NC State at Clemson - 2022 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 1st 2022 (7:30 PM EDT)
Clemson -6.5 (46.0)
Clemson 30 - NC State: 20 (ACC)

Wolfpack (8 - 5) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (64 - 49)
Avg Score : 24 - 19 (18 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CLEM is playing their 5th straight game
NCST is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -8 (SP+ CLEM -11)
Projected Score: NCST: 20 - CLEM: 25 (45)
CLEM Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
NCST Travel: 245 miles

Tigers (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (150 - 36)
Avg Score : 33 - 21 (34 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NCST Players
CLEM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

NC State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	NC State at East Carolina	-12.5	52.0	W 21 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/10	NC State vs Charleston Southern	-45.5	55.0	W 55 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/17	NC State vs Texas Tech	-10.5	55.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/24	NC State vs UConn	-38.5	48.0	W 41 - 10	O	N
Sat 10/1	NC State at Clemson	+6.5	46.0	L 20 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/8	NC State vs Florida State	-3.5	50.5	W 19 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/15	NC State at Syracuse	+3.0	42.5	L 9 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/27	NC State vs Virginia Tech	-13.0	39.0	W 22 - 21	O	N
Sat 11/5	NC State vs Wake Forest	+3.0	54.0	W 30 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/12	NC State vs Boston College	-18.0	41.0	L 20 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/19	NC State at Louisville	+4.0	43.0	L 10 - 25	U	N
Fri 11/25	NC State at North Carolina	+6.5	56.0	W 30 - 27	O	Y
Fri 12/30	NC State vs Maryland	-2.5	45.0	L 12 - 16	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule

Clemson's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/5	Clemson vs Georgia Tech	-24.5	51.0	W 41 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Clemson vs Furman	-45.5	51.5	W 35 - 12	U	N
Sat 9/17	Clemson vs Louisiana Tech	-33.5	53.5	W 48 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/24	Clemson at Wake Forest	-7.5	58.0	W 51 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/1	Clemson vs NC State	-6.5	46.0	W 30 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Clemson at Boston College	-21.0	49.0	W 31 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Clemson at Florida State	-4.5	51.0	W 34 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Clemson vs Syracuse	-14.0	50.0	W 27 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Clemson at Notre Dame	-3.5	43.5	L 14 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/12	Clemson vs Louisville	-7.0	52.0	W 31 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Clemson vs Miami	-19.0	47.5	W 40 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Clemson vs South Carolina	-14.0	53.0	L 30 - 31	O	N
Sat 12/3	Clemson vs North Carolina	-7.5	64.0	W 39 - 10	U	Y
Fri 12/30	Clemson vs Tennessee	-4.0	62.0	L 14 - 31	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NCST	.13	39%	24.3	40%	2.81	114	38%	226	3.52	.1	35%	19.2	33%	37%	3.39	57.8	1.2	1.7
CLEM	.19	45%	33.2	49%	3.29	178	41%	232	4.14	.08	38%	20.9	39%	37%	3.22	48.2	1.6	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NCST	#26 (.25)	45% (36)		44% (68)	3.24 (36)	130	47% (20)	215	3.97 (61)	#86 (.19)	41% (59)		39% (31)	43% (87)	3.78 (67)	45	1.7	1.4
CLEM	#21 (.27)	47% (24)		50% (12)	3.28 (29)	174	45% (36)	279	4.33 (29)	#52 (.14)	40% (48)		43% (68)	38% (36)	3.64 (48)	47.6	0.7	1.9

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NCST Offense	13	24.3	18	38.8%	3.52	1.2	20	340	114	226	3.4	44%	55%	40%	38%	16%	.13
CLEM Defense	14	20.9	18.6	37.7%	3.22	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	42%	58%	39%	37%	21%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NCST Defense	13	19.2	25.2	35.1%	3.39	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	42%	57%	33%	37%	19%	.1
CLEM Offense	14	33.2	34.4	44.9%	4.14	1.6	23	410	178	232	4.6	52%	48%	49%	41%	14%	.19

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
NC State	13	31:23	20.4	36%	40%	7.3	57.8	1.2	1.7	6.5	2.2	2	31.6
Clemson	14	31:12	22.8	47%	50%	5.4	48.2	1.6	1.7	7.6	3.1	2	28.8

