arkansas's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Arkansas vs North Alabama	-27.5
Sat 9/12	Arkansas at Utah	+15.5
Sat 9/19	Arkansas vs Georgia	+20
Sat 9/26	Arkansas vs Tulsa	-13.5
Sat 10/3	Arkansas at Texas A&M	+22
Sat 10/10	Arkansas vs Tennessee	+9.5
Sat 10/17	Arkansas at Vanderbilt	+15
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31	Arkansas vs Missouri	+11
Sat 11/7	Arkansas at Auburn	+11.5
Sat 11/14	Arkansas vs South Carolina	+3
Sat 11/21	Arkansas at Texas	+20
Sat 11/28	Arkansas vs LSU	+11

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule

Texas's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Texas vs Texas State	-24
Sat 9/12	Texas vs Ohio State	+5.5
Sat 9/19	Texas vs UTSA	-26
Sat 9/26	Texas at Tennessee	-3
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10	Texas at Oklahoma	+1
Sat 10/17	Texas vs Florida	-14.5
Sat 10/24	Texas vs Ole Miss	-3.5
Sat 10/31	Texas vs Mississippi State	-17.5
Sat 11/7	Texas at Missouri	-1.5
Sat 11/14	Texas at LSU	-2
Sat 11/21	Texas vs Arkansas	-20
Fri 11/27	Texas at Texas A&M	+4

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARK	#11 (.31)	49% (12)	32.9	54% (1)	3.43 (6)	192	45% (38)	263	4.2 (31)	#127 (.27)	47% (127)	33.8	50% (132)	46% (117)	4.21 (119)	67	1.7	0.8
TEX	#66 (.18)	40% (96)	30.5	42% (83)	2.83 (87)	138	39% (100)	251	3.52 (88)	#39 (.1)	39% (44)	20.3	40% (45)	39% (42)	3.77 (75)	69.7	0.7	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TEX		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARK Offense	12	32.9	31.2	48.7%	4.2	1.7	23	455	192	263	5.7	48%	51%	54%	45%	17%	.31
TEX Defense	13	20.3	17	39.4%	3.77	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	40%	39%	18%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARK Defense	12	33.8	36.4	47.3%	4.21	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	50%	46%	15%	.27
TEX Offense	13	30.5	38.8	40.5%	3.52	0.7	19	389	138	251	4.2	47%	51%	42%	39%	16%	.18

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arkansas	12	29:01	23.3	47%	53%	7.8	67	1.7	0.8	5.4	1.8	2	27.4
Texas	13	28:29	19	39%	53%	8.3	69.7	0.7	1.8	6.3	3	2	31.3

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARK Offense	12	48% (78)	54% (1)	33.6	192.2	5.7	25 (30)	.3 (4)	3.43 (6)	65% (106)	10% (79)	1.08 (25)
TEX Defense	13	44% (13)	40% (45)	-	-	-	-	.01 (19)	2.69 (30)	57% (4)	11% (20)	0.84 (13)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARK Defense	12	54% (118)	50% (132)	-	-	-	-	.21 (125)	3.05 (100)	71% (68)	9% (89)	0.95 (61)
TEX Offense	13	47% (91)	42% (83)	32.5	138	4.2	17 (88)	.08 (83)	2.83 (87)	63% (116)	10% (95)	0.94 (79)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARK Offense	12	51% (55)	45% (38)	19.3	31.8	262.9	8.3	13.7	22 (8)	11 (60)	.37 (31)	1.7 (22)	31% (59)	40% (4)	.58 (5)	7% (114)	2.3 (3)
TEX Defense	13	55% (129)	39% (42)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (12)	.2 (52)	1.5 (38)	33% (48)	28% (37)	.22 (38)	7% (38)	1.8 (21)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARK Defense	12	44% (15)	46% (117)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (75)	.44 (132)	1.7 (122)	31% (84)	36% (132)	.44 (129)	6% (52)	2.1 (107)
TEX Offense	13	51% (48)	39% (100)	19.8	32.3	250.7	7.8	12.6	28 (50)	7 (60)	.29 (50)	1.7 (11)	33% (99)	33% (38)	.43 (26)	6% (55)	2.2 (21)

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 2.67 #54
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 15.03 #34
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 17.36 #71
2026 Talent Rating: 922.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #33
Arkansas's 2026 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Arkansas's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1 #53
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #16
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #99

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 2.67 Texas: 24.045

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 5.1 Texas: 16.2

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 24.045 #4
Texas's Offense Rating: 24.80 #5
Texas's Defense Rating: 2.65 #11
2026 Talent Rating: 1104.00 #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 65 #6
Texas's 2026 Expected Record: 9.5 - 3.5
Texas's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.2 #17
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #30
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #18

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.2
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.4

Arkansas's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Texas 41
Arkansas 21

