Navy at UTSA - 2026 Matchup Preview
Navy logo   Navy Midshipmen at UTSA Roadrunners  UTSA logo
Saturday, October 17th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Alamodome - San Antonio, TX  (American Athletic)

 
Midshipmen (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brian Newberry (26 - 12)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (26 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 4 (#48)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)
UTSA 2nd straight Home Game
UTSA is playing their 7th straight game
NAVY is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UTSA -2.5  (SP+ NAVY -2.5)
Projected Score: NAVY: 30 - UTSA: 32 (62)
UTSA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
NAVY Travel: 1414 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Roadrunners (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (53 - 26)
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (46 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 4.5 (#37)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
 
Navy's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Navy vs Towson-24
Sat 9/12 Navy at Florida Atlantic-6
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/25 Navy at UAB-13.5
Sat 10/3 Navy at Air Force-5.5
Sat 10/10 Navy vs Tulsa-9
Sat 10/17 Navy at UTSA+2.5
Sat 10/24 Navy vs North Texas+1.5
Sat 10/31 Navy at Notre Dame+29
Sat 11/7 Navy vs Temple-7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Navy vs Memphis+3
Sat 11/28 Navy at Charlotte-18.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
UTSA's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 UTSA vs UT Rio Grande Valley-23.5
Sat 9/12 UTSA at Texas State+3.5
Sat 9/19 UTSA at Texas+24.5
Sat 9/26 UTSA vs Colorado State-14
Sat 10/3 UTSA at Rice-11.5
Thu 10/8 UTSA vs South Florida+5
Sat 10/17 UTSA vs Navy-2.5
Sat 10/24 UTSA at Tulane+4
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/5 UTSA at Florida Atlantic-6
Sat 11/14 UTSA vs North Texas+1.5
Sat 11/21 UTSA at UAB-13.5
Sat 11/28 UTSA vs Tulsa-9

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY#16 (.3)49% (9)31.552% (4)3.45 (5)28642% (58)1304.23 (28)#103 (.21)41% (57)2539% (26)44% (102)4.2 (115)48.31.11.2
UTSA#31 (.23)45% (35)35.545% (47)2.81 (94)17447% (21)2474.23 (27)#82 (.18)40% (46)28.840% (44)40% (49)4.2 (115)68.70.91.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UTSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Offense1331.525.849%4.231.1204162861305.875%23%52%42%9%.3
UTSA Defense1328.825.539.6%4.21.4 - - - - - 50%49%40%40%19%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Defense132530.240.7%4.21.2 - - - - - 52%46%39%44%13%.21
UTSA Offense1335.545.845.5%4.230.9224211742475.146%52%45%47%16%.23

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Navy1332:3620.452%68%5.748.31.11.24.52.1131.7
UTSA1331:5121.840%46%7.368.70.91.45.91.8231.8
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense1375% (3)52% (4)49.4286.15.841 (4).28 (6)3.45 (5)81% (13)7% (11)1.06 (32)
UTSA Defense1350% (65)40% (44) - - - - .12 (85)2.86 (62)64% (20)11% (20)0.97 (73)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense1352% (97)39% (26) - - - - .11 (76)2.85 (59)76% (103)8% (111)1.06 (114)
UTSA Offense1346% (100)45% (47)34.2174.15.121 (49).19 (35)2.81 (94)73% (61)10% (102)1.17 (6)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense1323% (134)42% (58)8.2141309.315.912 (106)6 (20).46 (9)2 (3)23% (1)34% (27).52 (8)2% (2)2.3 (6)
UTSA Defense1349% (77)40% (49) - - - - - - 11 (75).29 (85)1.8 (131)35% (18)28% (47).3 (69)7% (20)2.2 (123)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense1346% (43)44% (102) - - - - - - 7 (100).37 (119)1.6 (104)31% (75)29% (71).3 (71)4% (129)2 (63)
UTSA Offense1352% (37)47% (21)22.934.4247.27.210.834 (33)7 (34).33 (43)1.5 (96)30% (47)36% (21).45 (21)6% (55)2.2 (15)

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: -5.61  #90
Navy's Offense Rating: 11.21  #79
Navy's Defense Rating: 21.82  #114
2026 Talent Rating: 138.00  #137
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #103
Navy's 2026 Expected Record: 7.0 - 4.0
Navy's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.2  #46
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.6  #26
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #72

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 728.49

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy: -5.61   UTSA: 2.685

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: 6.2   UTSA: 3.7




UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: 2.685  #84
UTSA's Offense Rating: 11.47  #77
UTSA's Defense Rating: 19.80  #95
2026 Talent Rating: 578.00  #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 4  #57
UTSA's 2026 Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5
UTSA's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7  #62
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3  #27
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #91

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 728.49


Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Navy's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UTSA 32
Navy 30

Projected Total Points: 62
UTSA Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.5

UTSA's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UTSA000 Overs
Navy000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#90) NAVY at (#84) UTSA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNAVYUTSA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #90 #84
SP+SP+ #46 #62
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #137 #97
Blue ChipsBC% #103 #57
Navy Notes
(2/10) DC PJ Volker left to coach Ravens DBs
Navy Injury Report
UTSA Notes
(2/17) Vibes: OK, two 7-6 seasons but McCown back
(2/17) QB McCown back (3rd yr starter). Depth is ?
(2/17) New OC Rick Bowie (WKU) runs a fun offense
(2/17) RB good w Henderson + depth. High (Cal) nice +
(2/17) WR Amador/Wilson good start, have depth/portals
(2/17) OL 3 back from good unit, 3 portals w no exp
(2/17) DL 7 portals + 4 w PT exp. Has parts/promise
(2/17) DBs look ?, 4 portals at S, CB needs solid #2
UTSA Injury Report
Navy on Offense
Option Offense 76%, Pass: 23%
CategoryCat
NAVY OffUTSA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #9 #46
ExplosiveExp #71 #126
PPAPPA #16 #82
PowerPwr #79 #95
SP+SP+ #26 #91
Pts POPPO #28 #115
HavocHav #3 #18
Navy Run Game
Option Offense 76%, Pass: 23%
CategoryCat
NAVY OffUTSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #4 #44
Run ExplRExp #32 #73
PPAExp #6 #85
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #5 #62
Stuff RateStuff #1 #75
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
Option Offense 76%, Pass: 23%
CategoryCat
NAVY OffUTSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #58 #49
Pass ExplPExl #3 #131
PPAExp #9 #85
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #11 #20
DB HavocDB #2 #20
UTSA on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatUTSA OffNAVY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #35 #57
ExplosiveExp #23 #115
PPAPPA #31 #103
PowerPwr #77 #114
SP+SP+ #27 #72
Pts POPPO #27 #115
HavocHav #80 #124
UTSA Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
UTSA OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #47 #26
Run ExplRExp #6 #114
PPAExp #35 #76
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #94 #59
Stuff RateStuff #105 #80
TackleTak - NR
UTSA Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatUTSA OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #21 #102
Pass ExplPExl #96 #104
PPAExp #43 #119
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #102 #111
DB HavocDB #55 #129
Program Comparison
UTSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Down to Top G5

NAVY 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alamodome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NAVY's OC Drew Cronic (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Braxton Woodson91947%110005.8
Jackson Gutierrez030%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Braxton Woodson4441469.474
Jackson Gutierrez2817206.123
Charles Robinson103303.37
Vic Listorti31705.79
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Luke Hutchison5134326.863
Joshua Guerin360020.035
Jake Norris123023.023
Charles Robinson221010.511

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC Vacant (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
MarcAnthony Parker977240
Giuseppe Sessi811000
Coleman Cauley783030
Phillip Hamilton490002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Julian Moutome428423
Griffen Willis487331
MarcAnthony Parker977240
Marcus Bleazard112100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ira Oniha241007
Julian Moutome428423
Phillip Hamilton490002

UTSA's OC Rick Bowie (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Owen McCown27640968%29903077.3
Brandon Tennison203459%199205.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Will Henderson III12586666.959
A'Marion Peterson4917733.614
Brandon High239814.322
Bryson Donnell208414.228
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
AJ Wilson30523417.477
David Amador4544349.845
DJ Allen2018939.543
Will Henderson III1913226.940

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC Jess Loepp (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Tucker Jr.353040
Owen Pewee284061
Marcellus Wilkerson273111
Jakevian Rodgers232004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Baldwin (Tr)236444
James Walley Jr.196202
Marcellus Wilkerson273111
Timothy Huff Jr.31100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jakevian Rodgers232004
Elijah Baldwin (Tr)236444
Cam Upshaw Jr.131002