Ole Miss at Texas - 2026 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 24th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium - Austin, TX

Rebels (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Pete Golding (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (34 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TEX 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Texas -3.5 (SP+ MISS -8)
Projected Score: MISS: 27 - TEX: 30 (57)
TEX Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
MISS Travel: 555 miles

Longhorns (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (46 - 20)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (39 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 3.5 (#24)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MISS Players
TEX Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ole Miss's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Ole Miss vs Louisville	-12.5
Sat 9/12	Ole Miss vs Charlotte	-45.5
Sat 9/19	Ole Miss vs LSU	-6
Sat 9/26	Ole Miss at Florida	-8.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10	Ole Miss at Vanderbilt	-1.5
Sat 10/17	Ole Miss vs Missouri	-6
Sat 10/24	Ole Miss at Texas	+3.5
Sat 10/31	Ole Miss vs Auburn	-10
Sat 11/7	Ole Miss vs Georgia	+3.5
Sat 11/14	Ole Miss at Oklahoma	+2
Sat 11/21	Ole Miss vs Wofford	-44
Fri 11/27	Ole Miss vs Mississippi State	-16.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule

Texas's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Texas vs Texas State	-24
Sat 9/12	Texas vs Ohio State	+5.5
Sat 9/19	Texas vs UTSA	-26
Sat 9/26	Texas at Tennessee	-3
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10	Texas at Oklahoma	+1
Sat 10/17	Texas vs Florida	-14.5
Sat 10/24	Texas vs Ole Miss	-3.5
Sat 10/31	Texas vs Mississippi State	-17.5
Sat 11/7	Texas at Missouri	-1.5
Sat 11/14	Texas at LSU	-2
Sat 11/21	Texas vs Arkansas	-20
Fri 11/27	Texas at Texas A&M	+4

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS	#14 (.3)	48% (16)	36.9	45% (52)	2.79 (100)	177	51% (7)	313	4.44 (19)	#57 (.13)	40% (51)	21.1	43% (77)	38% (29)	3.1 (23)	52.4	0.9	1
TEX	#66 (.18)	40% (96)	30.5	42% (83)	2.83 (87)	138	39% (100)	251	3.52 (88)	#39 (.1)	39% (44)	20.3	40% (45)	39% (42)	3.77 (75)	69.7	0.7	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TEX		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Offense	15	36.9	34.3	47.8%	4.44	0.9	25	490	177	313	4.6	50%	49%	45%	51%	13%	.3
TEX Defense	13	20.3	17	39.4%	3.77	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	40%	39%	18%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Defense	15	21.1	27.8	40%	3.1	1	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	43%	38%	17%	.13
TEX Offense	13	30.5	38.8	40.5%	3.52	0.7	19	389	138	251	4.2	47%	51%	42%	39%	16%	.18

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ole Miss	15	28:45	25.4	43%	68%	5.5	52.4	0.9	1	5.5	2.2	0	28.1
Texas	13	28:29	19	39%	53%	8.3	69.7	0.7	1.8	6.3	3	2	31.3

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Offense	15	50% (64)	45% (52)	38.1	176.7	4.6	39 (11)	.15 (49)	2.79 (100)	78% (25)	7% (21)	0.96 (66)
TEX Defense	13	44% (13)	40% (45)	-	-	-	-	.01 (19)	2.69 (30)	57% (4)	11% (20)	0.84 (13)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Defense	15	50% (68)	43% (77)	-	-	-	-	.19 (116)	3.11 (105)	70% (59)	10% (57)	1.08 (120)
TEX Offense	13	47% (91)	42% (83)	32.5	138	4.2	17 (88)	.08 (83)	2.83 (87)	63% (116)	10% (95)	0.94 (79)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Offense	15	49% (65)	51% (7)	22.7	34.9	313.3	9	13.8	26 (50)	8 (60)	.46 (8)	1.6 (60)	28% (19)	38% (8)	.53 (7)	6% (72)	2.2 (23)
TEX Defense	13	55% (129)	39% (42)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (12)	.2 (52)	1.5 (38)	33% (48)	28% (37)	.22 (38)	7% (38)	1.8 (21)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Defense	15	48% (68)	38% (29)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (100)	.13 (20)	1.6 (65)	33% (41)	30% (79)	.29 (67)	7% (32)	2.1 (94)
TEX Offense	13	51% (48)	39% (100)	19.8	32.3	250.7	7.8	12.6	28 (50)	7 (60)	.29 (50)	1.7 (11)	33% (99)	33% (38)	.43 (26)	6% (55)	2.2 (21)

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 17.12 #17
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 20.26 #16
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 8.14 #19
2026 Talent Rating: 936.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 40% #18
Ole Miss's 2026 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Ole Miss's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.0 #7
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.4 #3
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.3 #20

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 17.12 Texas: 24.045

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 24.0 Texas: 16.2

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 24.045 #4
Texas's Offense Rating: 24.80 #5
Texas's Defense Rating: 2.65 #11
2026 Talent Rating: 1104.00 #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 65 #6
Texas's 2026 Expected Record: 9.5 - 3.5
Texas's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.2 #17
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #30
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #18

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

Ole Miss's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Texas 30
Ole Miss 27

Projected Total Points: 57

Texas Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Texas's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2013	09/14	Texas	23	Ole Miss	44	Texas -3	Ole Miss	0
2012	09/15	Ole Miss	31	Texas	66

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas	1	0	0 Overs
Ole Miss	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#17) MISS at (#4) TEX

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MISS	TEX
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#17	#4
SP+SP+	#7	#17
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#23	#4
Blue ChipsBC%	#18	#6

Ole Miss Injury Report

Texas Injury Report

Ole Miss on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	MISS Off	TEX Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#16	#44
ExplosiveExp	#42	#28
PPAPPA	#14	#39
PowerPwr	#16	#11
SP+SP+	#3	#18
Pts POPPO	#19	#75
HavocHav	#34	#24

Ole Miss Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	MISS Off	TEX Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#52	#45
Run ExplRExp	#66	#13
PPAExp	#49	#19
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#100	#30
Stuff RateStuff	#107	#33
TackleTak	-	NR

Ole Miss Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	MISS Off	TEX Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#7	#42
Pass ExplPExl	#60	#38
PPAExp	#8	#52
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#21	#20
DB HavocDB	#72	#38

Texas on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TEX Off	MISS Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#96	#51
ExplosiveExp	#14	#96
PPAPPA	#66	#57
PowerPwr	#5	#19
SP+SP+	#30	#20
Pts POPPO	#88	#23
HavocHav	#76	#46

Texas Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TEX Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#83	#77
Run ExplRExp	#79	#120
PPAExp	#83	#116
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#87	#105
Stuff RateStuff	#120	#83
TackleTak	-	NR

Texas Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TEX Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#100	#29
Pass ExplPExl	#11	#65
PPAExp	#50	#20
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#95	#57
DB HavocDB	#55	#32

Program Comparison
TEX 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'26 Profile: Remains CFP Hopefuls

MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'26 Profile: Remains Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

No Matchups Past 4 Years

MISS's OC John David Baker (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Trinidad Chambliss	294	445	66%	3937	22	3	8.8
Walker Howard (Tr)	18	41	44%	155	0	3	3.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Joshua Dye (Tr)	270	1660	24	6.1	92
Kewan Lacy	306	1567	24	5.1	73
Trinidad Chambliss	133	527	8	4.0	41
Makhi Frazier (Tr)	116	520	2	4.5	49

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Deuce Alexander	44	684	2	15.5	88
Johntay Cook II	47	559	2	11.9	59
Darrell Gill Jr. (Tr)	32	506	5	15.8	43
Caleb Odom	19	197	2	10.4	40

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC Patrick Toney (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keaton Thomas (Tr)	99	7	1	1	3
Luke Ferrelli (Tr)	91	5	1	1	1
Suntarine Perkins	81	13	5	12	5
Kamarion Franklin	69	9	5	14	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kamarion Franklin	69	9	5	14	3
William Echoles	68	12	5	6	5
Jonathan Maldonado (Tr)	38	9	5	1	4
Suntarine Perkins	81	13	5	12	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Antonio Kite	33	0	0	0	5
Suntarine Perkins	81	13	5	12	5
William Echoles	68	12	5	6	5

TEX's OC Kyle Flood (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Arch Manning	248	404	61%	3163	26	7	7.8
MJ Morris (Tr)	35	60	58%	304	1	4	5.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Raleek Brown (Tr)	186	1141	4	6.1	88
Daylan Smothers	160	939	6	5.9	65
Arch Manning	92	399	10	4.3	60
Reid Watkins	72	280	1	3.9	30

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ryan Wingo	54	834	7	15.4	75
Cam Coleman (Tr)	57	725	5	12.7	46
Emmett Mosley V	28	408	3	14.6	40
Raleek Brown (Tr)	34	239	2	7.0	33

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC Will Muschamp (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Rasheem Biles (Tr)	100	17	5	4	4
Jelani McDonald	80	4	0	1	3
Ty'Anthony Smith	59	6	1	1	1
Bo Mascoe (Tr)	48	2	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Colin Simmons	43	16	12	15	2
Rasheem Biles (Tr)	100	17	5	4	4
Brad Spence	21	6	3	2	0
Hero Kanu	31	4	2	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kade Phillips	22	2	0	0	6
Graceson Littleton	46	3	0	0	6
Rasheem Biles (Tr)	100	17	5	4	4