Cal Poly at Utah - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 6th 2025 (6:00 PM EDT)
Utah -42.5 (53.5) (0) Open: -41.5 | 52.0
Utah 63 - Cal Poly: 9

Mustangs (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 9 - 63 (9 - 63 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Utah -23.5 (SP+ UTAH -19)
UTAH Win prob: 100% | Cover: 56%

Utes (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (167 - 86)
Avg Score : 46 - 8 (63 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 2.3 (#10)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 7) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)

Matchup
Schedules
CP Players
UTAH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Cal Poly's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/6	Cal Poly at Utah	+42.5	53.5	L 9 - 63	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cal Poly's Schedule

Utah's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Utah at UCLA	-6.5	50.5	W 43 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/6	Utah vs Cal Poly	-42.5	53.5	W 63 - 9	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Utah at Wyoming	-24.5	47.5	W 31 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/20	Utah vs Texas Tech	-3.0	58.5
Sat 9/27	Utah at West Virginia	-11
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Utah vs Arizona State	-8
Sat 10/18	Utah at BYU	-5
Sat 10/25	Utah vs Colorado	-19.5
Sat 11/1	Utah vs Cincinnati	-10
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Utah at Baylor	-6
Sat 11/22	Utah vs Kansas State	-16.5
Sat 11/29	Utah at Kansas	-8

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 7, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 7, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Utah's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CP		0%	9	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	63	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UTAH	#28 (.35)	58% (8)	45.7	61% (5)	3.77 (10)	240	54% (19)	184	4.58 (45)	#3 (-.14)	30% (14)	8.3	32% (19)	29% (16)	2.71 (41)	46.7	0.3	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CP		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UTAH	#120 (.08)	37% (125)		38% (116)	2.73 (114)	130	35% (119)	199	3.4 (111)	#7 (.05)	35% (4)		37% (10)	34% (6)	3.13 (15)	46.3	1.8	1.5

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CP Offense	1	9	9	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
UTAH Defense	3	8.3	9	30.4%	2.71	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	32%	29%	20%	-.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CP Defense	1	63	63	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
UTAH Offense	3	45.7	63	57.9%	4.58	0.3	22	424	240	184	5.9	55%	45%	61%	54%	9%	.35

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Cal Poly	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Utah	3	28:59	22.3	71%	100%	5.3	46.7	0.3	1.3	5.3	3	1	31.3

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CP Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
UTAH Defense	3	49% (61)	32% (19)	-	-	-	-	-.04 (36)	2.51 (43)	63% (43)	13% (37)	0.98 (76)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CP Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
UTAH Offense	3	55% (43)	61% (5)	41	239.7	5.9	9 (17)	.39 (11)	3.77 (10)	83% (28)	6% (25)	0.85 (95)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CP Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
UTAH Defense	3	51% (79)	29% (16)	-	-	-	-	-	-	3 (28)	-.24 (4)	1.4 (48)	32% (76)	18% (22)	-.42 (1)	7% (34)	1.4 (10)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CP Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
UTAH Offense	3	45% (92)	54% (19)	18	24.3	184	7.6	10.2	5 (54)	0 (1)	.29 (68)	1 (135)	20% (5)	47% (9)	.51 (39)	3% (26)	1.1 (132)

Cal Poly's Power Ratings
Cal Poly's Power Rating: #NR
Cal Poly's Offense Rating: #NR
Cal Poly's Defense Rating: #NR
2025 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Cal Poly's 2025 Expected Record: -
Cal Poly's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Cal Poly's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Cal Poly's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Cal Poly: Utah: 23.545

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cal Poly: Utah: 18.8

Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 23.545 #22
Utah's Offense Rating: 19.87 #33
Utah's Defense Rating: -3.42 #13
2025 Talent Rating: 750.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 13 #36
Utah's 2025 Expected Record: 9.7 - 2.3
Utah's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.8 #14
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #35
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.8 #7

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Cal Poly Scoring
Offense: 9 PPG
Offense on Road: 9
Defense: 63 PPG
Defense on Road: 63

Cal Poly's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Utah 42
Cal Poly 19

Total Points: 61

Utah Scoring
Offense: 45.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 63
Defense: 8.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 9

Utah's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/06	Utah	63	Cal Poly	9	Utah	Utah -42.5	Utah	53.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Utah	1	1	1 Overs
Cal Poly	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#NR) Cal Poly Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Cal Poly Highlights

Cal Poly Deficiencies
Cal Poly has a really bad Offense
Cal Poly Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	UTAH	CP
OverallOver	#25	—
OffenseOff	#26	—
DefenseDef	#25	—
Special TeamsST	#22	—
PassingPass	#44	—
RushingRush	#15	—
Run BlockRBLK	#35	—
Pass BlockPBLK	#5	—
Route RunningWR Rt	#55	—
TacklingTkl	#29	—
Run DefenseR Def	#29	—
Pass Rush DefPRush	#14	—
Coverage DefCov	#65	—

Rematch from Week 2
Utah -42.5 (53.5)
Utah won vs Cal Poly this year (63-9)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice-Eccles Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CP | UTAH
Depth Chart: CP | UTAH
Rosters: CP | UTAH

(#22) Utah Info
Power Rating: 23.545 #22
Offense Rating: 19.87 #33
Defense Rating: -3.42 #13
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.8 #14
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #35
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.8 #7
Talent Rating: 750.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 13 #36
Expected Record: 9.7 - 2.3

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Great Offense Success Rate of 58%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Great Run Success 61%
Great Pass Success 54%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 30%
Good in Scoring Position 2.71 PPO
Great Run Def Success 32%
Great Pass Def Success 29%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Utah has won 1 straight
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Utah Notes
(7/22) WR rebuild. Top 2 from NM LY, 6 portal adds
(7/20) LB L Damuni has 4 years starting exp, hurt LY
(6/6) OL returns all 5 starters, top 5 unit in CFB
(5/27) QB Dampier (NM) full control of OC Beck's Off
(5/12) QB Dampier forced 54 missed tackles LY
(4/15) New OC Beck (NM) big improvement. Fun Off?
(4/4) OT Spencer Fano the #1 OT via PFF
(3/20) Def replaces a lot, but always v good.
(3/20) Def not many portals. Belief in depth
(3/20) DC Scalley named HC in waiting. Whit retiring?

Utah Highlights
Utah is Undefeated vs Spread
Utah in Undefeated
Utah is Undefeated at Home
Utah is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Utah has Really Good Running Game (#14)
Utah offense is efficent (#8)
Utah has a top Offensive Line (#10)
Utah offense is good on 3rd downs
Utah does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#12)

Utah Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Utah has a really good defense (#14)
Utah has a good run defense (#19)
Utah has a good pass defense (#16)
Utah Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#16)
Utah has a great TO Margin (#11)
Utah defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Utah Deficiencies
Utah offense is not Explosive (#135)

Cal Poly's OC

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ty Dieffenbach (Tr)	32	47	68%	537	5	1	11.4
Anthony Grigsby Jr. (Tr)	18	33	55%	282	2	1	8.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ty Dieffenbach (Tr)	20	75	1	3.8	43
Tyrei Washington (Tr)	21	65	1	3.1	28
Zion Hall	12	48	0	4.0	12
Trey Wilson	10	42	1	4.2	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Michael Briscoe	16	288	6	18.0	70
Kian Salehi	9	153	0	17.0	42
Jordan Garrison	8	141	0	17.6	36
Cal Zimmerman	5	74	0	14.8	39

View Cal Poly's Full Roster

Cal Poly's DC

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Kenny Olson	11	1	0	0
Jeremiah Bernard	7	0	0	0
Mikey D'Amato	7	1	1	0
Troy Bean	6	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Mikey D'Amato	7	1	1	0
Kenny Olson	11	1	0	0
Brayden Breedlove	2	0	0	1
Richie Watts	1	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	PD
Brayden Breedlove	2	1
Troy Bean	6	1
Budha Boyd Jr.	5	1

Utah's OC Jason Beck

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Devon Dampier (Tr)	65	89	73%	628	7	0	7.1
Byrd Ficklin	4	4	100%	53	0	0	13.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devon Dampier (Tr)	33	198	1	6.0	23
Wayshawn Parker (Tr)	27	192	2	7.1	43
NaQuari Rogers (Tr)	36	152	4	4.2	23
Hunter Andrews	12	108	1	9.0	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ryan Davis (Tr)	19	171	1	9.0	27
Dallen Bentley	11	112	2	10.2	24
Tobias Merriweather (Tr)	5	88	0	17.6	36
Hunter Andrews	8	63	0	7.9	14

View Utah's Full Roster

Utah's DC Morgan Scalley

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
John Henry Daley	13	7	5	0	1
Jackson Bennee	12	0	0	0	3
Lander Barton	12	0	0	1	0
Nate Ritchie	12	1	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
John Henry Daley	13	7	5	1
Kash Dillon	8	2	2	0
Logan Fano	6	2	1	1
Paul Fitzgerald	10	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jackson Bennee	12	0	0	3
John Henry Daley	13	7	5	1
Johnathan Hall	9	0	0	1