North Texas at UTSA - 2026 Matchup Preview
North Texas logo   North Texas Mean Green at UTSA Roadrunners  UTSA logo
Saturday, November 14th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Alamodome - San Antonio, TX  (American Athletic)

 
Mean Green (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Neal Brown (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 45 - 27 (44 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 3.6 (#24)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
UNT is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: North Texas -1.5  (SP+ UNT -10)

Projected Score: UNT: 36 - UTSA: 34 (70)
UNT Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
UNT Travel: 273 miles
Roadrunners (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (53 - 26)
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (46 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 4.5 (#37)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
 
North Texas's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 North Texas at Indiana+28.5
Sat 9/12 North Texas vs UNLV-5
Sat 9/19 North Texas at Texas State-0.5
Sat 9/26 North Texas vs Houston Christian-27.5
Thu 10/1 North Texas at Tulsa-8
Sat 10/10 North Texas vs Charlotte-27.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 North Texas at Navy-1.5
Thu 10/29 North Texas vs Florida Atlantic-15
Sat 11/7 North Texas vs Rice-20.5
Sat 11/14 North Texas at UTSA-1.5
Sat 11/21 North Texas at Tulane-0
Sat 11/28 North Texas vs UAB-22

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
UTSA's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 UTSA vs UT Rio Grande Valley-23.5
Sat 9/12 UTSA at Texas State+3.5
Sat 9/19 UTSA at Texas+24.5
Sat 9/26 UTSA vs Colorado State-14
Sat 10/3 UTSA at Rice-11.5
Thu 10/8 UTSA vs South Florida+5
Sat 10/17 UTSA vs Navy-2.5
Sat 10/24 UTSA at Tulane+4
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/5 UTSA at Florida Atlantic-6
Sat 11/14 UTSA vs North Texas+1.5
Sat 11/21 UTSA at UAB-13.5
Sat 11/28 UTSA vs Tulsa-9

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNT#2 (.36)51% (3)45.153% (2)3.58 (1)19451% (8)3174.98 (4)#80 (.18)44% (94)26.548% (125)37% (26)4.03 (104)45.51.42
UTSA#31 (.23)45% (35)35.545% (47)2.81 (94)17447% (21)2474.23 (27)#82 (.18)40% (46)28.840% (44)40% (49)4.2 (115)68.70.91.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UTSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNT Offense1445.143.751.5%4.981.4265111943175.348%51%53%51%12%.36
UTSA Defense1328.825.539.6%4.21.4 - - - - - 50%49%40%40%19%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNT Defense1426.528.343.5%4.032 - - - - - 60%38%48%37%14%.18
UTSA Offense1335.545.845.5%4.230.9224211742475.146%52%45%47%16%.23

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Texas1428:2225.546%69%5.645.51.425.31.7033.8
UTSA1331:5121.840%46%7.368.70.91.45.91.8231.8
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNT Offense1448% (84)53% (2)36.6194.15.349 (1).33 (3)3.58 (1)73% (58)7% (8)1.1 (17)
UTSA Defense1350% (65)40% (44) - - - - .12 (85)2.86 (62)64% (20)11% (20)0.97 (73)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNT Defense1460% (134)48% (125) - - - - .18 (111)3.19 (118)77% (111)9% (80)1.01 (92)
UTSA Offense1346% (100)45% (47)34.2174.15.121 (49).19 (35)2.81 (94)73% (61)10% (102)1.17 (6)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNT Offense1451% (50)51% (8)23.234.1317.39.313.735 (8)9 (20).43 (12)1.6 (63)26% (9)39% (6).44 (22)5% (25)2 (68)
UTSA Defense1349% (77)40% (49) - - - - - - 11 (75).29 (85)1.8 (131)35% (18)28% (47).3 (69)7% (20)2.2 (123)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNT Defense1438% (2)37% (26) - - - - - - 15 (31).21 (55)1.7 (113)29% (116)28% (58).27 (62)4% (126)2 (58)
UTSA Offense1352% (37)47% (21)22.934.4247.27.210.834 (33)7 (34).33 (43)1.5 (96)30% (47)36% (21).45 (21)6% (55)2.2 (15)

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -5.53  #89
North Texas's Offense Rating: 10.67  #85
North Texas's Defense Rating: 21.20  #107
2026 Talent Rating: 676.00  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #87
North Texas's 2026 Expected Record: 8.4 - 3.6
North Texas's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.8  #22
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 43.1  #1
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #78

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 728.49

Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -5.53   UTSA: 2.685

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: 13.8   UTSA: 3.7




UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: 2.685  #84
UTSA's Offense Rating: 11.47  #77
UTSA's Defense Rating: 19.80  #95
2026 Talent Rating: 578.00  #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 4  #57
UTSA's 2026 Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5
UTSA's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7  #62
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3  #27
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #91

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 728.49


North Texas Scoring
Offense: 45.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 43.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.3

North Texas's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Texas 36
UTSA 34


Projected Total Points: 70
UTSA Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.5

