UConn at NC State - 2022 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 24th 2022 (7:30 PM EDT)
NC State -38.5 (48.0)
NC State 41 - UConn: 10

Huskies (6 - 7) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Jim L. Mora (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 26 (17 - 34 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CONN 2nd straight Road Game
NCST 3rd straight Home Game
NCST is playing their 4th straight game
CONN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -13 (SP+ NCST -21)
Projected Score: CONN: 13 - NCST: 35 (48)
NCST Win prob: 97% | Cover: 51%
CONN Travel: 526 miles

Wolfpack (8 - 5) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (64 - 49)
Avg Score : 24 - 19 (31 - 15 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CONN Players
NCST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UConn's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	UConn at Utah State	+24.0	59.0	L 20 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/3	UConn vs Central Connecticut	-20.5	51.5	W 28 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/10	UConn vs Syracuse	+23.5	49.5	L 14 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/17	UConn at Michigan	+47.5	59.0	L 0 - 59	U	N
Sat 9/24	UConn at NC State	+38.5	48.0	L 10 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/1	UConn vs Fresno State	+23.5	51.0	W 19 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/8	UConn at Florida International	-5.5	46.5	W 33 - 12	U	Y
Sat 10/15	UConn at Ball State	+9.5	47.5	L 21 - 25	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	UConn vs Boston College	+8.0	44.0	W 13 - 3	U	Y
Fri 11/4	UConn vs Massachusetts	-15.0	39.5	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/12	UConn vs Liberty	+13.5	45.0	W 36 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/19	UConn at Army	+10.5	45.0	L 17 - 34	O	N
Mon 12/19	UConn vs Marshall	+11.5	42.0	L 14 - 28	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UConn's Schedule

NC State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	NC State at East Carolina	-12.5	52.0	W 21 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/10	NC State vs Charleston Southern	-45.5	55.0	W 55 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/17	NC State vs Texas Tech	-10.5	55.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/24	NC State vs UConn	-38.5	48.0	W 41 - 10	O	N
Sat 10/1	NC State at Clemson	+6.5	46.0	L 20 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/8	NC State vs Florida State	-3.5	50.5	W 19 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/15	NC State at Syracuse	+3.0	42.5	L 9 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/27	NC State vs Virginia Tech	-13.0	39.0	W 22 - 21	O	N
Sat 11/5	NC State vs Wake Forest	+3.0	54.0	W 30 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/12	NC State vs Boston College	-18.0	41.0	L 20 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/19	NC State at Louisville	+4.0	43.0	L 10 - 25	U	N
Fri 11/25	NC State at North Carolina	+6.5	56.0	W 30 - 27	O	Y
Fri 12/30	NC State vs Maryland	-2.5	45.0	L 12 - 16	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CONN	.11	38%	19.4	43%	3.03	191	32%	112	3.67	.19	47%	26.2	49%	46%	3.69	60.8	1.6	2.3
NCST	.13	39%	24.3	40%	2.81	114	38%	226	3.52	.1	35%	19.2	33%	37%	3.39	57.8	1.2	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CONN	#67 (.19)	42% (82)		43% (82)	3.07 (58)	184	40% (84)	187	4.09 (51)	#25 (.1)	39% (37)		42% (63)	37% (23)	3.36 (26)	50.4	1.2	1.1
NCST	#26 (.25)	45% (36)		44% (68)	3.24 (36)	130	47% (20)	215	3.97 (61)	#86 (.19)	41% (59)		39% (31)	43% (87)	3.78 (67)	45	1.7	1.4

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CONN Offense	13	19.4	16.8	38.2%	3.67	1.6	16	303	191	112	4.7	62%	36%	43%	32%	18%	.11
NCST Defense	13	19.2	15.3	35.1%	3.39	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	42%	57%	33%	37%	19%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CONN Defense	13	26.2	33.7	47.2%	3.69	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	49%	46%	15%	.19
NCST Offense	13	24.3	30.6	38.8%	3.52	1.2	20	340	114	226	3.4	44%	55%	40%	38%	16%	.13

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UConn	13	30:17	16.2	37%	39%	7.1	60.8	1.6	2.3	4.2	1.8	0	29.4
NC State	13	31:23	20.4	36%	40%	7.3	57.8	1.2	1.7	6.5	2.2	2	31.6

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CONN Offense	13	62%	43%	40.4	190.9	4.7	20	.21	3.03	64%	13%	1.17
NCST Defense	13	42%	33%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.51	53%	11%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CONN Defense	13	52%	49%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.26	83%	9%	0.95
NCST Offense	13	44%	40%	34	113.8	3.4	8	.02	2.81	71%	10%	0.82

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CONN Offense	13	36%	32%	12.1	21.2	112	5.3	9.3	10	10	.1	1.6	35%	26%	.16	5%	2.1
NCST Defense	13	57%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.2	1.6	38%	30%	.36	8%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CONN Defense	13	47%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.21	1.3	27%	31%	.21	6%	1.8
NCST Offense	13	55%	38%	20.7	36.2	226.1	6.2	10.9	23	8	.25	1.5	35%	27%	.32	6%	2.1

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: NR
UConn's Offense Rating: NR
UConn's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UConn's 2022 Expected Record: -
UConn's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.6 #113
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.2 #126
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #69

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UConn: NC State: 5.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UConn: -14.6 NC State: 6.8

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 5.9 NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
NC State's 2022 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #49
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #99
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #13

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

UConn Scoring
Offense: 19.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.8
Defense: 26.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7

UConn's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
NC State 35
UConn 13

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
NC State 41
UConn 9

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
NC State 29
UConn 18

Total Points: 47

NC State Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.6
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.3

NC State's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	08/31	UConn	14	NC State	24	NC State -14.5	UConn	47.5	Under
2022	09/24	NC State	41	UConn	10	NC State -38.5	UConn	48.0	Over
2012	09/08	UConn	7	NC State	10
2003	10/11	NC State	31	UConn	24

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
NC State	4	0	1 Overs
UConn	0	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0

(#) CONN at (#) NCST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CONN	NCST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#113	#49
Perf GradeGrade	#93	#54
OffenseOff	#89	#94
DefenseDef	#76	#20
Spec TeamsST	#129	#13
TalentTal	#129	#35
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

UConn Injury Report

NC State Injury Report

UConn on Offense


CategoryCat	CONN Off	NCST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#89	#20
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#126	#13
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UConn Run Game


CategoryCat	CONN Off	NCST Def
Run GameRun	#70	#11
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#32	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#33

UConn Pass Game


CategoryCat	CONN Off	NCST Def
Pass GamePass	#130	#27
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#17	#74
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

NC State on Offense


CategoryCat	NCST Off	CONN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#94	#76
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#99	#69
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

NC State Run Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	CONN Def
Run GameRun	#105	#91
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#45	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#67

NC State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	CONN Def
Pass GamePass	#89	#38
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#31	#108
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

CONN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 70°

Rematch from Week 4
NC State -38.5 (48.0)
NC State won vs UConn this year (41-10)

Previous Matchups
NC State beat UConn in 2023 (24-14)
NC State beat UConn in 2022 (41-10)

CONN's OC Nick Charlton (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UConn's Full Roster

CONN's DC Lou Spanos (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NCST's OC Tim Beck (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC Tony Gibson (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD