Old Dominion at East Carolina - 2022 Matchup Preview
Old Dominion logo Old Dominion Monarchs at East Carolina PiratesEast Carolina logo
Saturday, September 10th 2022 (6:00 PM EDT)
East Carolina -13 (49.5)
East Carolina 39 - Old Dominion: 21

 
Monarchs (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ricky Rahne (6 - 7)
Avg Score : 20 - 27 (23 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ECU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -9.5  (SP+ ECU -14)

Projected Score: ODU: 26 - ECU: 25 (51)
ECU Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
ODU Travel: 107 miles
Pirates (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Houston (14 - 19)
Avg Score : 33 - 27 (30 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Old Dominion's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Old Dominion vs Virginia Tech+6.048.5W 20 - 17UY
Sat 9/10 Old Dominion at East Carolina+13.049.5L 21 - 39ON
Sat 9/17 Old Dominion at Virginia+8.052.5L 14 - 16UY
Sat 9/24 Old Dominion vs Arkansas State-5.055.5W 29 - 26UN
Sat 10/1 Old Dominion vs Liberty+3.548.0L 24 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina+11.058.5W 49 - 21OY
Sat 10/22 Old Dominion vs Georgia Southern-1.566.0L 23 - 28UN
Sat 10/29 Old Dominion at Georgia State+3.553.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 11/5 Old Dominion vs Marshall+3.546.5L 0 - 12UN
Sat 11/12 Old Dominion vs James Madison+7.548.0L 3 - 37UN
Sat 11/19 Old Dominion at App State+16.550.5L 14 - 27UY
Sat 11/26 Old Dominion at South Alabama+16.547.0L 20 - 27UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Old Dominion's Schedule
East Carolina's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 East Carolina vs NC State+12.552.0L 20 - 21UY
Sat 9/10 East Carolina vs Old Dominion-13.049.5W 39 - 21OY
Sat 9/17 East Carolina vs Campbell-32.558.0W 49 - 10OY
Sat 9/24 East Carolina vs Navy-16.548.5L 20 - 23UN
Sat 10/1 East Carolina vs South Florida-10.055.5W 48 - 28OY
Sat 10/8 East Carolina at Tulane+2.556.0L 9 - 24UN
Sat 10/15 East Carolina vs Memphis-5.562.5W 47 - 45ON
Sat 10/22 East Carolina vs UCF+5.563.0W 34 - 13UY
Fri 10/28 East Carolina at BYU+3.064.0W 27 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/11 East Carolina at Cincinnati+4.551.5L 25 - 27OY
Sat 11/19 East Carolina vs Houston-6.066.5L 3 - 42UN
Sat 11/26 East Carolina at Temple-9.552.0W 49 - 46ON
Tue 12/27 East Carolina vs Coastal Carolina-7.067.5W 53 - 29OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ODU.1234%19.536%2.799134%2483.35.2343%26.643%45%3.2163.81.51.9
ECU.2845%32.545%3.0817145%2903.84.2445%27.242%48%4.1437.60.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ODU#47 (.22)42% (71)45% (55)3.24 (34)21140% (89)1934.75 (6)#71 (.17)39% (33)38% (22)40% (64)3.64 (50)54.21.71.4
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)44% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)37% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ODU Offense1219.522.534.3%3.351.516340912483.537%62%36%34%22%.12
ECU Defense1327.22545.1%4.141.5 - - - - - 39%59%42%48%18%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ODU Defense1226.626.843.3%3.211.9 - - - - - 57%42%43%45%15%.23
ECU Offense1332.530.345%3.840.5234611712905.246%54%45%45%17%.28

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Old Dominion1224:0715.830%35%6.963.81.51.96.22.6127.9
East Carolina1331:1122.546%45%4.337.60.51.55.41.8230
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ODU Offense1237%36%25.891.43.58-.022.7969%12%0.94
ECU Defense1339%42% - - - - .092.8359%11%0.96
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ODU Defense1257%43% - - - - .143.175%10%0.94
ECU Offense1346%45%32.5170.65.225.213.0868%9%1.13

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ODU Offense1262%34%19.834.8248.17.112.6197.21.738%24%.249%2.2
ECU Defense1359%48% - - - - - - 10.391.531%36%.47%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ODU Defense1242%45% - - - - - - 12.391.630%30%.335%2
ECU Offense1354%45%24.837.2290.57.811.7285.351.532%34%.498%2.1

Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: NR
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: NR
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Old Dominion's 2022 Expected Record: -
Old Dominion's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.0  #107
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9  #112
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #78

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion:    East Carolina: 3.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion: -13.0   East Carolina: 1.1




East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: 3.05 NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
East Carolina's 2022 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1  #68
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5  #51
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7  #75

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 19.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.5
Defense: 26.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.8

Old Dominion's 2022 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Old Dominion 26
East Carolina 25


Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Old Dominion 29
East Carolina 21

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
East Carolina 29
Old Dominion 23

Total Points: 52
East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.3
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 25

East Carolina's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/07Old Dominion14East Carolina20Old Dominion -1.5East Carolina53.5Under
202209/10East Carolina39Old Dominion21East Carolina -13East Carolina49.5Over
201909/28Old Dominion21East Carolina24Old Dominion -3East Carolina46.5Under
201809/29East Carolina37Old Dominion35East Carolina -7Old Dominion61.5Over
201308/31East Carolina52Old Dominion38East Carolina -14.5Old Dominion0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
East Carolina532 Overs
Old Dominion022 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 21 - 41 - 40 - 0
Road Teams2 - 34 - 10 - 04 - 1

(#) ODU at (#) ECU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatODUECU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #107 #68
Perf GradeGrade #102 #77
OffenseOff #105 #49
DefenseDef #88 #119
Spec TeamsST #14 #41
TalentTal #101 #82
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Old Dominion on Offense
CategoryCat
ODU OffECU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #105 #119
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #112 #75
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Old Dominion Run Game
CategoryCat
ODU OffECU Def
Run GameRun #88 #45
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #109 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #40
Old Dominion Pass Game
CategoryCat
ODU OffECU Def
Pass GamePass #87 #128
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #80 #130
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
East Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatECU OffODU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #49 #88
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #51 #78
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
East Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffODU Def
Run GameRun #31 #54
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #75 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #27
East Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatECU OffODU Def
Pass GamePass #14 #101
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #101 #105
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Top G5

ODU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 73° - Wind: 7 mph
Rain: 0.039
Rematch from Week 2
East Carolina -13.0 (49.5)
East Carolina won vs Old Dominion this year (39-21)

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat Old Dominion last year (20-14)
East Carolina beat Old Dominion in 2022 (39-21)

  
ODU's OC Dave Patenaude (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Old Dominion's Full Roster

ODU's DC Blake Seiler (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ECU's OC Donnie Kirkpatrick (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC Blake Harrell (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD