Massachusetts at Akron - 2025 Matchup Preview

Tuesday, November 4th 2025 (7:00 PM EST)
Akron -12.5 (51.5) (-485) Open: -9.5
Akron 44 - Massachusetts: 10 (Mid-American)

Minutemen (0 - 12) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Joe Harasymiak (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 11 - 39 (9 - 43 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 12 (#136)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)

UMASS coming off BYE
AKR coming off BYE
Our Line: Akron -21.5 (SP+ AKR -23)
Projected Score: UMASS: 14 - AKR: 35 (49)
AKR Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
UMASS Travel: 471 miles

Zips (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Joe Moorhead (8 - 28)
Avg Score : 22 - 27 (28 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)

Matchup
Schedules
UMASS Players
AKR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Massachusetts's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Massachusetts vs Temple	+3.0	51.5	L 10 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/6	Massachusetts vs Bryant	-14.5	52.0	L 26 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/13	Massachusetts at Iowa	+35.5	44.5	L 7 - 47	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Massachusetts at Missouri	+44.5	57.5	L 6 - 42	U	Y
Sat 10/4	Massachusetts vs Western Michigan	+12.5	46.5	L 3 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/11	Massachusetts at Kent State	+1.5	49.5	L 6 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/18	Massachusetts vs Buffalo	+16.5	47.5	L 21 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/25	Massachusetts at Central Michigan	+16.5	46.5	L 13 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4	Massachusetts at Akron	+12.5	51.5	L 10 - 44	O	N
Wed 11/12	Massachusetts vs Northern Illinois	+8.5	43.5	L 3 - 45	O	N
Tue 11/18	Massachusetts at Ohio	+34.5	53.5	L 14 - 42	O	Y
Tue 11/25	Massachusetts vs Bowling Green	+14.0	44.5	L 14 - 45	O	N

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule

Akron's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Akron vs Wyoming	+8.5	49.5	L 0 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/6	Akron at Nebraska	+34.0	47.5	L 0 - 68	O	N
Sat 9/13	Akron at UAB	+12.5	58.5	L 28 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Akron vs Duquesne	-10.5	51.0	W 51 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Akron at Toledo	+21.5	50.5	L 3 - 45	U	N
Sat 10/4	Akron vs Central Michigan	+7.0	47.5	W 28 - 22	O	Y
Sat 10/11	Akron vs Miami (OH)	+11.5	47.5	L 7 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/18	Akron at Ball State	-2.5	44.5	L 28 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/25	Akron at Buffalo	+10.0	48.5	W 24 - 16	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4	Akron vs Massachusetts	-12.5	51.5	W 44 - 10	O	Y
Tue 11/11	Akron vs Kent State	-7.5	49.5	L 35 - 42	O	N
Tue 11/18	Akron at Bowling Green	+2.5	47.5	W 19 - 16	U	Y

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 2

Predictions for Akron's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UMASS	#135 (-.01)	34% (134)	11.1	33% (136)	2.05 (136)	82	34% (129)	165	2.17 (136)	#132 (.28)	48% (130)	38.6	49% (129)	48% (129)	4.64 (134)	41.4	1.3	0.8
AKR	#118 (.07)	38% (112)	22.3	40% (98)	2.8 (100)	136	37% (114)	219	3.25 (112)	#46 (.11)	39% (39)	27.4	41% (59)	38% (36)	3.68 (70)	45.8	1.4	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UMASS	#69 (.19)	41% (94)		43% (78)	3.1 (50)	164	38% (110)	182	3.73 (89)	#114 (.26)	46% (116)		51% (128)	40% (71)	4.66 (129)	63.2	0.8	0.8
AKR	#122 (.07)	39% (114)		44% (64)	2.82 (103)	101	36% (118)	233	3.26 (120)	#91 (.21)	45% (101)		41% (55)	49% (126)	4.19 (108)	48.7	1.7	0.8

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UMASS Offense	12	11.1	9.3	33.7%	2.17	1.3	16	248	82	165	2.8	45%	54%	33%	34%	20%	-.01
AKR Defense	12	27.4	18.5	39.2%	3.68	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	41%	38%	17%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UMASS Defense	12	38.6	42.5	48%	4.64	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	55%	43%	49%	48%	9%	.28
AKR Offense	12	22.3	27.5	38.4%	3.25	1.4	20	355	136	219	3.8	45%	52%	40%	37%	18%	.07

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Massachusetts	12	26:56	15.5	31%	23%	5.2	41.4	1.3	0.8	3.3	1.1	1	25.9
Akron	12	29:52	20.1	31%	48%	5.8	45.8	1.4	1.7	5.8	2.1	1	29.4

