Tulsa at UTSA - 2026 Matchup Preview
Tulsa logo   Tulsa Golden Hurricane at UTSA Roadrunners  UTSA logo
Saturday, November 28th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Alamodome - San Antonio, TX  (American Athletic)

 
Golden Hurricane (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tre Lamb (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (19 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#54)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
UTSA is playing their 4th straight game
TLSA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UTSA -9  (SP+ UTSA -14)
Projected Score: TLSA: 25 - UTSA: 34 (59)
UTSA Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
TLSA Travel: 488 miles
Roadrunners (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (53 - 26)
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (46 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 4.5 (#37)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
 
Tulsa's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Tulsa vs Oklahoma State+0.5
Sat 9/12 Tulsa at Sam Houston-13.5
Sat 9/19 Tulsa vs East Texas A&M-17
Sat 9/26 Tulsa at Arkansas+13.5
Thu 10/1 Tulsa vs North Texas+8
Sat 10/10 Tulsa at Navy+9
Sat 10/17 Tulsa at Rice-5
Fri 10/23 Tulsa vs Army+1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Tulsa at Tulane+9.5
Sat 11/14 Tulsa vs Florida Atlantic-4.5
Sat 11/21 Tulsa vs Charlotte-17
Sat 11/28 Tulsa at UTSA+9

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
UTSA's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 UTSA vs UT Rio Grande Valley-23.5
Sat 9/12 UTSA at Texas State+3.5
Sat 9/19 UTSA at Texas+24.5
Sat 9/26 UTSA vs Colorado State-14
Sat 10/3 UTSA at Rice-11.5
Thu 10/8 UTSA vs South Florida+5
Sat 10/17 UTSA vs Navy-2.5
Sat 10/24 UTSA at Tulane+3.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/5 UTSA at Florida Atlantic-6
Sat 11/14 UTSA vs North Texas+1.5
Sat 11/21 UTSA at UAB-13.5
Sat 11/28 UTSA vs Tulsa-9

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA#105 (.11)40% (97)23.242% (88)2.87 (79)17638% (105)2233.34 (106)#60 (.15)43% (81)28.942% (65)44% (100)3.78 (77)38.21.60.9
UTSA#31 (.23)45% (35)35.545% (47)2.81 (94)17447% (21)2474.23 (27)#82 (.18)40% (46)28.840% (44)40% (49)4.2 (115)68.70.91.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UTSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Offense1223.21940.4%3.341.6223991762234.451%47%42%38%17%.11
UTSA Defense1328.825.539.6%4.21.4 - - - - - 50%49%40%40%19%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Defense1228.930.742.5%3.780.9 - - - - - 56%43%42%44%13%.15
UTSA Offense1335.545.845.5%4.230.9224211742475.146%52%45%47%16%.23

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulsa1228:3322.238%57%5.138.21.60.95.31.9027.4
UTSA1331:5121.840%46%7.368.70.91.45.91.8231.8
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense1251% (56)42% (88)40.41764.418 (107).05 (101)2.87 (79)60% (127)11% (111)1.03 (47)
UTSA Defense1350% (65)40% (44) - - - - .12 (85)2.86 (62)64% (20)11% (20)0.97 (73)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense1256% (127)42% (65) - - - - .06 (47)2.92 (76)67% (36)9% (99)0.94 (58)
UTSA Offense1346% (100)45% (47)34.2174.15.121 (49).19 (35)2.81 (94)73% (61)10% (102)1.17 (6)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense1247% (82)38% (105)20.134.1222.56.511.115 (86)10 (108).15 (114)1.5 (104)32% (80)28% (89).26 (87)6% (78)1.9 (106)
UTSA Defense1349% (77)40% (49) - - - - - - 11 (75).29 (85)1.8 (131)35% (18)28% (47).3 (69)7% (20)2.2 (123)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense1243% (14)44% (100) - - - - - - 7 (55).28 (84)1.5 (52)29% (115)31% (92).28 (65)4% (131)1.8 (15)
UTSA Offense1352% (37)47% (21)22.934.4247.27.210.834 (33)7 (34).33 (43)1.5 (96)30% (47)36% (21).45 (21)6% (55)2.2 (15)

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -2.51  #81
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 8.48  #95
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 15.99  #68
2026 Talent Rating: 622.00  #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #103
Tulsa's 2026 Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Tulsa's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.0  #104
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #105
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.1  #107

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 730.33

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -2.51   UTSA: 2.685

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -10.0   UTSA: 3.7




UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: 2.685  #83
UTSA's Offense Rating: 11.47  #77
UTSA's Defense Rating: 19.80  #95
2026 Talent Rating: 578.00  #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 4  #57
UTSA's 2026 Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5
UTSA's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7  #62
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3  #27
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #91

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 730.33


Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7

Tulsa's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UTSA 34
Tulsa 25

Projected Total Points: 59
UTSA Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.5

UTSA's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26Tulsa46UTSA45UTSA -9.5Tulsa52.5Over
201311/02Tulsa15UTSA34Tulsa -3.5UTSA0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UTSA111 Overs
Tulsa110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#81) TLSA at (#83) UTSA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTLSAUTSA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #81 #83
SP+SP+ #104 #62
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #89 #97
Blue ChipsBC% #103 #57
UTSA Notes
(2/17) Vibes: OK, two 7-6 seasons but McCown back
(2/17) QB McCown back (3rd yr starter). Depth is ?
(2/17) New OC Rick Bowie (WKU) runs a fun offense
(2/17) RB good w Henderson + depth. High (Cal) nice +
(2/17) WR Amador/Wilson good start, have depth/portals
(2/17) OL 3 back from good unit, 3 portals w no exp
(2/17) DL 7 portals + 4 w PT exp. Has parts/promise
(2/17) DBs look ?, 4 portals at S, CB needs solid #2
UTSA Injury Report
Tulsa on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
TLSA OffUTSA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #97 #46
ExplosiveExp #59 #126
PPAPPA #105 #82
PowerPwr #95 #95
SP+SP+ #105 #91
Pts POPPO #106 #115
HavocHav #104 #18
Tulsa Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
TLSA OffUTSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #88 #44
Run ExplRExp #47 #73
PPAExp #101 #85
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #79 #62
Stuff RateStuff #125 #75
TackleTak - NR
Tulsa Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
TLSA OffUTSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #105 #49
Pass ExplPExl #104 #131
PPAExp #114 #85
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #111 #20
DB HavocDB #78 #20
UTSA on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatUTSA OffTLSA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #35 #81
ExplosiveExp #23 #44
PPAPPA #31 #60
PowerPwr #77 #68
SP+SP+ #27 #107
Pts POPPO #27 #77
HavocHav #80 #121
UTSA Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
UTSA OffTLSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #47 #65
Run ExplRExp #6 #58
PPAExp #35 #47
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #94 #76
Stuff RateStuff #105 #76
TackleTak - NR
UTSA Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatUTSA OffTLSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #21 #100
Pass ExplPExl #96 #52
PPAExp #43 #84
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #102 #99
DB HavocDB #55 #131
Program Comparison
UTSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Down to Top G5

TLSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alamodome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Tulsa beat UTSA in 2024 (46-45)

  
TLSA's OC Ty Darlington (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Baylor Hayes18631659%21591266.8
Dexter Williams II (Tr)6712554%787636.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Trequan Jones (Tr)10579267.593
DJ McKinney (Tr)11146474.254
Baylor Hayes9518832.024
Dexter Williams II (Tr)4115333.716
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javon Ross (Tr)50603312.179
David Wells Jr. (Tr)44466410.656
Grayson Tempest22272112.451
Josh Smith9201122.343

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC Mike Gray (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zach Williams731007
William Alexander661010
Elijah Green592007
Devin Robinson506002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thomas Davis (Tr)256320
Dax Collins101100
Tai Newhouse392110
Zach Williams731007
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zach Williams731007
Elijah Green592007
Caldra Williford (Tr)161004

UTSA's OC Rick Bowie (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Owen McCown27640968%29903077.3
Brandon Tennison203459%199205.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Will Henderson III12586666.959
A'Marion Peterson4917733.614
Brandon High239814.322
Bryson Donnell208414.228
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
AJ Wilson30523417.477
David Amador4544349.845
DJ Allen2018939.543
Will Henderson III1913226.940

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC Jess Loepp (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Tucker Jr.353040
Owen Pewee284061
Marcellus Wilkerson273111
Jakevian Rodgers232004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Baldwin (Tr)236444
James Walley Jr.196202
Marcellus Wilkerson273111
Timothy Huff Jr.31100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jakevian Rodgers232004
Elijah Baldwin (Tr)236444
Cam Upshaw Jr.131002