Texas at LSU - 2026 Matchup Preview
Texas logo Texas Longhorns at LSU TigersLSU logo
Saturday, November 14th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Tiger Stadium - Baton Rouge, LA

 
Longhorns (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (46 - 20)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (20 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 3.5 (#24)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TEX 2nd straight Road Game
LSU 2nd straight Home Game
TEX is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Texas -2  (SP+ TEX -6)
Projected Score: TEX: 24 - LSU: 22 (46)
TEX Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
TEX Travel: 391 miles
Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Lane Kiffin (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (26 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 5.3 (#58)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Texas vs Texas State-24
Sat 9/12 Texas vs Ohio State+5.5
Sat 9/19 Texas vs UTSA-26
Sat 9/26 Texas at Tennessee-3
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Texas at Oklahoma+1
Sat 10/17 Texas vs Florida-14.5
Sat 10/24 Texas vs Ole Miss-3.5
Sat 10/31 Texas vs Mississippi State-17.5
Sat 11/7 Texas at Missouri-1.5
Sat 11/14 Texas at LSU-2
Sat 11/21 Texas vs Arkansas-20
Fri 11/27 Texas at Texas A&M+4

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas's Schedule
LSU's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 LSU vs Clemson-11
Sat 9/12 LSU vs Louisiana Tech-25.5
Sat 9/19 LSU at Ole Miss+6
Sat 9/26 LSU vs Texas A&M+3.5
Sat 10/3 LSU vs McNeese-40.5
Sat 10/10 LSU at Kentucky-12
Sat 10/17 LSU vs Mississippi State-13
Sat 10/24 LSU at Auburn-2
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 LSU vs Alabama-2
Sat 11/14 LSU vs Texas+2
Sat 11/21 LSU at Tennessee+1
Sat 11/28 LSU at Arkansas-11

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEX#66 (.18)40% (96)30.542% (83)2.83 (87)13839% (100)2513.52 (88)#39 (.1)39% (44)20.340% (45)39% (42)3.77 (75)69.70.71.8
LSU#121 (.06)39% (108)22.837% (122)2.46 (132)10541% (84)2303.35 (104)#28 (.08)39% (30)19.839% (34)39% (44)3.25 (32)59.31.11.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEX0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEX Offense1330.519.840.5%3.520.7193891382514.247%51%42%39%16%.18
LSU Defense1319.816.938.8%3.251.6 - - - - - 48%51%39%39%17%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEX Defense1320.325.839.4%3.771.8 - - - - - 44%55%40%39%18%.1
LSU Offense1322.825.738.9%3.351.1193341052303.742%56%37%41%18%.06

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas1328:291939%53%8.369.70.71.86.33231.3
LSU1330:1518.837%62%759.31.11.65.22.1229.8
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEX Offense1347% (91)42% (83)32.51384.217 (88).08 (83)2.83 (87)63% (116)10% (95)0.94 (79)
LSU Defense1348% (43)39% (34) - - - - .01 (18)2.59 (15)64% (18)9% (93)0.9 (40)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEX Defense1344% (13)40% (45) - - - - .01 (19)2.69 (30)57% (4)11% (20)0.84 (13)
LSU Offense1342% (122)37% (122)28.6104.83.710 (107).01 (121)2.46 (132)64% (115)11% (116)0.92 (87)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEX Offense1351% (48)39% (100)19.832.3250.77.812.628 (50)7 (60).29 (50)1.7 (11)33% (99)33% (38).43 (26)6% (55)2.2 (21)
LSU Defense1351% (105)39% (44) - - - - - - 17 (22).18 (39)1.6 (71)34% (29)29% (60).22 (37)8% (11)1.9 (46)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEX Defense1355% (129)39% (42) - - - - - - 16 (12).2 (52)1.5 (38)33% (48)28% (37).22 (38)7% (38)1.8 (21)
LSU Offense1356% (14)41% (84)22.434.1229.56.710.320 (50)7 (60).18 (105)1.4 (109)36% (129)31% (69).23 (96)7% (99)1.9 (96)

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 26.89  #4
Texas's Offense Rating: 24.80  #5
Texas's Defense Rating: 2.65  #11
2026 Talent Rating: 1104.00  #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 65%  #6
Texas's 2026 Expected Record: 9.5 - 3.5
Texas's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.2  #17
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9  #30
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9  #18

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas: 26.89   LSU: 19.69

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas: 16.2   LSU: 10.3




LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 19.69  #11
LSU's Offense Rating: 21.13  #13
LSU's Defense Rating: 2.05  #7
2026 Talent Rating: 1054.00  #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 71  #4
LSU's 2026 Expected Record: 7.7 - 5.3
LSU's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #32
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #75
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1  #11

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Texas Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.8

Texas's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas 24
LSU 22

Projected Total Points: 46
LSU Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.9

LSU's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201909/07Texas38LSU45LSU -6.5LSU57.5Over
200201/01LSU20Texas35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
LSU111 Overs
Texas100 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams2 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#4) TEX at (#11) LSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTEXLSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #4 #11
SP+SP+ #17 #32
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #4 #6
Blue ChipsBC% #6 #4
Texas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TEX OffLSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #96 #30
ExplosiveExp #14 #60
PPAPPA #66 #28
PowerPwr #5 #7
SP+SP+ #30 #11
Pts POPPO #88 #32
HavocHav #76 #40
Texas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TEX OffLSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #83 #34
Run ExplRExp #79 #40
PPAExp #83 #18
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #87 #15
Stuff RateStuff #120 #9
TackleTak - NR
Texas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TEX OffLSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #100 #44
Pass ExplPExl #11 #71
PPAExp #50 #39
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #95 #93
DB HavocDB #55 #11
LSU on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatLSU OffTEX Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #108 #44
ExplosiveExp #91 #28
PPAPPA #121 #39
PowerPwr #13 #11
SP+SP+ #75 #18
Pts POPPO #104 #75
HavocHav #113 #24
LSU Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
LSU OffTEX Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #122 #45
Run ExplRExp #87 #13
PPAExp #121 #19
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #132 #30
Stuff RateStuff #133 #33
TackleTak - NR
LSU Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatLSU OffTEX Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #84 #42
Pass ExplPExl #109 #38
PPAExp #105 #52
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #116 #20
DB HavocDB #99 #38
Program Comparison
LSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Down to Average P4

TEX 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'26 Profile: Remains CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TEX's OC Kyle Flood (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Arch Manning24840461%31632677.8
MJ Morris (Tr)356058%304145.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Raleek Brown (Tr)186114146.188
Daylan Smothers16093965.965
Arch Manning92399104.360
Reid Watkins7228013.930
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Wingo54834715.475
Cam Coleman (Tr)57725512.746
Emmett Mosley V28408314.640
Raleek Brown (Tr)3423927.033

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC Will Muschamp (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rasheem Biles (Tr)10017544
Jelani McDonald804013
Ty'Anthony Smith596111
Bo Mascoe (Tr)482004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colin Simmons431612152
Rasheem Biles (Tr)10017544
Brad Spence216320
Hero Kanu314241
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kade Phillips222006
Graceson Littleton463006
Rasheem Biles (Tr)10017544

LSU's OC Charlie Weis Jr (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sam Leavitt (Tr)14523961%16281036.8
Husan Longstreet (Tr)131587%103106.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Trey Holly16283095.180
Caden Durham11150534.551
Harlem Berry10449124.743
Sam Leavitt (Tr)7330654.252
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jackson Harris (Tr)499631219.778
Tre' Brown III (Tr)38762420.198
Jayce Brown (Tr)41712517.478
Trey'Dez Green33433713.142

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC Blake Baker (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Benefield (Tr)1059013
TJ Dottery (Tr)986212
Davhon Keys894162
Tamarcus Cooley702012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Princewill Umanmielen (Tr)45139131
Stephiylan Green (Tr)183311
Jordan Ross (Tr)244222
Dylan Carpenter93200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
P.J. Woodland382128
Ty Benefield (Tr)1059013
DJ Pickett353203