Virginia Tech at NC State - 2022 Matchup Preview

Virginia Tech Hokies at NC State Wolfpack

Thursday, October 27th 2022 (7:30 PM EDT)
NC State -13 (39.0)
NC State 22 - Virginia Tech: 21 (ACC)

Hokies (3 - 8) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach Brent Pry (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (18 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

VT coming off BYE
NCST coming off BYE
Our Line: -10.5 (SP+ NCST -16)
Projected Score: VT: 18 - NCST: 30 (48)
NCST Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
VT Travel: 136 miles

Wolfpack (8 - 5) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (64 - 49)
Avg Score : 24 - 19 (31 - 15 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
VT Players
NCST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Virginia Tech's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Virginia Tech at Old Dominion	-6.0	48.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/10	Virginia Tech vs Boston College	-2.5	45.0	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Virginia Tech vs Wofford	-39.0	45.0	W 27 - 7	U	N
Thu 9/22	Virginia Tech vs West Virginia	+2.0	49.5	L 10 - 33	U	N
Sat 10/1	Virginia Tech at North Carolina	+9.5	57.0	L 10 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/8	Virginia Tech at Pittsburgh	+14.5	42.0	L 29 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/15	Virginia Tech vs Miami	+9.0	48.5	L 14 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/27	Virginia Tech at NC State	+13.0	39.0	L 21 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Virginia Tech vs Georgia Tech	-4.0	40.5	L 27 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/12	Virginia Tech at Duke	+10.0	50.0	L 7 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/19	Virginia Tech at Liberty	+10.5	46.0	W 23 - 22	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Virginia Tech vs Virginia	-1.5	40.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule

NC State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	NC State at East Carolina	-12.5	52.0	W 21 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/10	NC State vs Charleston Southern	-45.5	55.0	W 55 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/17	NC State vs Texas Tech	-10.5	55.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/24	NC State vs UConn	-38.5	48.0	W 41 - 10	O	N
Sat 10/1	NC State at Clemson	+6.5	46.0	L 20 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/8	NC State vs Florida State	-3.5	50.5	W 19 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/15	NC State at Syracuse	+3.0	42.5	L 9 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/27	NC State vs Virginia Tech	-13.0	39.0	W 22 - 21	O	N
Sat 11/5	NC State vs Wake Forest	+3.0	54.0	W 30 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/12	NC State vs Boston College	-18.0	41.0	L 20 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/19	NC State at Louisville	+4.0	43.0	L 10 - 25	U	N
Fri 11/25	NC State at North Carolina	+6.5	56.0	W 30 - 27	O	Y
Fri 12/30	NC State vs Maryland	-2.5	45.0	L 12 - 16	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VT	.1	38%	19.3	40%	2.95	112	36%	203	2.62	.17	38%	24.7	41%	36%	3.86	57.9	1.4	1.3
NCST	.13	39%	24.3	40%	2.81	114	38%	226	3.52	.1	35%	19.2	33%	37%	3.39	57.8	1.2	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VT	#75 (.18)	42% (87)		44% (66)	3.01 (76)	173	39% (102)	178	4.22 (40)	#18 (.09)	39% (34)		42% (56)	36% (15)	2.97 (7)	46.3	1.2	1.8
NCST	#26 (.25)	45% (36)		44% (68)	3.24 (36)	130	47% (20)	215	3.97 (61)	#86 (.19)	41% (59)		39% (31)	43% (87)	3.78 (67)	45	1.7	1.4

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VT Offense	11	19.3	17.8	37.6%	2.62	1.4	18	315	112	203	3.2	49%	50%	40%	36%	16%	.1
NCST Defense	13	19.2	15.3	35.1%	3.39	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	42%	57%	33%	37%	19%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VT Defense	11	24.7	29	38%	3.86	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	41%	36%	19%	.17
NCST Offense	13	24.3	30.6	38.8%	3.52	1.2	20	340	114	226	3.4	44%	55%	40%	38%	16%	.13