Projected Total Points: 61

Texas Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Texas's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	Texas	52	Arkansas	37	Texas -10.5	Texas	57.5	Over
2024	11/16	Arkansas	10	Texas	20	Texas -13	Arkansas	57.5	Under
2021	09/11	Arkansas	40	Texas	21	Texas -6	Arkansas	57.5	Over
2014	12/29	Texas	7	Arkansas	31	Arkansas -7	Arkansas	42.5	Under
2008	09/27	Texas	52	Arkansas	10
2004	09/11	Arkansas	20	Texas	22
2003	09/13	Texas	28	Arkansas	38

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas	4	1	2 Overs
Arkansas	3	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 4	3 - 1	1 - 0	2 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 3	1 - 3	1 - 2	0 - 1

(#54) ARK at (#4) TEX

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ARK	TEX
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#54	#4
SP+SP+	#53	#17
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#25	#4
Blue ChipsBC%	#33	#6

Arkansas Injury Report

Texas Injury Report

Arkansas on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	ARK Off	TEX Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#12	#44
ExplosiveExp	#17	#28
PPAPPA	#11	#39
PowerPwr	#34	#11
SP+SP+	#16	#18
Pts POPPO	#31	#75
HavocHav	#102	#24

Arkansas Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	ARK Off	TEX Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#1	#45
Run ExplRExp	#25	#13
PPAExp	#4	#19
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#6	#30
Stuff RateStuff	#93	#33
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	ARK Off	TEX Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#38	#42
Pass ExplPExl	#22	#38
PPAExp	#31	#52
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#79	#20
DB HavocDB	#114	#38

Texas on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TEX Off	ARK Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#96	#127
ExplosiveExp	#14	#76
PPAPPA	#66	#127
PowerPwr	#5	#71
SP+SP+	#30	#99
Pts POPPO	#88	#119
HavocHav	#76	#74

Texas Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TEX Off	ARK Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#83	#132
Run ExplRExp	#79	#61
PPAExp	#83	#125
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#87	#100
Stuff RateStuff	#120	#63
TackleTak	-	NR

Texas Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TEX Off	ARK Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#100	#117
Pass ExplPExl	#11	#122
PPAExp	#50	#132
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#95	#89
DB HavocDB	#55	#52

Program Comparison
TEX 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'26 Profile: Remains CFP Hopefuls

ARK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Arkansas last year (52-37)
Texas beat Arkansas in 2024 (20-10)

ARK's OC Tim Cramsey (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
KJ Jackson	33	54	61%	441	3	0	8.2
AJ Hill (Tr)	19	32	59%	223	1	1	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sutton Smith (Tr)	102	669	7	6.6	84
Braylen Russell	55	286	5	5.2	23
Jasper Parker (Tr)	25	93	2	3.7	11
KJ Jackson	11	52	2	4.7	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Donovan Faupel (Tr)	61	661	7	10.8	55
Jamari Hawkins (Tr)	38	623	2	16.4	57
Chris Marshall (Tr)	30	574	2	19.1	46
Rohan Jones	19	519	4	27.3	62

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC Ron Roberts (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Khmori House (Tr)	73	3	1	6	1
Caleb Wooden	59	3	0	1	3
Christian Harrison (Tr)	55	3	0	0	7
Miguel Mitchell	52	1	1	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Quincy Rhodes Jr.	43	16	8	6	0
Steven Soles Jr. (Tr)	11	5	4	3	2
Ben Bogle (Tr)	37	5	3	1	0
Bradley Shaw	50	5	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jaheim Johnson	38	1	0	9
Christian Harrison (Tr)	55	3	0	7
Carter Stoutmire (Tr)	33	0	1	5

TEX's OC Kyle Flood (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Arch Manning	248	404	61%	3163	26	7	7.8
MJ Morris (Tr)	35	60	58%	304	1	4	5.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Raleek Brown (Tr)	186	1141	4	6.1	88
Daylan Smothers	160	939	6	5.9	65
Arch Manning	92	399	10	4.3	60
Reid Watkins	72	280	1	3.9	30

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ryan Wingo	54	834	7	15.4	75
Cam Coleman (Tr)	57	725	5	12.7	46
Emmett Mosley V	28	408	3	14.6	40
Raleek Brown (Tr)	34	239	2	7.0	33

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC Will Muschamp (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Rasheem Biles (Tr)	100	17	5	4	4
Jelani McDonald	80	4	0	1	3
Ty'Anthony Smith	59	6	1	1	1
Bo Mascoe (Tr)	48	2	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Colin Simmons	43	16	12	15	2
Rasheem Biles (Tr)	100	17	5	4	4
Brad Spence	21	6	3	2	0
Hero Kanu	31	4	2	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kade Phillips	22	2	0	0	6
Graceson Littleton	46	3	0	0	6
Rasheem Biles (Tr)	100	17	5	4	4