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UMASS Offense	12	45% (108)	33% (136)	29.3	82.4	2.8	6 (122)	-.03 (129)	2.05 (136)	60% (127)	13% (127)	1.12 (12)
AKR Defense	12	51% (77)	41% (59)	-	-	-	-	.03 (27)	2.75 (46)	58% (5)	11% (30)	0.92 (50)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UMASS Defense	12	55% (126)	49% (129)	-	-	-	-	.2 (121)	3.53 (136)	77% (106)	6% (136)	0.84 (15)
AKR Offense	12	45% (103)	40% (98)	35.8	136.4	3.8	9 (132)	(122)	2.8 (100)	72% (70)	10% (98)	0.82 (122)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UMASS Offense	12	54% (26)	34% (129)	18.6	34.6	165.1	4.8	8.9	8 (134)	9 (88)	.02 (132)	1.3 (135)	38% (135)	25% (118)	.14 (125)	7% (110)	2 (74)
AKR Defense	12	48% (69)	38% (36)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (38)	.23 (58)	1.7 (121)	30% (93)	25% (15)	.22 (40)	6% (54)	2.2 (115)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UMASS Defense	12	43% (12)	48% (129)	-	-	-	-	-	-	4 (75)	.41 (128)	1.6 (102)	26% (134)	33% (107)	.42 (121)	3% (136)	2 (77)
AKR Offense	12	52% (39)	37% (114)	17.4	33.7	219	6.5	12.6	20 (50)	9 (88)	.18 (105)	1.6 (34)	35% (125)	28% (96)	.19 (113)	8% (123)	2.1 (61)

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -23.52 #136
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: -1.23 #134
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 22.29 #134
2025 Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Massachusetts's 2025 Expected Record: 0.0 - 12.0
Massachusetts's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -36.2 #136
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 8.0 #136
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.6 #136

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -23.52 Akron: -8.605

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -36.2 Akron: -13.0

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -8.605 #105
Akron's Offense Rating: 1.41 #119
Akron's Defense Rating: 10.62 #82
2025 Talent Rating: 472.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Akron's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Akron's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.0 #114
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.6 #122
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #86

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 11.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.3
Defense: 38.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.5

Massachusetts's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 12
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Akron 35
Massachusetts 14

Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Akron 28
Massachusetts 17

Total Points: 44

Based on Entire Season
Akron 33
Massachusetts 16

Total Points: 49

Akron Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.5
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.5

Akron's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/04	Akron	44	Massachusetts	10	Akron -12.5	Akron	51.5	Over
2019	09/28	Massachusetts	37	Akron	29	Akron -7.5	Massachusetts	60.5	Over
2015	11/07	Massachusetts	13	Akron	17	UMass -1.5	Akron	54.0	Under
2014	11/18	Akron	30	Massachusetts	6	Akron -7	Akron	0
2013	11/16	Massachusetts	13	Akron	14	Akron -7	Massachusetts	0
2012	11/10	Akron	14	Massachusetts	22

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Akron	4	3	2 Overs
Massachusetts	2	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 3	4 - 1	2 - 1	2 - 0
Road Teams	3 - 3	1 - 4	0 - 2	1 - 2

(#136) UMASS at (#105) AKR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UMASS	AKR
Power RatePwr	#136	#105
SP+SP+	#136	#114
Perf GradeGrade	#136	#85
OffenseOff	#136	#84
DefenseDef	#129	#49
Spec TeamsST	#120	#103
TalentTal	#109	#122
Blue ChipsBC%	#101	#56

Massachusetts Notes(11/4) Killed by Akron, 169 total yds, 3 TOs. Worst FBS
(10/31) Worst program in CFB, but fair everyone is hurt
(10/31) UMass disgrace to MAC, should drop to FCS
(10/30) Only competitive in 2 games & 1 was L to Bryant
(10/24) 13 starters from Week 1 are out now.
(10/15) Have not scored 7+ points in any game over a month
(10/12) Blown out by Kent? UMass is worst team in CFB
(10/12) There is nothing here to like or fear. Mid FCS at best
(9/25) DBs are extremely banged up, moving CB to S
(9/25) 17 pts vs 2 FBS teams, 0 in the 2nd half
(9/25) QB1 B Rose is out, Hairston & Jordan playing
(8/30) Killed by Temple? Barely 300 yds, gave up 450+
Massachusetts Injury Report

Akron Notes(11/4) Killed UMass, over 430 yds, Def played well
(10/31) Coming off only bye into Nov & last 3 MAC gms
(10/31) QB Ben Finley & RB Jordan Grant can play, OL Avg
(10/31) Could get to 6-6? UMass, Kent, BG to finish
(10/4) QB Finley missed Toledo game, ? for CMU game
(9/24) QB Finley playing better but this Off is terrible
(8/28) Offense somehow worse than anticipated, woof
(8/21) This is not an FBS roster. Bad team
(8/21) No bowl, no real bye, end on Nov 18th
(7/27) WR A Adams was leader WR in '23, injury probs
(5/29) QB Finley & WRs + DBs are only real assets
(5/29) RB awful LY. Limited options, 1 FCS portal add?
Akron Injury Report

