Texas at Tennessee - 2026 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 26th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Neyland Stadium - Knoxville, TN

Longhorns (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (46 - 20)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (20 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 3.5 (#24)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TENN 2nd straight Home Game
TENN is playing their 4th straight game
TEX is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Texas -3 (SP+ TEX -1)
Projected Score: TEX: 31 - TENN: 28 (59)
TEX Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
TEX Travel: 889 miles, 1 hrs behind

Volunteers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (45 - 20)
Avg Score : 40 - 29 (42 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#53)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TEX Players
TENN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Texas vs Texas State	-24
Sat 9/12	Texas vs Ohio State	+5.5
Sat 9/19	Texas vs UTSA	-26
Sat 9/26	Texas at Tennessee	-3
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10	Texas at Oklahoma	+1
Sat 10/17	Texas vs Florida	-14.5
Sat 10/24	Texas vs Ole Miss	-3.5
Sat 10/31	Texas vs Mississippi State	-17.5
Sat 11/7	Texas at Missouri	-1.5
Sat 11/14	Texas at LSU	-2
Sat 11/21	Texas vs Arkansas	-20
Fri 11/27	Texas at Texas A&M	+4

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas's Schedule

Tennessee's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Tennessee vs Furman	-39.5
Sat 9/12	Tennessee at Georgia Tech	-6.5
Sat 9/19	Tennessee vs Kennesaw State	-29
Sat 9/26	Tennessee vs Texas	+3
Sat 10/3	Tennessee vs Auburn	-5.5
Sat 10/10	Tennessee at Arkansas	-9.5
Sat 10/17	Tennessee vs Alabama	-0.5
Sat 10/24	Tennessee at South Carolina	-4
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7	Tennessee vs Kentucky	-15.5
Sat 11/14	Tennessee at Texas A&M	+10
Sat 11/21	Tennessee vs LSU	-1
Sat 11/28	Tennessee at Vanderbilt	+3

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TEX	#66 (.18)	40% (96)	30.5	42% (83)	2.83 (87)	138	39% (100)	251	3.52 (88)	#39 (.1)	39% (44)	20.3	40% (45)	39% (42)	3.77 (75)	69.7	0.7	1.8
TENN	#5 (.33)	51% (5)	39.8	52% (3)	3.1 (40)	176	50% (9)	293	4.69 (9)	#69 (.16)	44% (107)	28.8	48% (123)	41% (67)	4.09 (109)	54.8	1.2	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TEX		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TENN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TEX Offense	13	30.5	19.8	40.5%	3.52	0.7	19	389	138	251	4.2	47%	51%	42%	39%	16%	.18
TENN Defense	13	28.8	29	44.5%	4.09	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	48%	41%	18%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TEX Defense	13	20.3	25.8	39.4%	3.77	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	40%	39%	18%	.1
TENN Offense	13	39.8	42.3	50.6%	4.69	1.2	25	469	176	293	4.7	50%	48%	52%	50%	12%	.33

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas	13	28:29	19	39%	53%	8.3	69.7	0.7	1.8	6.3	3	2	31.3
Tennessee	13	27:22	25.2	50%	76%	6.2	54.8	1.2	1.5	6.6	2.7	4	28.2

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TEX Offense	13	47% (91)	42% (83)	32.5	138	4.2	17 (88)	.08 (83)	2.83 (87)	63% (116)	10% (95)	0.94 (79)
TENN Defense	13	50% (72)	48% (123)	-	-	-	-	.12 (79)	2.89 (73)	82% (126)	12% (16)	0.85 (15)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TEX Defense	13	44% (13)	40% (45)	-	-	-	-	.01 (19)	2.69 (30)	57% (4)	11% (20)	0.84 (13)
TENN Offense	13	50% (65)	52% (3)	37.8	176.2	4.7	35 (16)	.26 (9)	3.1 (40)	85% (2)	8% (23)	0.96 (72)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TEX Offense	13	51% (48)	39% (100)	19.8	32.3	250.7	7.8	12.6	28 (50)	7 (60)	.29 (50)	1.7 (11)	33% (99)	33% (38)	.43 (26)	6% (55)	2.2 (21)
TENN Defense	13	49% (78)	41% (67)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (75)	.22 (58)	1.5 (54)	31% (78)	28% (45)	.26 (58)	7% (32)	2.1 (105)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TEX Defense	13	55% (129)	39% (42)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (12)	.2 (52)	1.5 (38)	33% (48)	28% (37)	.22 (38)	7% (38)	1.8 (21)
TENN Offense	13	48% (74)	50% (9)	22.5	33.6	292.8	8.7	13	26 (14)	10 (88)	.41 (19)	1.6 (57)	26% (10)	34% (24)	.47 (16)	5% (28)	2.2 (10)

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 26.89 #4
Texas's Offense Rating: 24.80 #5
Texas's Defense Rating: 2.65 #11
2026 Talent Rating: 1104.00 #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 65% #6
Texas's 2026 Expected Record: 9.5 - 3.5
Texas's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.2 #17
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #30
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #18

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas: 26.89 Tennessee: 18.36

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas: 16.2 Tennessee: 15.0

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 18.36 #18
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 22.10 #11
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 10.38 #28
2026 Talent Rating: 980.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 53 #10
Tennessee's 2026 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Tennessee's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.0 #19
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #7
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #63

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Texas Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.8

Texas's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Texas 31
Tennessee 28

Projected Total Points: 59

Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.3
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

Tennessee's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Tennessee	0	0	0 Overs
Texas	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0

(#4) TEX at (#18) TENN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TEX	TENN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#4	#18
SP+SP+	#17	#19
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#4	#15
Blue ChipsBC%	#6	#10

Texas Injury Report

Tennessee Injury Report

Texas on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TEX Off	TENN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#96	#107
ExplosiveExp	#14	#13
PPAPPA	#66	#69
PowerPwr	#5	#28
SP+SP+	#30	#63
Pts POPPO	#88	#109
HavocHav	#76	#19

Texas Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TEX Off	TENN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#83	#123
Run ExplRExp	#79	#15
PPAExp	#83	#79
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#87	#73
Stuff RateStuff	#120	#47
TackleTak	-	NR

Texas Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TEX Off	TENN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#100	#67
Pass ExplPExl	#11	#54
PPAExp	#50	#58
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#95	#16
DB HavocDB	#55	#32

Tennessee on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	TENN Off	TEX Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#5	#44
ExplosiveExp	#51	#28
PPAPPA	#5	#39
PowerPwr	#11	#11
SP+SP+	#7	#18
Pts POPPO	#9	#75
HavocHav	#18	#24

Tennessee Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	TENN Off	TEX Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#3	#45
Run ExplRExp	#72	#13
PPAExp	#9	#19
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#40	#30
Stuff RateStuff	#12	#33
TackleTak	-	NR

Tennessee Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	TENN Off	TEX Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#9	#42
Pass ExplPExl	#57	#38
PPAExp	#19	#52
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#23	#20
DB HavocDB	#28	#38

Program Comparison
TENN 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'26 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

TEX 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'26 Profile: Remains CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

No Matchups Past 4 Years

TEX's OC Kyle Flood (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Arch Manning	248	404	61%	3163	26	7	7.8
MJ Morris (Tr)	35	60	58%	304	1	4	5.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Raleek Brown (Tr)	186	1141	4	6.1	88
Daylan Smothers	160	939	6	5.9	65
Arch Manning	92	399	10	4.3	60
Reid Watkins	72	280	1	3.9	30

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ryan Wingo	54	834	7	15.4	75
Cam Coleman (Tr)	57	725	5	12.7	46
Emmett Mosley V	28	408	3	14.6	40
Raleek Brown (Tr)	34	239	2	7.0	33

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC Will Muschamp (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Rasheem Biles (Tr)	100	17	5	4	4
Jelani McDonald	80	4	0	1	3
Ty'Anthony Smith	59	6	1	1	1
Bo Mascoe (Tr)	48	2	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Colin Simmons	43	16	12	15	2
Rasheem Biles (Tr)	100	17	5	4	4
Brad Spence	21	6	3	2	0
Hero Kanu	31	4	2	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kade Phillips	22	2	0	0	6
Graceson Littleton	46	3	0	0	6
Rasheem Biles (Tr)	100	17	5	4	4

TENN's OC Joey Halzle (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ryan Staub (Tr)	30	55	55%	426	3	4	7.7
George MacIntyre	7	9	78%	69	0	0	7.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
DeSean Bishop	182	1076	16	5.9	50
Javin Gordon (Tr)	128	516	5	4.0	25
Daune Morris	35	133	1	3.8	19
Justin Baker	14	43	0	3.1	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Braylon Staley	68	837	6	12.3	73
Mike Matthews	53	813	4	15.3	62
Ethan Davis	21	257	2	12.2	40
DeSean Bishop	15	135	0	9.0	23

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Jim Knowles (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Amare Campbell (Tr)	103	10	3	4	1
Edwin Spillman	81	4	3	3	2
Jeremiah Telander	80	6	1	2	0
Edrees Farooq	76	0	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Norman (Tr)	27	8	6	2	0
Amare Campbell (Tr)	103	10	3	4	1
Daevin Hobbs	30	4	3	2	2
Edwin Spillman	81	4	3	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Ty Redmond	43	1	11
DJ Burks (Tr)	73	2	5
TJ Metcalf (Tr)	58	3	4