Merrimack at Kennesaw State - 2025 Matchup Preview

Merrimack Warriors at Kennesaw State Owls

Saturday, September 13th 2025 (6:00 PM EDT)
Kennesaw State -17.5 (44.5) (-950) Open: 0.0 | 44.5
Kennesaw State 27 - Merrimack: 13

Warriors (0 - 2) (2 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 15 - 24 (15 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MER coming off BYE
Our Line: -16.5 (SP+ KENN -17)
KENN Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%

Owls (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jerry Mack (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 15 - 26 (27 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#112)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)

Matchup
Schedules
MER Players
KENN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Merrimack's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Merrimack at Kent State	+5.5	50.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13	Merrimack at Kennesaw State	+17.5	44.5	L 13 - 27	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Merrimack's Schedule

Kennesaw State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Kennesaw State at Wake Forest	+17.5	51.5	L 9 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Kennesaw State at Indiana	+35.5	51.5	L 9 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/13	Kennesaw State vs Merrimack	-17.5	44.5	W 27 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/20	Kennesaw State vs Arkansas State	+6.0	56.5
Sat 9/27	Kennesaw State vs Middle Tennessee	-5.5
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9	Kennesaw State vs Louisiana Tech	+9
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/21	Kennesaw State vs Florida International	+13.5
Tue 10/28	Kennesaw State vs UTEP	+9
Sat 11/8	Kennesaw State at New Mexico State	+7.5
Sat 11/15	Kennesaw State at Jacksonville State	+8.5
Sat 11/22	Kennesaw State vs Missouri State	-1.5
Sat 11/29	Kennesaw State at Liberty	+19

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 9
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kennesaw State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MER		0%	15	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	24	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
KENN	#110 (.08)	30% (133)	15	31% (130)	2.34 (121)	140	29% (131)	176	2.71 (122)	#114 (.25)	49% (123)	26.3	44% (95)	55% (131)	4.21 (95)	68	1	0

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MER		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
KENN	#134 (-.04)	31% (133)		31% (134)	2.16 (134)	116	32% (129)	136	3.5 (103)	#93 (.21)	46% (114)		45% (91)	48% (122)	4.15 (102)	46.3	1.5	1

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MER Offense	2	15	15	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
KENN Defense	3	26.3	13	48.7%	4.21	0	-	-	-	-	-	57%	43%	44%	55%	11%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MER Defense	2	24	24	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
KENN Offense	3	15	27	30.2%	2.71	1	16	316	140	176	3.9	53%	47%	31%	29%	21%	.08

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Merrimack	2	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Kennesaw State	3	26:05	16.3	36%	50%	8	68	1	0	8.7	3	0	24.3

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MER Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
KENN Defense	3	57% (116)	44% (95)	-	-	-	-	.26 (121)	3.04 (96)	75% (80)	7% (110)	1.22 (115)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MER Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
KENN Offense	3	53% (57)	31% (130)	35.7	140	3.9	3 (95)	.02 (103)	2.34 (121)	50% (124)	15% (131)	1.22 (26)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MER Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
KENN Defense	3	43% (23)	55% (131)	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	.24 (76)	1.2 (8)	22% (134)	19% (23)	-.15 (6)	4% (113)	1.9 (56)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MER Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
KENN Offense	3	47% (78)	29% (131)	15.3	28.3	175.7	6.2	11.5	1 (123)	2 (60)	.15 (101)	2 (8)	49% (136)	33% (54)	.49 (42)	6% (79)	2.1 (56)

Merrimack's Power Ratings
Merrimack's Power Rating: #NR
Merrimack's Offense Rating: #NR
Merrimack's Defense Rating: #NR
2025 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Merrimack's 2025 Expected Record: -
Merrimack's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Merrimack's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Merrimack's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average NEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Merrimack: Kennesaw State: -16.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Merrimack: Kennesaw State: -16.5

Kennesaw State's Power Ratings
Kennesaw State's Power Rating: -16.45 #134
Kennesaw State's Offense Rating: -0.78 #136
Kennesaw State's Defense Rating: 21.37 #122
2025 Talent Rating: 358.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Kennesaw State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8
Kennesaw State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.5 #123
Kennesaw State's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #135
Kennesaw State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #85

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Merrimack Scoring
Offense: 15 PPG
Offense on Road: 15
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 24

Merrimack's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Kennesaw State 23
Merrimack 18

Total Points: 41

Kennesaw State Scoring
Offense: 15 PPG
Offense at Home: 27
Defense: 26.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Kennesaw State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/13	Kennesaw State	27	Merrimack	13	Kennesaw State	Kennesaw State -17.5	Merrimack	44.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kennesaw State	1	0	0 Overs
Merrimack	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#NR) Merrimack Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Merrimack has lost 1 straight
Merrimack has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Merrimack Highlights
Merrimack is Undefeated vs Spread

Merrimack Deficiencies
Merrimack has a really bad Offense

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	KENN	MER
OverallOver	#108	—
OffenseOff	#109	—
DefenseDef	#92	—
Special TeamsST	#95	—
PassingPass	#105	—
RushingRush	#79	—
Run BlockRBLK	#115	—
Pass BlockPBLK	#110	—
Route RunningWR Rt	#93	—
TacklingTkl	#96	—
Run DefenseR Def	#77	—
Pass Rush DefPRush	#83	—
Coverage DefCov	#102	—

Rematch from Week 3
Kennesaw State -17.5 (44.5)
Kennesaw State won vs Merrimack this year (27-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Fifth Third Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MER | KENN
Depth Chart: MER | KENN
Rosters: MER | KENN

(#134) Kennesaw State Info
Power Rating: -16.45 #134
Offense Rating: -0.78 #136
Defense Rating: 21.37 #122
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.5 #123
Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #135
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #85
Talent Rating: 358.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 30%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.71 PPO
Awful Run Success 31%
Awful Pass Success 29%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.21 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 44%
Awful Pass Def Success 55%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Kennesaw State has lost 2 straight
Record at home: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Kennesaw State Notes
(8/16) QB D. Williams (GSU) will start, S Williams #2
(4/7) WR Benyard best on team. Rest are JAG-
(4/7) RB Bennett (Rice) looks good, big FCS RB '23
(3/24) RB complete rebuild. 2 portals, meh
(3/24) OL 2/5 back, awful LY. 2 exp'd portals.
(3/24) Def awful, return a lot. 6 portal adds, 4 DBs
(3/24) HC Mack was Tenn RB coach, NFL exp
(3/24) Year 2 in FBS will be rough, upset Liberty LY.

Kennesaw State Highlights
Kennesaw State is Undefeated at Home

Kennesaw State offense is explosive (#5)
Kennesaw State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Kennesaw State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Kennesaw State Deficiencies
Kennesaw State has a really bad Offense
Kennesaw State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#118)
Kennesaw State offense is really bad (#133)
Kennesaw State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#134)
Kennesaw State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#122)
Kennesaw State run game is really bad (#130)
Kennesaw State pass game is really bad (#131)
Kennesaw State has a bad defense (#123)

Merrimack's OC

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ayden Pereira	47	81	58%	596	2	0	7.4
Aveon Smith	2	4	50%	50	0	1	12.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ayden Pereira	50	203	1	4.1	27
Brendon Wyatt	27	101	1	3.7	39
DeMarcus McElroy	18	64	0	3.6	14
Aveon Smith	6	42	1	7.0	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen McDonald	12	169	0	14.1	34
Seth Sweitzer	9	143	1	15.9	36
Hayden Fisher	7	90	0	12.9	33
Cade Callahan	5	66	1	13.2	27

View Merrimack's Full Roster

Merrimack's DC

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kendal Sims	17	1	0	0	0
DJ Frazier	16	1	1	1	0
Rajahn Cooper	13	0	0	0	1
RJ Chapman	11	0	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Bryce Warrick	1	1	1	1
Markeith Hogan	3	1	1	0
Jabari Echols	1	1	1	0
DJ Frazier	16	1	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Rajahn Cooper	13	0	1
Garry Rosemond Jr.	8	1	1
Nate Palanica Jr.	3	1	1

Kennesaw State's OC Mitch Militello

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dexter Williams II (Tr)	22	52	42%	236	0	1	4.5
Amari Odom	22	30	73%	284	1	1	9.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Coleman Bennett (Tr)	32	139	1	4.3	26
Alexander Diggs	27	118	0	4.4	25
Dexter Williams II (Tr)	20	86	1	4.3	16
Amari Odom	17	27	1	1.6	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Gabriel Benyard	12	208	1	17.3	47
Christian Moss	11	122	0	11.1	25
Lyndon Ravare (Tr)	7	106	0	15.1	38
Tykeem Wallace	3	33	0	11.0	19

View Kennesaw State's Full Roster

Kennesaw State's DC Marc Mattioli

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Baron Hopson	22	3	0	0
Caleb Offord (Tr)	16	2	0	3
Milon Jones	16	2	1	0
Garland Benyard	14	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elijah Hill	4	2	2	1	0
Roderick Daniels (Tr)	5	1	1	0	1
JeRico Washington Jr.	9	2	1	0	1
Kody Jones (Tr)	6	1	1	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Caleb Offord (Tr)	16	2	0	3
Roderick Daniels (Tr)	5	1	1	1
JeRico Washington Jr.	9	2	1	1