Samford at Florida - 2024 Matchup Preview
Samford logo Samford Bulldogs at Florida Gators(#13)Florida logo
Saturday, September 7th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Florida -38.5 (55.5) (0)  Open: -37.0 | 53.5
Florida 45 - Samford: 7

 
Bulldogs (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 7 - 45 (7 - 45 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Light Rain Predicted
FLA 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Florida -15.5  (SP+ FLA -14)
FLA Win prob: 97% | Cover: 51%
Gators (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (11 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (29 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Samford's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/7 Samford at Florida+38.555.5L 7 - 45UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Samford's Schedule
Florida's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Florida vs Miami+2.554.5L 17 - 41ON
Sat 9/7 Florida vs Samford-38.555.5W 45 - 7UN
Sat 9/14 Florida vs Texas A&M+4.547.0L 20 - 33ON
Sat 9/21 Florida at Mississippi State-6.558.0W 45 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Florida vs UCF+1.062.0W 24 - 13UY
Sat 10/12 Florida at Tennessee+13.554.5L 17 - 23UY
Sat 10/19 Florida vs Kentucky+2.542.5W 48 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Florida vs Georgia+14.552.5L 20 - 34OY
Sat 11/9 Florida at Texas+24.548.5L 17 - 49ON
Sat 11/16 Florida vs LSU+3.057.0W 27 - 16UY
Sat 11/23 Florida vs Ole Miss+13.057.5W 24 - 17UY
Sat 11/30 Florida at Florida State-17.545.5W 31 - 11UY
Fri 12/20 Florida vs Tulane-10.050.5W 33 - 8UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SAM0%70%000%000%450%0%0000
FLA#72 (.18)43% (64)28.345% (54)3.04 (66)16441% (82)2264.17 (46)#53 (.14)44% (95)23.149% (118)39% (44)3.12 (14)541.41.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SAM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FLA#72 (.18)43% (64)45% (54)3.04 (66)16441% (82)2264.17 (46)#53 (.14)44% (95)49% (118)39% (44)3.12 (14)541.41.9



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SAM Offense1770%00000000%0%0%0%0%
FLA Defense1323.12143.9%3.121.9 - - - - - 51%49%49%39%18%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SAM Defense145450%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
FLA Offense1328.329.343%4.171.4193891642264.654%46%45%41%16%.18

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Samford10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Florida1328:3519.239%47%5.9541.41.96.43.1130.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SAM Offense10%0%000000%0%0
FLA Defense1351% (71)49% (118) - - - - .13 (73)3.06 (78)67% (29)11% (37)0.84 (10)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SAM Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
FLA Offense1354% (42)45% (54)35.4163.74.626 (36).14 (63)3.04 (66)79% (27)9% (56)0.94 (82)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SAM Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
FLA Defense1349% (67)39% (44) - - - - - - 14 (23).16 (34)1.6 (87)31% (86)37% (124).42 (108)7% (43)2 (58)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SAM Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
FLA Offense1346% (91)41% (82)1626.1225.78.714.118 (68)14 (115).25 (73)1.6 (48)31% (54)28% (105).22 (107)7% (90)1.8 (118)

Samford's Power Ratings
Samford's Power Rating: NR
Samford's Offense Rating: NR
Samford's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Samford's 2024 Expected Record: -
Samford's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Samford's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Samford's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southern Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Samford:    Florida: 15.705

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Samford:    Florida: 13.8




Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 15.705  #19
Florida's Offense Rating: 21.48  #52
Florida's Defense Rating: 7.04  #44
2024 Talent Rating: 930.00  #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 46  #11
Florida's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Florida's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.8  #20
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.7  #37
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0  #23

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Samford Scoring
Offense: 7 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 45 PPG
Defense on Road: 45

Samford's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Florida 35
Samford 20

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Florida 35
Samford 23

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Florida 37
Samford 15

Total Points: 52
Florida Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.3
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

Florida's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/07Florida45Samford7Florida -38.5Samford55.5Under
202111/13Florida70Samford52Florida -36Samford68.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida201 Overs
Samford021 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 00 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams0 - 22 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#NR) SAM at (#19) FLA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSAMFLA
Power RatePwrNR #19
SP+SP+NR #20
Perf GradeGradeNR #29
OffenseOffNR #25
DefenseDefNR #63
Spec TeamsSTNR #50
TalentTalNR #15
Blue ChipsBC%NR #11
Samford on Offense
CategoryCat
SAM OffFLA Def
Perf GradePerfNR #63
SuccessSucNR #95
ExplosiveExpNR #32
PPAPPANR #53
PowerPwrNR #44
SP+SP+NR #23
Pts POPPONR #14
HavocHavNR #36
Samford Run Game
CategoryCat
SAM OffFLA Def
Run GameRunNR #18
Run SuccessRSucNR #118
Run ExplRExpNR #10
PPAExpNR #73
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #78
Stuff RateStuffNR #84
TackleTak -  #66
Samford Pass Game
CategoryCat
SAM OffFLA Def
Pass GamePassNR #110
Pass SuccessPSucNR #44
Pass ExplPExlNR #87
PPAExpNR #34
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #55
F7 HavocF7NR #37
DB HavocDBNR #43
Florida on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatFLA OffSAM Def
Perf GradePerf #25NR
SuccessSuc #64NR
ExplosiveExp #93NR
PPAPPA #72NR
PowerPwr #52NR
SP+SP+ #37NR
Pts POPPO #46NR
HavocHav #68NR
Florida Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
FLA OffSAM Def
Run GameRun #79NR
Run SuccessRSuc #54NR
Run ExplRExp #82NR
PPAExp #63NR
Run BlockR Blk #12 -
OL YdsOLY #66NR
Stuff RateStuff #77NR
TackleTak - NR
Florida Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatFLA OffSAM Def
Pass GamePass #62NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #82NR
Pass ExplPExl #48NR
PPAExp #73NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #18NR
F7 HavocF7 #56NR
DB HavocDB #90NR
Program Comparison
FLA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

SAM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 80°( - Hum: 87%)
Rain: 0.004
Rematch from Week 2
Florida -38.5 (55.5)
Florida won vs Samford this year (45-7)

Previous Matchups
Florida beat Samford last year (45-7)

  
SAM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Samford's Full Roster

SAM's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Noah Martin111000
C.J. Douglas60000
Dontae Pollard51000
Edwin Dearman50001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Noah Martin111000
Jaylin Rainey20000
Carson Sloan00010
Xavier Nurse10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Mosley30001
Edwin Dearman50001
Noah Martin111000

FLA's OC Rob Sale (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
D.J. Lagway11519260%191512910.0
Graham Mertz729477%791628.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jadan Baugh13367375.155
Montrell Johnson10059365.971
Ja'Kobi Jackson9350075.420
D.J. Lagway5110102.022
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijhah Badger (Tr)39806420.777
Chimere Dike (Tr)42783218.644
Eugene Wilson19266114.085
Hayden Hansen15207113.840

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC Austin Armstrong (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trikweze Bridges (Tr)681005
Shemar James644223
Jack Pyburn604100
Jordan Castell551009
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyreak Sapp4613750
George Gumbs369642
Caleb Banks217561
Jaden Robinson524410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Castell551009
Trikweze Bridges (Tr)681005
Jason Marshall Jr.202034