NC State at East Carolina - 2022 Matchup Preview

NC State Wolfpack at East Carolina Pirates

Saturday, September 3rd 2022 (12:00 PM EDT)
NC State -12.5 (52.0)
NC State 21 - East Carolina: 20

Wolfpack (8 - 5) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (64 - 49)
Avg Score : 24 - 19 (18 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -0.5 (SP+ NCST -5.5)
Projected Score: NCST: 26 - ECU: 28 (54)
NCST Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
NCST Travel: 77 miles

Pirates (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Houston (14 - 19)
Avg Score : 33 - 27 (30 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NCST Players
ECU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

NC State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	NC State at East Carolina	-12.5	52.0	W 21 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/10	NC State vs Charleston Southern	-45.5	55.0	W 55 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/17	NC State vs Texas Tech	-10.5	55.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/24	NC State vs UConn	-38.5	48.0	W 41 - 10	O	N
Sat 10/1	NC State at Clemson	+6.5	46.0	L 20 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/8	NC State vs Florida State	-3.5	50.5	W 19 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/15	NC State at Syracuse	+3.0	42.5	L 9 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/27	NC State vs Virginia Tech	-13.0	39.0	W 22 - 21	O	N
Sat 11/5	NC State vs Wake Forest	+3.0	54.0	W 30 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/12	NC State vs Boston College	-18.0	41.0	L 20 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/19	NC State at Louisville	+4.0	43.0	L 10 - 25	U	N
Fri 11/25	NC State at North Carolina	+6.5	56.0	W 30 - 27	O	Y
Fri 12/30	NC State vs Maryland	-2.5	45.0	L 12 - 16	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule

East Carolina's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	East Carolina vs NC State	+12.5	52.0	L 20 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/10	East Carolina vs Old Dominion	-13.0	49.5	W 39 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/17	East Carolina vs Campbell	-32.5	58.0	W 49 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/24	East Carolina vs Navy	-16.5	48.5	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/1	East Carolina vs South Florida	-10.0	55.5	W 48 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/8	East Carolina at Tulane	+2.5	56.0	L 9 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/15	East Carolina vs Memphis	-5.5	62.5	W 47 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/22	East Carolina vs UCF	+5.5	63.0	W 34 - 13	U	Y
Fri 10/28	East Carolina at BYU	+3.0	64.0	W 27 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/11	East Carolina at Cincinnati	+4.5	51.5	L 25 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/19	East Carolina vs Houston	-6.0	66.5	L 3 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/26	East Carolina at Temple	-9.5	52.0	W 49 - 46	O	N
Tue 12/27	East Carolina vs Coastal Carolina	-7.0	67.5	W 53 - 29	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NCST	.13	39%	24.3	40%	2.81	114	38%	226	3.52	.1	35%	19.2	33%	37%	3.39	57.8	1.2	1.7
ECU	.28	45%	32.5	45%	3.08	171	45%	290	3.84	.24	45%	27.2	42%	48%	4.14	37.6	0.5	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NCST	#26 (.25)	45% (36)		44% (68)	3.24 (36)	130	47% (20)	215	3.97 (61)	#86 (.19)	41% (59)		39% (31)	43% (87)	3.78 (67)	45	1.7	1.4
ECU	#49 (.22)	43% (62)		44% (71)	3.07 (57)	147	43% (54)	253	3.79 (83)	#64 (.16)	40% (40)		37% (11)	43% (86)	3.85 (76)	61	2.2	1.6

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NCST Offense	13	24.3	18	38.8%	3.52	1.2	20	340	114	226	3.4	44%	55%	40%	38%	16%	.13
ECU Defense	13	27.2	25	45.1%	4.14	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	39%	59%	42%	48%	18%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NCST Defense	13	19.2	25.2	35.1%	3.39	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	42%	57%	33%	37%	19%	.1
ECU Offense	13	32.5	30.3	45%	3.84	0.5	23	461	171	290	5.2	46%	54%	45%	45%	17%	.28

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
NC State	13	31:23	20.4	36%	40%	7.3	57.8	1.2	1.7	6.5	2.2	2	31.6
East Carolina	13	31:11	22.5	46%	45%	4.3	37.6	0.5	1.5	5.4	1.8	2	30

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NCST Offense	13	44%	40%	34	113.8	3.4	8	.02	2.81	71%	10%	0.82
ECU Defense	13	39%	42%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.83	59%	11%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NCST Defense	13	42%	33%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.51	53%	11%	1.04
ECU Offense	13	46%	45%	32.5	170.6	5.2	25	.21	3.08	68%	9%	1.13

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NCST Offense	13	55%	38%	20.7	36.2	226.1	6.2	10.9	23	8	.25	1.5	35%	27%	.32	6%	2.1
ECU Defense	13	59%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.39	1.5	31%	36%	.4	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NCST Defense	13	57%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.2	1.6	38%	30%	.36	8%	2
ECU Offense	13	54%	45%	24.8	37.2	290.5	7.8	11.7	28	5	.35	1.5	32%	34%	.49	8%	2.1

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
NC State's 2022 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #49
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #99
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #13

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
NC State: East Carolina: 3.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: 6.8 East Carolina: 1.1

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: 3.05 NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
East Carolina's 2022 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1 #68
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #51
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #75

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

NC State Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 18
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

NC State's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
East Carolina 28
NC State 26

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
East Carolina 29
NC State 29

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
East Carolina 27
NC State 24

Total Points: 51

East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.3
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 25

East Carolina's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	08/28	NC State	24	East Carolina	17	NC State -12.5	East Carolina	58.5	Under
2024	12/28	NC State	21	East Carolina	26	NC State -7.5	East Carolina	61.5	Under
2022	09/03	East Carolina	20	NC State	21	NC State -12.5	East Carolina	52.0	Under
2019	08/31	NC State	34	East Carolina	6	NC State -17.5	NC State	52.0	Under
2018	12/01	NC State	58	East Carolina	3	NC State -24.5	NC State	59.5	Over
2016	09/10	East Carolina	33	NC State	30	NC State -3.5	East Carolina	59.0	Over
2013	11/23	NC State	28	East Carolina	42	East Carolina -6	East Carolina	0
2010	10/16	East Carolina	33	NC State	27
2008	09/20	NC State	30	East Carolina	24
2007	10/20	East Carolina	20	NC State	34
2006	11/25	NC State	16	East Carolina	21
2004	11/27	NC State	52	East Carolina	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
East Carolina	5	5	2 Overs
NC State	7	2	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 5	4 - 3	2 - 2	2 - 1
Road Teams	5 - 7	3 - 4	1 - 2	2 - 2

(#) NCST at (#) ECU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NCST	ECU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#49	#68
Perf GradeGrade	#54	#77
OffenseOff	#94	#49
DefenseDef	#20	#119
Spec TeamsST	#13	#41
TalentTal	#35	#82
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

NC State Injury Report

East Carolina Injury Report

NC State on Offense


CategoryCat	NCST Off	ECU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#94	#119
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#99	#75
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

NC State Run Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	ECU Def
Run GameRun	#105	#45
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#45	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#40

NC State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	ECU Def
Pass GamePass	#89	#128
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#31	#130
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

East Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	ECU Off	NCST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#49	#20
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#51	#13
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

East Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	NCST Def
Run GameRun	#31	#11
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#75	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#33

East Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	NCST Def
Pass GamePass	#14	#27
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#101	#74
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Top G5

NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 88°

Rematch from Week 1
NC State 12.5 (52.0)
NC State won at East Carolina this year (21-20)

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat NC State last year (26-21)
NC State beat East Carolina in 2022 (21-20)

NCST's OC Tim Beck (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC Tony Gibson (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ECU's OC Donnie Kirkpatrick (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC Blake Harrell (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD