Texas at Oklahoma - 2026 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 10th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Cotton Bowl - Dallas, TX

Longhorns (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (46 - 20)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (20 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 3.5 (#24)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TEX coming off BYE
OKLA coming off BYE
Our Line: Oklahoma -1 (SP+ OKLA -2)
Projected Score: TEX: 22 - OKLA: 23 (45)
OKLA Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
TEX Travel: 182 miles

Sooners (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brent Venables (32 - 20)
Avg Score : 26 - 16 (26 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 2.5 (#15)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TEX Players
OKLA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Texas vs Texas State	-24
Sat 9/12	Texas vs Ohio State	+5.5
Sat 9/19	Texas vs UTSA	-26
Sat 9/26	Texas at Tennessee	-3
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10	Texas at Oklahoma	+1
Sat 10/17	Texas vs Florida	-14.5
Sat 10/24	Texas vs Ole Miss	-3.5
Sat 10/31	Texas vs Mississippi State	-17.5
Sat 11/7	Texas at Missouri	-1.5
Sat 11/14	Texas at LSU	-2
Sat 11/21	Texas vs Arkansas	-20
Fri 11/27	Texas at Texas A&M	+4

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas's Schedule

Oklahoma's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Oklahoma vs UTEP	-35.5
Sat 9/12	Oklahoma at Michigan	-2
Sat 9/19	Oklahoma vs New Mexico	-24.5
Sat 9/26	Oklahoma at Georgia	+9
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10	Oklahoma vs Texas	-1
Sat 10/17	Oklahoma vs Kentucky	-20
Sat 10/24	Oklahoma at Mississippi State	-11
Sat 10/31	Oklahoma vs South Carolina	-13.5
Sat 11/7	Oklahoma at Florida	-8
Sat 11/14	Oklahoma vs Ole Miss	-2
Sat 11/21	Oklahoma vs Texas A&M	+0.5
Sat 11/28	Oklahoma at Missouri	-0.5

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TEX	#66 (.18)	40% (96)	30.5	42% (83)	2.83 (87)	138	39% (100)	251	3.52 (88)	#39 (.1)	39% (44)	20.3	40% (45)	39% (42)	3.77 (75)	69.7	0.7	1.8
OKLA	#108 (.1)	40% (103)	26.2	38% (115)	2.71 (111)	119	41% (71)	236	3.77 (62)	#5 ()	32% (3)	15.5	30% (2)	34% (9)	2.62 (7)	61.2	1.2	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TEX		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OKLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TEX Offense	13	30.5	19.8	40.5%	3.52	0.7	19	389	138	251	4.2	47%	51%	42%	39%	16%	.18
OKLA Defense	13	15.5	15	32.1%	2.62	1	-	-	-	-	-	44%	54%	30%	34%	23%

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TEX Defense	13	20.3	25.8	39.4%	3.77	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	40%	39%	18%	.1
OKLA Offense	13	26.2	26.4	39.7%	3.77	1.2	19	355	119	236	3.6	45%	53%	38%	41%	17%	.1

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas	13	28:29	19	39%	53%	8.3	69.7	0.7	1.8	6.3	3	2	31.3
Oklahoma	13	29:44	18.5	39%	57%	6.8	61.2	1.2	1	9.5	3.5	1	31.2

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TEX Offense	13	47% (91)	42% (83)	32.5	138	4.2	17 (88)	.08 (83)	2.83 (87)	63% (116)	10% (95)	0.94 (79)
OKLA Defense	13	44% (14)	30% (2)	-	-	-	-	-.06 (6)	2.03 (2)	65% (25)	16% (1)	1.08 (121)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TEX Defense	13	44% (13)	40% (45)	-	-	-	-	.01 (19)	2.69 (30)	57% (4)	11% (20)	0.84 (13)
OKLA Offense	13	45% (103)	38% (115)	33.3	118.7	3.6	18 (60)	(124)	2.71 (111)	64% (113)	10% (79)	0.92 (86)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TEX Offense	13	51% (48)	39% (100)	19.8	32.3	250.7	7.8	12.6	28 (50)	7 (60)	.29 (50)	1.7 (11)	33% (99)	33% (38)	.43 (26)	6% (55)	2.2 (21)
OKLA Defense	13	54% (125)	34% (9)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (100)	.09 (10)	1.5 (48)	37% (7)	26% (20)	.22 (35)	6% (47)	2 (65)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TEX Defense	13	55% (129)	39% (42)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (12)	.2 (52)	1.5 (38)	33% (48)	28% (37)	.22 (38)	7% (38)	1.8 (21)
OKLA Offense	13	53% (33)	41% (71)	20.4	33.2	235.8	7.1	11.6	17 (75)	11 (88)	.2 (95)	1.5 (86)	33% (104)	28% (93)	.25 (92)	7% (105)	2.2 (12)

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 26.89 #4
Texas's Offense Rating: 24.80 #5
Texas's Defense Rating: 2.65 #11
2026 Talent Rating: 1104.00 #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 65% #6
Texas's 2026 Expected Record: 9.5 - 3.5
Texas's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.2 #17
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #30
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #18

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas: 26.89 Oklahoma: 22.605

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas: 16.2 Oklahoma: 18.3

Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 22.605 #12
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 18.44 #19
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: 1.53 #5
2026 Talent Rating: 970.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 51 #15
Oklahoma's 2026 Expected Record: 10.5 - 2.5
Oklahoma's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.3 #14
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #51
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.9 #4

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Texas Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.8

Texas's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Oklahoma 23
Texas 22

Projected Total Points: 45

Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.4
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15

Oklahoma's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/11	Texas	23	Oklahoma	6	Texas -2.5	Texas	44.5	Under
2024	10/12	Oklahoma	3	Texas	34	Texas -16.5	Texas	48.5	Under
2023	10/07	Texas	30	Oklahoma	34	Texas -4	Oklahoma	62.0	Over
2022	10/08	Oklahoma	0	Texas	49	Texas -7.5	Texas	65.0	Under
2021	10/09	Texas	48	Oklahoma	55	Oklahoma -4	Oklahoma	65.5	Over
2020	10/10	Oklahoma	53	Texas	45	Oklahoma -3	Oklahoma	74.5	Over
2019	10/12	Texas	27	Oklahoma	34	Oklahoma -11.5	Texas	77.5	Under
2018	10/06	Oklahoma	45	Texas	48	Oklahoma -7	Texas	59.0	Over
2018	12/01	Oklahoma	39	Texas	27	Oklahoma -9.5	Oklahoma	79.5	Under
2017	10/14	Texas	24	Oklahoma	29	Oklahoma -9	Texas	62.0	Under
2016	10/08	Oklahoma	45	Texas	40	Oklahoma -6.5	Texas	72.5	Over
2015	10/10	Texas	24	Oklahoma	17	Oklahoma -13.5	Texas	59.5	Under
2014	10/11	Oklahoma	31	Texas	26	Oklahoma -14.5	Texas	0
2013	10/12	Texas	36	Oklahoma	20	Oklahoma -13	Texas	0
2012	10/13	Oklahoma	63	Texas	21
2011	10/08	Texas	17	Oklahoma	55
2010	10/02	Oklahoma	28	Texas	20
2009	10/17	Texas	16	Oklahoma	13
2008	10/11	Oklahoma	35	Texas	45
2007	10/06	Texas	21	Oklahoma	28
2006	10/07	Oklahoma	10	Texas	28
2005	10/08	Texas	45	Oklahoma	12
2004	10/09	Oklahoma	12	Texas	0
2003	10/11	Texas	13	Oklahoma	65
2002	10/12	Oklahoma	35	Texas	24
2001	10/06	Texas	3	Oklahoma	14
2000	10/06	Oklahoma	63	Texas	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oklahoma	17	4	5 Overs
Texas	10	10	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 13	7 - 7	3 - 4	4 - 3
Road Teams	13 - 14	7 - 7	3 - 4	4 - 3

(#4) TEX at (#12) OKLA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TEX	OKLA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#4	#12
SP+SP+	#17	#14
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#4	#17
Blue ChipsBC%	#6	#15

Texas Injury Report

Oklahoma Injury Report

Texas on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TEX Off	OKLA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#96	#3
ExplosiveExp	#14	#109
PPAPPA	#66	#5
PowerPwr	#5	#5
SP+SP+	#30	#4
Pts POPPO	#88	#7
HavocHav	#76	#3

Texas Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TEX Off	OKLA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#83	#2
Run ExplRExp	#79	#121
PPAExp	#83	#6
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#87	#2
Stuff RateStuff	#120	#2
TackleTak	-	NR

Texas Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TEX Off	OKLA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#100	#9
Pass ExplPExl	#11	#48
PPAExp	#50	#10
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#95	#1
DB HavocDB	#55	#47

Oklahoma on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	OKLA Off	TEX Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#103	#44
ExplosiveExp	#64	#28
PPAPPA	#108	#39
PowerPwr	#19	#11
SP+SP+	#51	#18
Pts POPPO	#62	#75
HavocHav	#94	#24

Oklahoma Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	OKLA Off	TEX Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#115	#45
Run ExplRExp	#86	#13
PPAExp	#124	#19
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#111	#30
Stuff RateStuff	#118	#33
TackleTak	-	NR

Oklahoma Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	OKLA Off	TEX Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#71	#42
Pass ExplPExl	#86	#38
PPAExp	#95	#52
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#79	#20
DB HavocDB	#105	#38

Program Comparison
OKLA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

TEX 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'26 Profile: Remains CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cotton Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Oklahoma last year (23-6)
Texas beat Oklahoma in 2024 (34-3)
Oklahoma beat Texas in 2023 (34-30)

TEX's OC Kyle Flood (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Arch Manning	248	404	61%	3163	26	7	7.8
MJ Morris (Tr)	35	60	58%	304	1	4	5.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Raleek Brown (Tr)	186	1141	4	6.1	88
Daylan Smothers	160	939	6	5.9	65
Arch Manning	92	399	10	4.3	60
Reid Watkins	72	280	1	3.9	30

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ryan Wingo	54	834	7	15.4	75
Cam Coleman (Tr)	57	725	5	12.7	46
Emmett Mosley V	28	408	3	14.6	40
Raleek Brown (Tr)	34	239	2	7.0	33

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC Will Muschamp (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Rasheem Biles (Tr)	100	17	5	4	4
Jelani McDonald	80	4	0	1	3
Ty'Anthony Smith	59	6	1	1	1
Bo Mascoe (Tr)	48	2	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Colin Simmons	43	16	12	15	2
Rasheem Biles (Tr)	100	17	5	4	4
Brad Spence	21	6	3	2	0
Hero Kanu	31	4	2	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kade Phillips	22	2	0	0	6
Graceson Littleton	46	3	0	0	6
Rasheem Biles (Tr)	100	17	5	4	4

OKLA's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
John Mateer	247	397	62%	2885	14	11	7.3
Whitt Newbauer	2	4	50%	6	0	0	1.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tory Blaylock	120	482	4	4.0	25
John Mateer	149	431	8	2.9	51
Xavier Robinson	83	421	4	5.1	65
Lloyd Avant (Tr)	90	417	5	4.6	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Isaiah Sategna	65	949	8	14.6	87
Trell Harris (Tr)	59	847	5	14.4	75
Parker Livingstone (Tr)	29	516	6	17.8	83
Rocky Beers (Tr)	31	388	7	12.5	48

View Oklahoma's Full Roster

OKLA's DC Jay Valai (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kip Lewis	76	11	4	4	4
Bishop Thomas (Tr)	48	4	2	5	1
Peyton Bowen	46	1	0	1	7
Cole Sullivan (Tr)	44	5	2	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Taylor Wein	39	15	7	6	1
Kip Lewis	76	11	4	4	4
Jayden Jackson	28	5	3	2	0
Kenny Ozowalu (Tr)	16	6	3	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Peyton Bowen	46	1	0	1	7
Courtland Guillory	41	1	0	1	7
Kip Lewis	76	11	4	4	4