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Virginia Tech	11	29:09	17.5	31%	43%	7.3	57.9	1.4	1.3	6.7	2.1	3	28.4
NC State	13	31:23	20.4	36%	40%	7.3	57.8	1.2	1.7	6.5	2.2	2	31.6

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VT Offense	11	49%	40%	35.3	111.8	3.2	15	.08	2.95	74%	10%	0.91
NCST Defense	13	42%	33%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.51	53%	11%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VT Defense	11	47%	41%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.83	68%	12%	1.08
NCST Offense	13	44%	40%	34	113.8	3.4	8	.02	2.81	71%	10%	0.82

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VT Offense	11	50%	36%	18.5	31.5	202.9	6.5	11	9	9	.15	1.5	35%	27%	.31	6%	2.2
NCST Defense	13	57%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.2	1.6	38%	30%	.36	8%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VT Defense	11	53%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.25	1.7	36%	27%	.32	6%	2.1
NCST Offense	13	55%	38%	20.7	36.2	226.1	6.2	10.9	23	8	.25	1.5	35%	27%	.32	6%	2.1

Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: NR
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Virginia Tech's 2022 Expected Record: -
Virginia Tech's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 #99
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.5 #127
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #42

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: NC State: 5.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: -9.5 NC State: 6.8

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 5.9 NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
NC State's 2022 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #49
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #99
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #13

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 24.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Virginia Tech's 2022 Record
Record: 3 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
NC State 30
Virginia Tech 18

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
NC State 33
Virginia Tech 17

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
NC State 27
Virginia Tech 18

Total Points: 45

NC State Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.6
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.3

NC State's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	NC State	21	Virginia Tech	23	NC State -10	Virginia Tech	57.5	Under
2023	11/18	Virginia Tech	28	NC State	35	Virginia Tech -2.5	NC State	40.5	Over
2022	10/27	NC State	22	Virginia Tech	21	NC State -13	Virginia Tech	39.0	Over
2020	09/26	Virginia Tech	45	NC State	24	Virginia Tech -6.5	Virginia Tech	57.5	Over
2015	10/09	Virginia Tech	28	NC State	13	Virginia Tech -2	Virginia Tech	44.0	Under
2010	10/02	NC State	30	Virginia Tech	41
2009	11/21	Virginia Tech	38	NC State	10
2005	09/04	NC State	16	Virginia Tech	20
2004	09/25	Virginia Tech	16	NC State	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
NC State	3	1	3 Overs
Virginia Tech	6	4	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 5	2 - 3	2 - 3	0 - 0
Road Teams	5 - 4	3 - 2	0 - 0	3 - 2

(#) VT at (#) NCST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	VT	NCST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#99	#49
Perf GradeGrade	#108	#54
OffenseOff	#124	#94
DefenseDef	#52	#20
Spec TeamsST	#77	#13
TalentTal	#52	#35
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Virginia Tech Injury Report

NC State Injury Report

Virginia Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	VT Off	NCST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#124	#20
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#127	#13
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Virginia Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	VT Off	NCST Def
Run GameRun	#131	#11
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#108	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#33

Virginia Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	VT Off	NCST Def
Pass GamePass	#86	#27
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#77	#74
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

NC State on Offense


CategoryCat	NCST Off	VT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#94	#52
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#99	#42
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

NC State Run Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	VT Def
Run GameRun	#105	#47
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#45	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#24

NC State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	VT Def
Pass GamePass	#89	#89
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#31	#35
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

VT 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'22 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 56°

Rematch from Week 9
NC State -13.0 (39.0)
NC State won vs Virginia Tech this year (22-21)

Previous Matchups
NC State beat Virginia Tech in 2023 (35-28)
NC State beat Virginia Tech in 2022 (22-21)

VT's OC Tyler Bowen (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC Chris Marve (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NCST's OC Tim Beck (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC Tony Gibson (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD