Massachusetts at Central Michigan - 2025 Matchup Preview

Massachusetts Minutemen at Central Michigan Chippewas

Saturday, October 25th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Central Michigan -16.5 (46.5) (-800) Open: -16.5
Central Michigan 38 - Massachusetts: 13 (Mid-American)

Minutemen (0 - 12) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Joe Harasymiak (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 11 - 39 (9 - 43 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 12 (#136)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)

UMASS is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Central Michigan -26.5 (SP+ CMU -30)
Projected Score: UMASS: 10 - CMU: 37 (47)
CMU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
UMASS Travel: 623 miles

Chippewas (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Matt Drinkall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (30 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#66)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)

Matchup
Schedules
UMASS Players
CMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Massachusetts's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Massachusetts vs Temple	+3.0	51.5	L 10 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/6	Massachusetts vs Bryant	-14.5	52.0	L 26 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/13	Massachusetts at Iowa	+35.5	44.5	L 7 - 47	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Massachusetts at Missouri	+44.5	57.5	L 6 - 42	U	Y
Sat 10/4	Massachusetts vs Western Michigan	+12.5	46.5	L 3 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/11	Massachusetts at Kent State	+1.5	49.5	L 6 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/18	Massachusetts vs Buffalo	+16.5	47.5	L 21 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/25	Massachusetts at Central Michigan	+16.5	46.5	L 13 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4	Massachusetts at Akron	+12.5	51.5	L 10 - 44	O	N
Wed 11/12	Massachusetts vs Northern Illinois	+8.5	43.5	L 3 - 45	O	N
Tue 11/18	Massachusetts at Ohio	+34.5	53.5	L 14 - 42	O	Y
Tue 11/25	Massachusetts vs Bowling Green	+14.0	44.5	L 14 - 45	O	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 2

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule

Central Michigan's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Central Michigan at San José State	+11.5	50.5	W 16 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Central Michigan at Pittsburgh	+21.5	48.5	L 17 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/13	Central Michigan at Michigan	+27.5	42.5	L 3 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/20	Central Michigan vs Wagner	-29.0	47.0	W 49 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan	-3.0	55.5	W 24 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/4	Central Michigan at Akron	-7.0	47.5	L 22 - 28	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18	Central Michigan at Bowling Green	+3.0	43.5	W 27 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/25	Central Michigan vs Massachusetts	-16.5	46.5	W 38 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/1	Central Michigan at Western Michigan	+6.0	43.5	L 21 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/12	Central Michigan vs Buffalo	-2.5	44.5	W 38 - 19	O	Y
Wed 11/19	Central Michigan at Kent State	-7.5	50.5	W 28 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/29	Central Michigan vs Toledo	+11.5	46.5	L 3 - 21	U	N
Fri 12/26	Central Michigan vs Northwestern	+13.5	43.5	L 7 - 34	U	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UMASS	#135 (-.01)	34% (134)	11.1	33% (136)	2.05 (136)	82	34% (129)	165	2.17 (136)	#132 (.28)	48% (130)	38.6	49% (129)	48% (129)	4.64 (134)	41.4	1.3	0.8
CMU	#70 (.17)	41% (89)	22.5	40% (103)	2.79 (102)	158	44% (41)	153	3.6 (79)	#38 (.1)	40% (45)	23.5	41% (56)	39% (43)	3.14 (27)	45.2	0.9	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UMASS	#69 (.19)	41% (94)		43% (78)	3.1 (50)	164	38% (110)	182	3.73 (89)	#114 (.26)	46% (116)		51% (128)	40% (71)	4.66 (129)	63.2	0.8	0.8
CMU	#96 (.15)	39% (115)		42% (88)	3.2 (41)	169	34% (124)	163	3.82 (80)	#96 (.21)	40% (44)		41% (48)	39% (50)	3.6 (45)	60.9	2	0.4

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UMASS Offense	12	11.1	9.3	33.7%	2.17	1.3	16	248	82	165	2.8	45%	54%	33%	34%	20%	-.01
CMU Defense	13	23.5	15.2	39.5%	3.14	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	41%	39%	17%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UMASS Defense	12	38.6	42.5	48%	4.64	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	55%	43%	49%	48%	9%	.28
CMU Offense	13	22.5	30.4	41.1%	3.6	0.9	16	311	158	153	4.1	63%	35%	40%	44%	16%	.17

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Massachusetts	12	26:56	15.5	31%	23%	5.2	41.4	1.3	0.8	3.3	1.1	1	25.9
Central Michigan	13	29:35	15.8	35%	60%	5.6	45.2	0.9	1.5	4.9	2.2	2	29

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UMASS Offense	12	45% (108)	33% (136)	29.3	82.4	2.8	6 (122)	-.03 (129)	2.05 (136)	60% (127)	13% (127)	1.12 (12)
CMU Defense	13	47% (39)	41% (56)	-	-	-	-	.04 (32)	2.83 (57)	62% (12)	10% (61)	0.9 (38)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UMASS Defense	12	55% (126)	49% (129)	-	-	-	-	.2 (121)	3.53 (136)	77% (106)	6% (136)	0.84 (15)
CMU Offense	13	63% (7)	40% (103)	38.8	158.1	4.1	17 (78)	.07 (87)	2.79 (102)	75% (49)	12% (121)	0.92 (85)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UMASS Offense	12	54% (26)	34% (129)	18.6	34.6	165.1	4.8	8.9	8 (134)	9 (88)	.02 (132)	1.3 (135)	38% (135)	25% (118)	.14 (125)	7% (110)	2 (74)
CMU Defense	13	51% (97)	39% (43)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (12)	.19 (44)	1.5 (64)	32% (59)	27% (33)	.25 (55)	7% (24)	2 (74)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UMASS Defense	12	43% (12)	48% (129)	-	-	-	-	-	-	4 (75)	.41 (128)	1.6 (102)	26% (134)	33% (107)	.42 (121)	3% (136)	2 (77)
CMU Offense	13	35% (130)	44% (41)	11.9	17.5	153.4	8.8	12.9	15 (106)	6 (3)	.4 (23)	1.6 (40)	32% (73)	26% (115)	.31 (69)	4% (16)	2.1 (35)

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -23.52 #136
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: -1.23 #134
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 22.29 #134
2025 Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Massachusetts's 2025 Expected Record: 0.0 - 12.0
Massachusetts's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -36.2 #136
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 8.0 #136
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.6 #136

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -23.52 Central Michigan: -3.165

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -36.2 Central Michigan: -5.9

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -3.165 #89
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 4.11 #100
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 9.54 #78
2025 Talent Rating: 514.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Central Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 5.7
Central Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #92
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.5 #115
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #57

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 11.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.3
Defense: 38.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.5

Massachusetts's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 12
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Central Michigan 37
Massachusetts 10

Total Points: 47

Based on Last 4 Games
Central Michigan 36
Massachusetts 10

Total Points: 46

Based on Entire Season
Central Michigan 34
Massachusetts 15

Total Points: 49

Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.4
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.2

Central Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Central Michigan	38	Massachusetts	13	Central Michigan -16.5	Central Michigan	46.5	Over
2013	11/23	Central Michigan	37	Massachusetts	0	Central Michigan -8.5	Central Michigan	0
2012	11/23	Massachusetts	21	Central Michigan	42

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Central Michigan	3	2	1 Overs
Massachusetts	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0	0 - 2

(#136) UMASS at (#89) CMU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UMASS	CMU
Power RatePwr	#136	#89
SP+SP+	#136	#92
Perf GradeGrade	#136	#78
OffenseOff	#136	#75
DefenseDef	#129	#70
Spec TeamsST	#120	#117
TalentTal	#109	#116
Blue ChipsBC%	#101	#101

Massachusetts Notes(11/4) Killed by Akron, 169 total yds, 3 TOs. Worst FBS
(10/31) Worst program in CFB, but fair everyone is hurt
(10/31) UMass disgrace to MAC, should drop to FCS
(10/30) Only competitive in 2 games & 1 was L to Bryant
(10/24) 13 starters from Week 1 are out now.
(10/15) Have not scored 7+ points in any game over a month
(10/12) Blown out by Kent? UMass is worst team in CFB
(10/12) There is nothing here to like or fear. Mid FCS at best
(9/25) DBs are extremely banged up, moving CB to S
(9/25) 17 pts vs 2 FBS teams, 0 in the 2nd half
(9/25) QB1 B Rose is out, Hairston & Jordan playing
(8/30) Killed by Temple? Barely 300 yds, gave up 450+
Massachusetts Injury Report

Central Michigan Notes(10/31) QB1 Labas meh but QB2 Flores incredible runner
(10/31) 5-1 outside of paycheck games but lost @ Akron
(8/30) Ground & Pound offense, good vs SJSU 200+
(8/25) QB1 - Joe Labas starting, inj after 6 starts LY
(7/28) Is Drinkall running Army offense?
(6/12) Skill positions very weak on paper. Risers?
(3/26) QB Labas PT starter LY, Glasser has exp
(3/26) RB rebuild, Cornist (Tul) added, some depth
(3/26) WR complete rebuild, 13 rec back. No portals
(3/26) OL 3/5 back, meh LY. 4 portals, 3 via Valpo
(3/26) Def bad LY, return some. 3 portals
(3/26) New HC Drinkall was Army OL coach.
Central Michigan Injury Report

Massachusetts on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UMASS Off	CMU Def
Perf GradePerf	#136	#70
SuccessSuc	#134	#45
ExplosiveExp	#80	#55
PPAPPA	#135	#38
PowerPwr	#134	#78
SP+SP+	#136	#57
Pts POPPO	#136	#27
HavocHav	#131	#45

Massachusetts Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UMASS Off	CMU Def
Run GameRun	#134	#117
Run SuccessRSuc	#136	#56
Run ExplRExp	#12	#38
PPAExp	#129	#32
Run BlockR Blk	#111	-
OL YdsOLY	#136	#57
Stuff RateStuff	#136	#29
TackleTak	-	#36

Massachusetts Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UMASS Off	CMU Def
Pass GamePass	#114	#43
Pass SuccessPSuc	#129	#43
Pass ExplPExl	#135	#64
PPAExp	#132	#44
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#135	#21
F7 HavocF7	#127	#61
DB HavocDB	#110	#24

Central Michigan on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat	CMU Off	UMASS Def
Perf GradePerf	#75	#129
SuccessSuc	#89	#130
ExplosiveExp	#110	#22
PPAPPA	#70	#132
PowerPwr	#100	#134
SP+SP+	#115	#136
Pts POPPO	#79	#134
HavocHav	#71	#136

Central Michigan Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat	CMU Off	UMASS Def
Run GameRun	#66	#122
Run SuccessRSuc	#103	#129
Run ExplRExp	#85	#15
PPAExp	#87	#121
Run BlockR Blk	#87	-
OL YdsOLY	#102	#136
Stuff RateStuff	#81	#136
TackleTak	-	#96

Central Michigan Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat	CMU Off	UMASS Def
Pass GamePass	#59	#135
Pass SuccessPSuc	#41	#129
Pass ExplPExl	#40	#102
PPAExp	#23	#128
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#134	#38
F7 HavocF7	#121	#136
DB HavocDB	#16	#136

Program Comparison
CMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average G5

UMASS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 52°

Rematch from Week 9
Central Michigan -16.5 (46.5)
Central Michigan won vs Massachusetts this year (38-13)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

UMASS's OC Mike Bajakian (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
AJ Hairston	107	216	50%	957	4	4	4.4
Grant Jordan (Tr)	63	110	57%	595	3	2	5.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brandon Hood (Tr)	98	368	2	3.8	90
Rocko Griffin (Tr)	53	245	2	4.6	43
Elijah Faulkner	40	114	0	2.9	14
Juwuan Price	26	101	0	3.9	27

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jacquon Gibson	63	616	0	9.8	50
Donnie Gray (Tr)	27	260	0	9.6	41
Max Dowling (Tr)	20	199	3	10.0	77
Jake McConnachie (Tr)	16	144	0	9.0	21

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

UMASS's DC Jared Keyte (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyler Martin	97	3	0	0	2
Derrieon Craig	78	1	1	1	2
Zeraun Daniel (Tr)	75	3	0	0	2
Timmy Hinspeter (Tr)	69	4	2	2	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marques White	43	11	5	3	1
David Onuoha (Tr)	42	5	3	2	0
Timmy Hinspeter (Tr)	69	4	2	2	2
Tim Grant-Randall	27	3	2	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyler Martin	97	3	0	0	2
Zeraun Daniel (Tr)	75	3	0	0	2
Timmy Hinspeter (Tr)	69	4	2	2	2

CMU's OC Jim Chapin (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joey Labas	147	208	71%	1854	13	6	8.9
Angel H Flores	19	28	68%	195	2	1	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nahree Biggins	105	540	2	5.1	58
Angel H Flores	107	527	8	4.9	37
Trey Cornist (Tr)	104	469	1	4.5	29
Brock Townsend	82	418	4	5.1	46

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Langston Lewis	43	596	3	13.9	77
Tommy Mcintosh	31	422	3	13.6	47
Tyson Davis	25	323	2	12.9	36
Nahree Biggins	19	185	1	9.7	88

View Central Michigan's Full Roster

CMU's DC Sean Cronin (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Kwiatkowski	112	14	3	2	4
Dakota Cochran	81	6	1	5	3
Caleb Spann	54	1	0	0	4
Kalen Carroll (Tr)	49	2	0	1	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Heldman	48	17	12	8	4
Korver Demma	28	9	4	5	1
Jordan Kwiatkowski	112	14	3	2	4
Jaion Jackson	45	4	2	2	7

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brenden Deasfernandes	25	0	0	0	8
Jaion Jackson	45	4	2	2	7
Jordan Kwiatkowski	112	14	3	2	4