Massachusetts on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UMASS Off	AKR Def
Perf GradePerf	#136	#49
SuccessSuc	#134	#39
ExplosiveExp	#80	#93
PPAPPA	#135	#46
PowerPwr	#134	#82
SP+SP+	#136	#86
Pts POPPO	#136	#70
HavocHav	#131	#35

Massachusetts Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UMASS Off	AKR Def
Run GameRun	#134	#65
Run SuccessRSuc	#136	#59
Run ExplRExp	#12	#50
PPAExp	#129	#27
Run BlockR Blk	#111	-
OL YdsOLY	#136	#46
Stuff RateStuff	#136	#19
TackleTak	-	#50

Massachusetts Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UMASS Off	AKR Def
Pass GamePass	#114	#70
Pass SuccessPSuc	#129	#36
Pass ExplPExl	#135	#121
PPAExp	#132	#58
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#135	#53
F7 HavocF7	#127	#30
DB HavocDB	#110	#54

Akron on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	AKR Off	UMASS Def
Perf GradePerf	#84	#129
SuccessSuc	#112	#130
ExplosiveExp	#62	#22
PPAPPA	#118	#132
PowerPwr	#119	#134
SP+SP+	#122	#136
Pts POPPO	#112	#134
HavocHav	#114	#136

Akron Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	AKR Off	UMASS Def
Run GameRun	#102	#122
Run SuccessRSuc	#98	#129
Run ExplRExp	#122	#15
PPAExp	#122	#121
Run BlockR Blk	#32	-
OL YdsOLY	#100	#136
Stuff RateStuff	#104	#136
TackleTak	-	#96

Akron Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	AKR Off	UMASS Def
Pass GamePass	#69	#135
Pass SuccessPSuc	#114	#129
Pass ExplPExl	#34	#102
PPAExp	#105	#128
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#116	#38
F7 HavocF7	#98	#136
DB HavocDB	#123	#136

Program Comparison
AKR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

UMASS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Summa Field at InfoCision Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 45°

Rematch from Week 11
Akron -12.5 (51.5)
Akron won vs Massachusetts this year (44-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

UMASS's OC Mike Bajakian (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
AJ Hairston	107	216	50%	957	4	4	4.4
Grant Jordan (Tr)	63	110	57%	595	3	2	5.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brandon Hood (Tr)	98	368	2	3.8	90
Rocko Griffin (Tr)	53	245	2	4.6	43
Elijah Faulkner	40	114	0	2.9	14
Juwuan Price	26	101	0	3.9	27

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jacquon Gibson	63	616	0	9.8	50
Donnie Gray (Tr)	27	260	0	9.6	41
Max Dowling (Tr)	20	199	3	10.0	77
Jake McConnachie (Tr)	16	144	0	9.0	21

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

UMASS's DC Jared Keyte (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyler Martin	97	3	0	0	2
Derrieon Craig	78	1	1	1	2
Zeraun Daniel (Tr)	75	3	0	0	2
Timmy Hinspeter (Tr)	69	4	2	2	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marques White	43	11	5	3	1
David Onuoha (Tr)	42	5	3	2	0
Timmy Hinspeter (Tr)	69	4	2	2	2
Tim Grant-Randall	27	3	2	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyler Martin	97	3	0	0	2
Zeraun Daniel (Tr)	75	3	0	0	2
Timmy Hinspeter (Tr)	69	4	2	2	2

AKR's OC Taylor Housewright (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ben Finley	186	362	51%	2475	19	9	6.8
Michael Johnson Jr. (Tr)	12	23	52%	62	1	0	2.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan Gant (Tr)	213	1032	6	4.8	36
Sean Patrick	69	274	1	4.0	25
Ben Finley	69	130	2	1.9	40
Marquese Williams	21	86	0	4.1	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marcel Williams (Tr)	45	641	2	14.2	46
Israel Polk	33	525	8	15.9	75
Kyan Mason	33	481	5	14.6	62
Myles Walker	20	209	0	10.5	24

View Akron's Full Roster

AKR's DC Tim Tibesar (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shammond Cooper	66	5	1	1	1
Gage Summers	54	7	2	1	0
DiMarco Johnson	53	1	0	0	3
Malcom DeWalt IV	51	3	0	1	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Julien Laventure	45	11	4	6	0
Bruno Dall	44	8	4	6	6
Cyrus Durham (Tr)	32	9	4	7	0
Ronald Hull	20	3	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Malcom DeWalt IV	51	3	0	1	8
Bruno Dall	44	8	4	6	6
Elijah Reed	44	2	1	0	4