Boston College at NC State - 2022 Matchup Preview

Boston College Eagles at NC State Wolfpack

Saturday, November 12th 2022 (3:30 PM EST)
NC State -18 (41.0)
Boston College 21 - NC State: 20 (ACC)

Eagles (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Hafley (11 - 11)
Avg Score : 25 - 33 (25 - 34 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NCST 3rd straight Home Game
BC is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -13.5 (SP+ NCST -22)
Projected Score: BC: 25 - NCST: 33 (58)
NCST Win prob: 91% | Cover: 49%
BC Travel: 606 miles

Wolfpack (8 - 5) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (64 - 49)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (35 - 21 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BC Players
NCST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boston College's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Boston College vs Rutgers	-8.5	47.0	L 21 - 22	U	N
Sat 9/10	Boston College at Virginia Tech	+2.5	45.0	L 10 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/17	Boston College vs Maine	-31.0	48.0	W 38 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/24	Boston College at Florida State	+18.5	48.5	L 14 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/1	Boston College vs Louisville	+13.5	48.5	W 34 - 33	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Boston College vs Clemson	+21.0	49.0	L 3 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Boston College at Wake Forest	+20.0	60.0	L 15 - 43	U	N
Sat 10/29	Boston College at UConn	-8.0	44.0	L 3 - 13	U	N
Fri 11/4	Boston College vs Duke	+11.5	47.0	L 31 - 38	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Boston College at NC State	+18.0	41.0	W 21 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Boston College at Notre Dame	+20.0	42.0	L 0 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/26	Boston College vs Syracuse	+10.5	47.0	L 23 - 32	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule

NC State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	NC State at East Carolina	-12.5	52.0	W 21 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/10	NC State vs Charleston Southern	-45.5	55.0	W 55 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/17	NC State vs Texas Tech	-10.5	55.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/24	NC State vs UConn	-38.5	48.0	W 41 - 10	O	N
Sat 10/1	NC State at Clemson	+6.5	46.0	L 20 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/8	NC State vs Florida State	-3.5	50.5	W 19 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/15	NC State at Syracuse	+3.0	42.5	L 9 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/27	NC State vs Virginia Tech	-13.0	39.0	W 22 - 21	O	N
Sat 11/5	NC State vs Wake Forest	+3.0	54.0	W 30 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/12	NC State vs Boston College	-18.0	41.0	L 20 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/19	NC State at Louisville	+4.0	43.0	L 10 - 25	U	N
Fri 11/25	NC State at North Carolina	+6.5	56.0	W 30 - 27	O	Y
Fri 12/30	NC State vs Maryland	-2.5	45.0	L 12 - 16	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC	.17	41%	25.4	44%	2.77	166	38%	185	3.59	.17	42%	32.8	45%	39%	3.19	49.7	1.5	1.4
NCST	.24	41%	30.2	42%	3.28	126	41%	288	4.2	.08	34%	27.2	35%	34%	3.6	64.5	0.9	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NCST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Offense	12	25.4	25	41.1%	3.59	1.5	19	350	166	185	4.2	59%	41%	44%	38%	18%	.17
NCST Defense	12	27.2	21	33.8%	3.6	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	35%	34%	19%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Defense	12	32.8	34	42.3%	3.19	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	45%	39%	15%	.17
NCST Offense	12	30.2	35.3	41.3%	4.2	0.9	21	415	126	288	4.1	40%	59%	42%	41%	14%	.24

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boston College	12	30:12	19.3	40%	57%	5.4	49.7	1.5	1.4	4.7	1.7	2	27.4
NC State	12	31:15	21.3	40%	42%	7.4	64.5	0.9	1.4	6.6	2.8	4	30.2

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Offense	12	59%	44%	39.6	165.6	4.2	21	.09	2.77	61%	12%	0.94
NCST Defense	12	44%	35%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.79	50%	11%	1.02

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Defense	12	55%	45%	-	-	-	-	.11	3.15	69%	9%	0.86
NCST Offense	12	40%	42%	31	126.2	4.1	11	.11	3.28	81%	8%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Offense	12	41%	38%	14.1	25.3	184.8	7.3	13.1	13	11	.29	1.8	31%	32%	.32	6%	2.2
NCST Defense	12	55%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.14	1.6	39%	26%	.21	8%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Defense	12	45%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.24	1.7	29%	31%	.37	6%	2.2
NCST Offense	12	59%	41%	24	36.9	288.4	7.8	12	35	6	.35	1.7	33%	29%	.34	6%	2.3

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: NR
Boston College's Offense Rating: NR
Boston College's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Boston College's 2022 Expected Record: -
Boston College's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #114
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #99
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.8 #98

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Boston College: NC State: 5.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: -14.9 NC State: 6.8

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 5.9 NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
NC State's 2022 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #49
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #99
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #13

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 25.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Boston College's 2022 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
NC State 33
Boston College 25

Projected Total Points: 58

NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

NC State's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	11/12	NC State	20	Boston College	21	NC State -18	Boston College	41.0	Push
2021	10/16	Boston College	7	NC State	33	NC State -3	NC State	51.0	Under
2019	10/19	Boston College	45	NC State	24	NC State -4.5	Boston College	54.0	Over
2018	10/06	NC State	28	Boston College	23	NC State -6.5	Boston College	60.5	Under
2017	11/11	Boston College	14	NC State	17	NC State -3	NA	54.5	Under
2016	10/29	NC State	14	Boston College	21	NC State -15.5	Boston College	42.0	Under
2015	11/07	Boston College	8	NC State	24	NC State -1	NC State	37.0	Under
2014	10/11	NC State	14	Boston College	30	NC State -3.5	Boston College	0
2013	11/16	Boston College	38	NC State	21	Boston College -7.5	Boston College	0
2012	11/24	NC State	27	Boston College	10
2011	11/12	Boston College	14	NC State	10
2010	10/09	NC State	44	Boston College	17
2009	10/17	Boston College	52	NC State	20
2008	10/04	NC State	31	Boston College	38
2007	09/08	Boston College	37	NC State	17
2006	09/23	NC State	17	Boston College	15
2005	11/12	Boston College	30	NC State	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
NC State	7	2	1 Overs
Boston College	10	6	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 7	2 - 6	1 - 4	1 - 2
Road Teams	7 - 10	6 - 2	2 - 1	4 - 1

(#) BC at (#) NCST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BC	NCST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#114	#49
Perf GradeGrade	#127	#54
OffenseOff	#126	#94
DefenseDef	#97	#20
Spec TeamsST	#81	#13
TalentTal	#42	#35
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Boston College Injury Report

NC State Injury Report

Boston College on Offense


CategoryCat	BC Off	NCST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#126	#20
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#99	#13
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boston College Run Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	NCST Def
Run GameRun	#125	#11
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#132	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#33

Boston College Pass Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	NCST Def
Pass GamePass	#119	#27
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#103	#74
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

NC State on Offense


CategoryCat	NCST Off	BC Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#94	#97
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#99	#98
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

NC State Run Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	BC Def
Run GameRun	#105	#71
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#45	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#89

NC State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	BC Def
Pass GamePass	#89	#127
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#31	#61
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

BC 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
NC State -18.0 (41.0)
Boston College won at NC State this year (21-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

BC's OC John McNulty (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Tem Lukabu (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NCST's OC Tim Beck* (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC Tony Gibson (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD