Sat, Sep 7 2024
·
Week 2
·
🏟 Vanderbilt Stadium
Nashville, TN
·
Turf
·
40,350 cap
Alcorn State✈ 385 miSame TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2024 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2023 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
67.1%
Vanderbilt wins
Solid
Vegas Spread
Vanderbilt -32.5
O/U 47.5
ESPN Bet
Alcorn State 2024 Schedule
Alcorn State's 2024 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8/29 | Alcorn State at UAB | +29.5L3–41 | 55.5 | L3–41 | U | N |
| Sat 9/7 | Alcorn State at Vanderbilt | +32.5L0–55 | 47.5 | L0–55 | O | N |
Vanderbilt 2024 Schedule
Vanderbilt's 2024 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/31 | Vanderbilt vs Virginia Tech | +13.5W34–27 | 53.5 | W34–27 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/7 | Vanderbilt vs Alcorn State | -32.5W55–0 | 47.5 | W55–0 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/14 | Vanderbilt at Georgia State | -8.5L32–36 | 45.5 | L32–36 | O | N |
| Sat 9/21 | Vanderbilt at Missouri | +17.5L27–30 | 52.0 | L27–30 | O | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Vanderbilt vs Alabama | +23.5W40–35 | 53.5 | W40–35 | O | Y |
| Sat 10/12 | Vanderbilt at Kentucky | +12.5W20–13 | 44.5 | W20–13 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/19 | Vanderbilt vs Ball State | -27.5W24–14 | 57.5 | W24–14 | U | N |
| Sat 10/26 | Vanderbilt vs Texas | +17.0L24–27 | 50.5 | L24–27 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/2 | Vanderbilt at Auburn | +7.5W17–7 | 48.0 | W17–7 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/9 | Vanderbilt vs South Carolina | +6.0L7–28 | 44.5 | L7–28 | U | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Vanderbilt at LSU | +10.0L17–24 | 53.0 | L17–24 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/30 | Vanderbilt vs Tennessee | +9.5L23–36 | 45.5 | L23–36 | O | N |
| Fri 12/27 | Vanderbilt vs Georgia Tech | +3.0W35–27 | 49.0 | W35–27 | O | Y |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Alcorn State Edge
Alcorn State +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2023 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Vanderbilt Edge
Vanderbilt +17.5
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 67.1% of games historically
Based on 2023 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