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NCST Offense	13	44%	40%	34	113.8	3.4	8	.02	2.81	71%	10%	0.82
CLEM Defense	14	42%	39%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.69	64%	13%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NCST Defense	13	42%	33%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.51	53%	11%	1.04
CLEM Offense	14	52%	49%	39.1	178.4	4.6	31	.2	3.29	78%	9%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NCST Offense	13	55%	38%	20.7	36.2	226.1	6.2	10.9	23	8	.25	1.5	35%	27%	.32	6%	2.1
CLEM Defense	14	58%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.1	1.6	34%	25%	.2	8%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NCST Defense	13	57%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.2	1.6	38%	30%	.36	8%	2
CLEM Offense	14	48%	41%	21.2	34.1	231.9	6.8	10.9	24	10	.2	1.5	30%	30%	.21	5%	1.9

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
NC State's 2022 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #49
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #99
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #13

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
NC State: Clemson: 11.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: 6.8 Clemson: 17.6

Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 11.3 NR
Clemson's Offense Rating: NR
Clemson's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Clemson's 2022 Expected Record: -
Clemson's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.6 #13
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #33
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.5 #26

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

NC State Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 18
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

NC State's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Clemson 25
NC State 20

Total Points: 45

Based on Last 4 Games
Clemson 22
NC State 19

Total Points: 42

Based on Entire Season
Clemson 28
NC State 21

Total Points: 49

Clemson Scoring
Offense: 33.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.4
Defense: 20.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.6

Clemson's 2022 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/21	Clemson	59	NC State	35	Clemson -17	Clemson	44.0	Over
2023	10/28	NC State	24	Clemson	17	Clemson -9.5	NC State	44.5	Under
2022	10/01	Clemson	30	NC State	20	Clemson -6.5	Clemson	46.0	Over
2021	09/25	NC State	27	Clemson	21	Clemson -10.5	NC State	46.5	Over
2019	11/09	NC State	10	Clemson	55	Clemson -34	Clemson	54.5	Over
2018	10/20	Clemson	41	NC State	7	Clemson -17.5	Clemson	58.0	Under
2017	11/04	NC State	31	Clemson	38	Clemson -9.5	NC State	51.0	Over
2016	10/15	Clemson	24	NC State	17	Clemson -17	NC State	60.0	Under
2015	10/31	NC State	41	Clemson	56	Clemson -9.5	Clemson	50.5	Over
2014	10/04	Clemson	41	NC State	0	Clemson -14	Clemson	0
2013	09/19	NC State	14	Clemson	26	Clemson -13	NC State	0
2012	11/17	Clemson	62	NC State	48
2011	11/19	NC State	37	Clemson	13
2010	11/06	Clemson	14	NC State	13
2009	11/14	NC State	23	Clemson	43
2008	09/13	Clemson	27	NC State	9
2007	09/22	NC State	20	Clemson	42
2006	11/11	Clemson	20	NC State	14
2005	10/13	NC State	10	Clemson	31
2004	10/30	Clemson	26	NC State	20
2003	10/16	NC State	17	Clemson	15
2002	10/24	Clemson	6	NC State	38
2001	10/13	NC State	37	Clemson	45
2000	10/06	Clemson	34	NC State	27

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Clemson	19	6	6 Overs
NC State	5	5	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 9	8 - 3	4 - 1	4 - 2
Road Teams	9 - 15	3 - 8	2 - 4	1 - 4

(#) NCST at (#) CLEM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NCST	CLEM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#49	#13
Perf GradeGrade	#54	#25
OffenseOff	#94	#59
DefenseDef	#20	#15
Spec TeamsST	#13	#2
TalentTal	#35	#5
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

NC State Injury Report

Clemson Injury Report

NC State on Offense


CategoryCat	NCST Off	CLEM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#94	#15
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#99	#26
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

NC State Run Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	CLEM Def
Run GameRun	#105	#19
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#45	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#6

NC State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	CLEM Def
Pass GamePass	#89	#39
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#31	#5
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Clemson on Offense


CategoryCat	CLEM Off	NCST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#59	#20
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#33	#13
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Clemson Run Game


CategoryCat	CLEM Off	NCST Def
Run GameRun	#41	#11
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#54	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#33

Clemson Pass Game


CategoryCat	CLEM Off	NCST Def
Pass GamePass	#56	#27
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#58	#74
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CLEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'22 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 63° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 5
Clemson -6.5 (46.0)
Clemson won vs NC State this year (30-20)

Previous Matchups
Clemson beat NC State last year (59-35)
NC State beat Clemson in 2023 (24-17)
Clemson beat NC State in 2022 (30-20)

NCST's OC Tim Beck (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC Tony Gibson (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

CLEM's OC Brandon Streeter (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Clemson's Full Roster

CLEM's DC Mickey Conn (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD