Wake Forest at NC State - 2022 Matchup Preview

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at NC State Wolfpack

Saturday, November 5th 2022 (8:00 PM EDT)
Wake Forest -3 (54.0)
NC State 30 - Wake Forest: 21 (ACC)

Demon Deacons (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Dave Clawson (51 - 48)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (25 - 27 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WAKE 2nd straight Road Game
NCST 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2 (SP+ WAKE -1.5)
Projected Score: WAKE: 25 - NCST: 29 (54)
WAKE Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
WAKE Travel: 89 miles

Wolfpack (8 - 5) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (64 - 49)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (35 - 21 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WAKE Players
NCST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wake Forest's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Wake Forest vs VMI	-33.5	66.5	W 44 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Wake Forest at Vanderbilt	-13.5	65.5	W 45 - 25	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Wake Forest vs Liberty	-17.5	64.0	W 37 - 36	O	N
Sat 9/24	Wake Forest vs Clemson	+7.5	58.0	L 45 - 51	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Wake Forest at Florida State	+6.0	67.0	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Wake Forest vs Army	-16.0	65.5	W 45 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Wake Forest vs Boston College	-20.0	60.0	W 43 - 15	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Wake Forest at Louisville	-3.0	66.5	L 21 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/5	Wake Forest at NC State	-3.0	54.0	L 21 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/12	Wake Forest vs North Carolina	-4.5	79.0	L 34 - 36	U	N
Sat 11/19	Wake Forest vs Syracuse	-9.5	58.5	W 45 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Wake Forest at Duke	-3.0	67.0	L 31 - 34	U	N
Fri 12/23	Wake Forest vs Missouri	-3.0	59.0	W 27 - 17	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule

NC State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	NC State at East Carolina	-12.5	52.0	W 21 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/10	NC State vs Charleston Southern	-45.5	55.0	W 55 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/17	NC State vs Texas Tech	-10.5	55.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/24	NC State vs UConn	-38.5	48.0	W 41 - 10	O	N
Sat 10/1	NC State at Clemson	+6.5	46.0	L 20 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/8	NC State vs Florida State	-3.5	50.5	W 19 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/15	NC State at Syracuse	+3.0	42.5	L 9 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/27	NC State vs Virginia Tech	-13.0	39.0	W 22 - 21	O	N
Sat 11/5	NC State vs Wake Forest	+3.0	54.0	W 30 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/12	NC State vs Boston College	-18.0	41.0	L 20 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/19	NC State at Louisville	+4.0	43.0	L 10 - 25	U	N
Fri 11/25	NC State at North Carolina	+6.5	56.0	W 30 - 27	O	Y
Fri 12/30	NC State vs Maryland	-2.5	45.0	L 12 - 16	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WAKE	.3	45%	28.1	44%	3.08	161	47%	307	4.88	.26	47%	22.1	50%	43%	3.88	52.6	1.4	2.2
NCST	.24	41%	30.2	42%	3.28	126	41%	288	4.2	.08	34%	27.2	35%	34%	3.6	64.5	0.9	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WAKE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NCST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WAKE Offense	14	28.1	24.8	45.4%	4.88	1.4	25	468	161	307	4	46%	54%	44%	47%	16%	.3
NCST Defense	12	27.2	21	33.8%	3.6	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	35%	34%	19%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WAKE Defense	14	22.1	27.4	46.8%	3.88	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	50%	43%	20%	.26
NCST Offense	12	30.2	35.3	41.3%	4.2	0.9	21	415	126	288	4.1	40%	59%	42%	41%	14%	.24

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wake Forest	14	28:42	25.3	50%	60%	5.8	52.6	1.4	2.2	6.9	2.7	2	30.5
NC State	12	31:15	21.3	40%	42%	7.4	64.5	0.9	1.4	6.6	2.8	4	30.2

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WAKE Offense	14	46%	44%	40.4	160.5	4	31	.16	3.08	73%	8%	0.94
NCST Defense	12	44%	35%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.79	50%	11%	1.02

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WAKE Defense	14	54%	50%	-	-	-	-	.29	3.37	71%	14%	1.09
NCST Offense	12	40%	42%	31	126.2	4.1	11	.11	3.28	81%	8%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WAKE Offense	14	54%	47%	21.6	37.1	307.4	8.3	14.3	39	15	.43	1.7	31%	38%	.52	8%	2
NCST Defense	12	55%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.14	1.6	39%	26%	.21	8%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WAKE Defense	14	46%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.22	1.6	30%	37%	.43	6%	2
NCST Offense	12	59%	41%	24	36.9	288.4	7.8	12	35	6	.35	1.7	33%	29%	.34	6%	2.3

Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Wake Forest's 2022 Expected Record: -
Wake Forest's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.2 #43
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 43.3 #6
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #106

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: NC State: 5.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: 8.2 NC State: 6.8

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 5.9 NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
NC State's 2022 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #49
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #99
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #13

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.4

Wake Forest's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
NC State 29
Wake Forest 25

Projected Total Points: 54

NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

NC State's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/11	Wake Forest	24	NC State	34	NC State -7.5	NC State	52.5	Over
2024	10/05	NC State	30	Wake Forest	34	NC State -4	Wake Forest	52.5	Over
2023	11/11	Wake Forest	6	NC State	26	Wake Forest -0.5	NC State	42.5	Under
2022	11/05	NC State	30	Wake Forest	21	Wake Forest -3	NC State	54.0	Under
2021	11/13	Wake Forest	45	NC State	42	Wake Forest -1	Wake Forest	65.0	Over
2020	09/19	NC State	45	Wake Forest	42	Wake Forest -2	NC State	54.0	Over
2019	11/02	Wake Forest	44	NC State	10	Wake Forest -7.5	Wake Forest	60.0	Under
2018	11/08	NC State	23	Wake Forest	27	NC State -17	Wake Forest	69.0	Under
2017	11/18	Wake Forest	30	NC State	24	Wake Forest -3	Wake Forest	62.0	Under
2016	10/01	NC State	33	Wake Forest	16	NC State -9	NC State	48.0	Over
2015	10/24	Wake Forest	17	NC State	35	NC State -8.5	NC State	43.5	Over
2014	11/15	NC State	42	Wake Forest	13	NC State -12	NC State	0
2013	10/05	Wake Forest	28	NC State	13	NC State -8	Wake Forest	0
2012	11/10	NC State	37	Wake Forest	6
2011	09/10	Wake Forest	34	NC State	27
2010	11/13	NC State	38	Wake Forest	3
2009	10/03	Wake Forest	30	NC State	24
2008	11/15	NC State	21	Wake Forest	17
2007	11/17	Wake Forest	38	NC State	18
2006	10/14	NC State	23	Wake Forest	25
2005	10/22	Wake Forest	27	NC State	19
2004	10/02	NC State	27	Wake Forest	21
2003	09/06	Wake Forest	38	NC State	24
2002	09/14	NC State	32	Wake Forest	13
2001	10/06	Wake Forest	14	NC State	17
2000	11/24	NC State	32	Wake Forest	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
NC State	14	7	6 Overs
Wake Forest	12	6	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	19 - 7	8 - 5	5 - 3	3 - 2
Road Teams	7 - 19	5 - 8	2 - 3	3 - 5

(#) WAKE at (#) NCST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WAKE	NCST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#43	#49
Perf GradeGrade	#7	#54
OffenseOff	#11	#94
DefenseDef	#11	#20
Spec TeamsST	#86	#13
TalentTal	#68	#35
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Wake Forest Injury Report

NC State Injury Report

Wake Forest on Offense


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	NCST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#11	#20
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#6	#13
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wake Forest Run Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	NCST Def
Run GameRun	#104	#11
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#50	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#33

Wake Forest Pass Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	NCST Def
Pass GamePass	#4	#27
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#41	#74
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

NC State on Offense


CategoryCat	NCST Off	WAKE Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#94	#11
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#99	#106
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

NC State Run Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	WAKE Def
Run GameRun	#105	#7
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#45	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#37

NC State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	WAKE Def
Pass GamePass	#89	#54
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#31	#2
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

WAKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Wake Forest 3.0 (54.0)
NC State won vs Wake Forest this year (30-21)

Previous Matchups
NC State beat Wake Forest last year (34-24)
Wake Forest beat NC State in 2024 (34-30)
NC State beat Wake Forest in 2023 (26-6)

WAKE's OC Warren Ruggiero (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Wake Forest's Full Roster

WAKE's DC Brad Lambert (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NCST's OC Tim Beck* (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC Tony Gibson (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD