Cal Poly at Utah - 2025 Matchup Preview
Cal Poly logo   Cal Poly Mustangs at Utah Utes  Utah logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (6:00 PM EDT)
Utah -42.5 (53.5) (0)  Open: -41.5 | 52.0
Utah 63 - Cal Poly: 9

 
Mustangs (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 9 - 63 (9 - 63 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Utah -21.5  (SP+ UTAH -22)
UTAH Win prob: 100% | Cover: 56%
Utes (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (167 - 86)
Avg Score : 41 - 19 (44 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.9 - 2.1 (#13)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 7) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
 
Cal Poly's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/6 Cal Poly at Utah+42.553.5L 9 - 63ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cal Poly's Schedule
Utah's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Utah at UCLA-6.550.5W 43 - 10OY
Sat 9/6 Utah vs Cal Poly-42.553.5W 63 - 9OY
Sat 9/13 Utah at Wyoming-24.547.5W 31 - 6UY
Sat 9/20 Utah vs Texas Tech-3.558.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 9/27 Utah at West Virginia-13.546.5W 48 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Utah vs Arizona State-9.544.5W 42 - 10OY
Sat 10/18 Utah at BYU-4.049.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/25 Utah vs Colorado-14.550.5W 53 - 7OY
Sat 11/1 Utah vs Cincinnati-11.557.5W 45 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Utah at Baylor-9.560.5W 55 - 28OY
Sat 11/22 Utah vs Kansas State-18.552.5W 51 - 47ON
Fri 11/28 Utah at Kansas-10.559.5W 31 - 21UN
Wed 12/31 Utah vs Nebraska-13.551.5W 44 - 22OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 7, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 7, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Utah's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CP0%90%000%000%630%0%0000
UTAH#120 (.08)37% (125)41.338% (116)2.73 (114)13035% (119)1993.4 (111)#7 (.05)35% (4)18.937% (10)34% (6)3.13 (15)46.31.81.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UTAH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CP Offense1990%00000000%0%0%0%0%
UTAH Defense1218.920.235.3%3.131.5 - - - - - 48%51%37%34%20%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CP Defense163630%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
UTAH Offense1241.34436.7%3.41.8173301301993.949%51%38%35%19%.08

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cal Poly10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Utah1232:0616.633%45%5.446.31.81.56.41.9430.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CP Offense10%0%000000%0%0
UTAH Defense1248% (41)37% (10) - - - - .04 (25)2.53 (9)64% (22)12% (34)1.07 (105)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CP Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
UTAH Offense1249% (76)38% (116)33.6130.43.97 (131) (123)2.73 (114)66% (113)12% (117)0.88 (111)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CP Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
UTAH Defense1251% (92)34% (6) - - - - - - 12 (39).09 (15)1.6 (74)37% (4)25% (8).09 (1)8% (4)2 (59)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CP Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
UTAH Offense1251% (58)35% (119)16.629.8199.46.71220 (58)17 (127).16 (106)1.7 (23)36% (127)24% (127).2 (110)7% (107)2.2 (22)

Cal Poly's Power Ratings
Cal Poly's Power Rating: NR
Cal Poly's Offense Rating: NR
Cal Poly's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Cal Poly's 2025 Expected Record: -
Cal Poly's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Cal Poly's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Cal Poly's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Cal Poly:    Utah: 21.43

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cal Poly:    Utah: 22.2




Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 21.43  #19
Utah's Offense Rating: 24.77  #11
Utah's Defense Rating: 9.11  #39
2025 Talent Rating: 750.00  #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 13  #36
Utah's 2025 Expected Record: 10.9 - 2.1
Utah's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.2  #8
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.7  #6
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.5  #17

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Cal Poly Scoring
Offense: 9 PPG
Offense on Road: 9
Defense: 63 PPG
Defense on Road: 63

Cal Poly's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Utah 41
Cal Poly 19

Projected Total Points: 60
Utah Scoring
Offense: 41.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 44
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.2

Utah's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Utah63Cal Poly9Utah -42.5Utah53.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Utah111 Overs
Cal Poly000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) CP at (#19) UTAH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCPUTAH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #19
SP+SP+NR #8
Perf GradeGradeNR #18
OffenseOffNR #18
DefenseDefNR #50
Spec TeamsSTNR #27
TalentTalNR #66
Blue ChipsBC%NR #36
Utah Notes
(10/29) QB Devon Dampier will play vs Cincy
(10/26) QB Byrd Ficklin (Fr) ran wild on Col, pass meh
(9/20) Killed by T Tech, Off awful, Dampier worse. Ugly
(9/20) Is Off any good or feasted on cupcakes early?
(7/22) RBs Parker (WSU) good, leads 4 portal adds
(7/22) WR rebuild. Top 2 from NM LY, 6 portal adds
(7/20) LB L Damuni has 4 years starting exp, hurt LY
(6/6) OL returns all 5 starters, top 5 unit in CFB
(5/27) QB Dampier (NM) full control of OC Beck's Off
(5/12) QB Dampier forced 54 missed tackles LY
(4/15) New OC Beck (NM) big improvement. Fun Off?
(4/4) OT Spencer Fano the #1 OT via PFF
Utah Injury Report
Cal Poly on Offense
CategoryCat
CP OffUTAH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #50
SuccessSucNR #4
ExplosiveExpNR #104
PPAPPANR #7
PowerPwrNR #39
SP+SP+NR #17
Pts POPPONR #15
HavocHavNR #12
Cal Poly Run Game
CategoryCat
CP OffUTAH Def
Run GameRunNR #87
Run SuccessRSucNR #10
Run ExplRExpNR #105
PPAExpNR #25
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #9
Stuff RateStuffNR #3
TackleTak -  #113
Cal Poly Pass Game
CategoryCat
CP OffUTAH Def
Pass GamePassNR #47
Pass SuccessPSucNR #6
Pass ExplPExlNR #74
PPAExpNR #15
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #42
F7 HavocF7NR #34
DB HavocDBNR #4
Utah on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatUTAH OffCP Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #18NR
SuccessSuc #125NR
ExplosiveExp #55NR
PPAPPA #120NR
PowerPwr #11NR
SP+SP+ #6NR
Pts POPPO #111NR
HavocHav #120NR
Utah Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
UTAH OffCP Def
Run GameRun #12NR
Run SuccessRSuc #116NR
Run ExplRExp #111NR
PPAExp #123NR
Run BlockR Blk #59 -
OL YdsOLY #114NR
Stuff RateStuff #123NR
TackleTak - NR
Utah Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatUTAH OffCP Def
Pass GamePass #31NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #119NR
Pass ExplPExl #23NR
PPAExp #106NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #8NR
F7 HavocF7 #117NR
DB HavocDB #107NR
Program Comparison
UTAH 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

CP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice-Eccles Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Utah -42.5 (53.5)
Utah won vs Cal Poly this year (63-9)

Previous Matchups
Utah beat Cal Poly last year (63-9)

  
CP's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ty Dieffenbach (Tr)9216257%1305998.1
Bo Kelly6311356%706726.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyrei Washington (Tr)8034134.357
Ty Dieffenbach (Tr)6732144.843
Kendric Sanders4527926.254
Trey Wilson4017314.335
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Michael Briscoe43779718.170
Logan Booher35427412.251
Jordan Garrison25359214.455
Alek Marshall19299215.754

View Cal Poly's Full Roster

CP's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kenny Olson111000
Jeremiah Bernard70000
Mikey D'Amato71100
Troy Bean60001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mikey D'Amato71100
Kenny Olson111000
J.T. Houston20000
Anthony Grigsby Jr. (Tr)10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brayden Breedlove20001
Troy Bean60001
Budha Boyd Jr.50001

UTAH's OC Jason Beck (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Devon Dampier (Tr)21233464%24902457.5
Byrd Ficklin213560%301308.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Wayshawn Parker (Tr)14998166.664
Devon Dampier (Tr)146835105.759
Byrd Ficklin61513108.474
NaQuari Rogers (Tr)98387113.923
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Davis (Tr)62725411.756
Dallen Bentley48620612.945
JJ Buchanan26427516.460
Larry Simmons (Tr)15280618.748

View Utah's Full Roster

UTAH's DC Morgan Scalley (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Johnathan Hall636314
Jackson Bennee624125
Lander Barton514221
Tao Johnson503004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Henry Daley45181201
Logan Fano438532
Kash Dillon325410
Johnathan Hall636314
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Smith Snowden372009
Blake Cotton (Tr)272007
Jackson Bennee624125