UTSA's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18North Texas55UTSA17North Texas -4North Texas64.5Over
202411/15UTSA48North Texas27UTSA -1UTSA73.0Over
202311/04North Texas29UTSA37UT San Antonio -7.5UTSA71.0Under
202212/02UTSA48North Texas27UT San Antonio -8.5UTSA70.0Over
202210/22UTSA31North Texas27UT San Antonio -10North Texas73.0Under
202111/27North Texas45UTSA23UT San Antonio -8.5North Texas60.0Over
202011/28UTSA49North Texas17UT San Antonio -1.5UTSA67.0Under
201909/21North Texas45UTSA3North Texas -17.5North Texas57.0Under
201811/24UTSA21North Texas24North Texas -25UTSA51.5Under
201710/14North Texas29UTSA26UT San Antonio -2.5North Texas58.5Under
201610/29UTSA31North Texas17UT San Antonio -4UTSA51.0Under
201510/31North Texas30UTSA23UT San Antonio -12North Texas54.5Under
201411/29UTSA34North Texas27UT San Antonio -6UTSA0
201311/23North Texas13UTSA21North Texas -7UTSA0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UTSA884 Overs
North Texas668 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 311 - 37 - 24 - 1
Road Teams3 - 113 - 111 - 42 - 7

(#89) UNT at (#84) UTSA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNTUTSA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #89 #84
SP+SP+ #22 #62
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #81 #97
Blue ChipsBC% #87 #57
North Texas Notes
(2/23) Vibes: Uneasy, lost HC & portals to Ok St
(2/23) New era under Brown, DC Powledge not great
(2/23) QB T Jackson (UCF) is interesting, depth is ?
(2/23) RB J White (WVU) over 1.7K but coming off inj
(2/23) WR a patchwork of portals, most exp'd from FCS
(2/23) OL looks rough, only 1 exp'd starter, many ?
(2/23) DL/LB could be OK, some good exp, mixed prod
(2/23) DBs huge ?, very little exp outside 1 FCS CB
North Texas Injury Report
UTSA Notes
(2/17) Vibes: OK, two 7-6 seasons but McCown back
(2/17) QB McCown back (3rd yr starter). Depth is ?
(2/17) New OC Rick Bowie (WKU) runs a fun offense
(2/17) RB good w Henderson + depth. High (Cal) nice +
(2/17) WR Amador/Wilson good start, have depth/portals
(2/17) OL 3 back from good unit, 3 portals w no exp
(2/17) DL 7 portals + 4 w PT exp. Has parts/promise
(2/17) DBs look ?, 4 portals at S, CB needs solid #2
UTSA Injury Report
North Texas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
UNT OffUTSA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #3 #46
ExplosiveExp #32 #126
PPAPPA #2 #82
PowerPwr #85 #95
SP+SP+ #1 #91
Pts POPPO #4 #115
HavocHav #9 #18
North Texas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
UNT OffUTSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #2 #44
Run ExplRExp #17 #73
PPAExp #3 #85
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #1 #62
Stuff RateStuff #7 #75
TackleTak - NR
North Texas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
UNT OffUTSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #8 #49
Pass ExplPExl #63 #131
PPAExp #12 #85
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #8 #20
DB HavocDB #25 #20
UTSA on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatUTSA OffUNT Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #35 #94
ExplosiveExp #23 #52
PPAPPA #31 #80
PowerPwr #77 #107
SP+SP+ #27 #78
Pts POPPO #27 #104
HavocHav #80 #108
UTSA Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
UTSA OffUNT Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #47 #125
Run ExplRExp #6 #92
PPAExp #35 #111
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #94 #118
Stuff RateStuff #105 #125
TackleTak - NR
UTSA Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatUTSA OffUNT Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #21 #26
Pass ExplPExl #96 #113
PPAExp #43 #55
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #102 #80
DB HavocDB #55 #126
Program Comparison
UTSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Down to Top G5

UNT 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alamodome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
North Texas beat UTSA last year (55-17)
UTSA beat North Texas in 2024 (48-27)
UTSA beat North Texas in 2023 (37-29)

  
UNT's OC Neal Brown (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tayven Jackson (Tr)20031564%21511086.8
Chaston Ditta (Tr)122450%215309.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nick Osho (Tr)11968685.879
Jahiem White (Tr)2413335.532
Jayden Becks218724.116
Tayven Jackson (Tr)548531.625
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
James Tyre (Tr)688321112.242
Grayson O'Bara (Tr)44590213.471
Corri Milliner (Tr)24341314.249
Dalton Carnes780011.421

View North Texas's Full Roster

UNT's DC Matt Powledge (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aaron Alexander (Tr)923100
David Onuoha (Tr)425320
Udoka Ezeani (Tr)4110531
Davion Rhodes (Tr)346011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Udoka Ezeani (Tr)4110531
David Onuoha (Tr)425320
Zhaiylen Scott142230
Brayden Knox192100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Allen Jr.151004
Caden Jenkins (Tr)101003
Keshawn Davila (Tr)20002

UTSA's OC Rick Bowie (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Owen McCown27640968%29903077.3
Brandon Tennison203459%199205.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Will Henderson III12586666.959
A'Marion Peterson4917733.614
Brandon High239814.322
Bryson Donnell208414.228
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
AJ Wilson30523417.477
David Amador4544349.845
DJ Allen2018939.543
Will Henderson III1913226.940

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC Jess Loepp (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Tucker Jr.353040
Owen Pewee284061
Marcellus Wilkerson273111
Jakevian Rodgers232004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Baldwin (Tr)236444
James Walley Jr.196202
Marcellus Wilkerson273111
Timothy Huff Jr.31100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jakevian Rodgers232004
Elijah Baldwin (Tr)236444
Cam Upshaw Jr.131002