Ball State at Miami (OH) - 2022 Matchup Preview
Ball State logo   Ball State Cardinals at Miami (OH) RedHawks  Miami (OH) logo
Tuesday, November 22nd 2022 (7:00 PM EST)
Miami (OH) -2.5 (45.0)
Miami (OH) 18 - Ball State: 17  (Mid-American)

 
Cardinals (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Neu (28 - 41)
Avg Score : 16 - 30 (10 - 36 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BALL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -3.5  (SP+ M-OH -2)
Projected Score: BALL: 18 - M-OH: 31 (49)
M-OH Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
BALL Travel: 60 miles
RedHawks (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (39 - 52)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (32 - 23 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ball State's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Ball State at Tennessee+37.066.5L 10 - 59ON
Sat 9/10 Ball State vs Western Michigan+6.551.5L 30 - 37ON
Sat 9/17 Ball State vs Murray State-21.053.0W 31 - 0UY
Sat 9/24 Ball State at Georgia Southern+9.567.0L 23 - 34UN
Sat 10/1 Ball State vs Northern Illinois+3.558.5W 44 - 38OY
Sat 10/8 Ball State at Central Michigan+7.563.0W 17 - 16UY
Sat 10/15 Ball State vs UConn-9.547.5W 25 - 21UN
Sat 10/22 Ball State vs Eastern Michigan-2.557.5L 16 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1 Ball State at Kent State+7.061.5W 27 - 20UY
Tue 11/8 Ball State at Toledo+11.050.0L 21 - 28UY
Tue 11/15 Ball State vs Ohio+3.557.5L 18 - 32UN
Tue 11/22 Ball State at Miami (OH)+2.545.0L 17 - 18UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule
Miami (OH)'s 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Miami (OH) at Kentucky+15.055.0L 13 - 37UN
Sat 9/10 Miami (OH) vs Robert Morris-30.054.0W 31 - 14UN
Sat 9/17 Miami (OH) vs Cincinnati+24.051.0L 17 - 38OY
Sat 9/24 Miami (OH) at Northwestern+7.550.0W 17 - 14UY
Sat 10/1 Miami (OH) at Buffalo+3.050.0L 20 - 24UN
Sat 10/8 Miami (OH) vs Kent State+5.056.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 10/15 Miami (OH) at Bowling Green-7.045.0L 13 - 17UN
Sat 10/22 Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan-7.044.0L 10 - 16UN
Sat 10/29 Miami (OH) at Akron-9.051.5W 27 - 9UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/8 Miami (OH) vs Ohio+2.552.0L 21 - 37ON
Wed 11/16 Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois+1.044.0W 29 - 23OY
Tue 11/22 Miami (OH) vs Ball State-2.545.0W 18 - 17UN
Fri 12/16 Miami (OH) vs UAB+11.044.5L 20 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL.1341%15.841%3.0313041%2083.68.2549%29.847%54%3.9340.80.91.5
M-OH.2742%23.541%3.0814843%2793.83.2242%21.741%43%3.7560.80.91.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
M-OH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Offense1315.89.740.5%3.680.9193371302083.848%51%41%41%15%.13
M-OH Defense1321.722.741.9%3.751.3 - - - - - 52%47%41%43%23%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Defense1329.835.749.4%3.931.5 - - - - - 54%45%47%54%13%.25
M-OH Offense1323.532.341.8%3.830.9214261482794.346%54%41%43%17%.27

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ball State1327:3919.140%52%4.940.80.91.55.31.8130.5
Miami (OH)1329:4521.540%43%6.760.80.91.37.82.9127.6
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Offense1348%41%34.2129.63.817.143.0375%9%1.04
M-OH Defense1352%41% - - - - .23.1182%16%1.11
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Defense1354%47% - - - - .193.2778%9%0.91
M-OH Offense1346%41%34.8147.64.315.143.0880%9%0.99

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Offense1351%41%20.533.8207.66.110.1187.141.433%29%.176%1.8
M-OH Defense1347%43% - - - - - - 9.271.633%27%.287%2.4
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Defense1345%54% - - - - - - 15.41.327%31%.275%1.9
M-OH Offense1354%43%1932.8278.58.514.7328.371.735%35%.417%2

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ball State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9  #114
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.0  #118
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1  #84

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State:    Miami (OH): -3.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -14.9   Miami (OH): -12.7




Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -3.85 NR
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Miami (OH)'s 2022 Expected Record: -
Miami (OH)'s 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7  #105
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 8.6  #130
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1  #38

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Ball State Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.7
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.7

Ball State's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Miami (OH) 31
Ball State 18

Projected Total Points: 49
Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7

Miami (OH)'s 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Miami (OH)45Ball State24Miami (OH) -16.5Miami (OH)40.5Over
202411/05Ball State21Miami (OH)27Miami (OH) -12.5Ball State48.5Under
202311/25Ball State15Miami (OH)17Miami (OH) -3.5Ball State34.5Under
202211/22Miami (OH)18Ball State17Miami (OH) -2.5Ball State45.0Under
202110/23Ball State17Miami (OH)24Ball State -3.5Miami (OH)53.0Under
202011/04Miami (OH)38Ball State31Ball State -1Miami (OH)56.5Over
201911/29Ball State41Miami (OH)27Ball State -3Ball State55.5Over
201811/20Miami (OH)42Ball State21Miami (OH) -16.5Miami (OH)55.0Over
201711/21Ball State7Miami (OH)28Miami (OH) -17.5Miami (OH)54.5Under
201611/22Miami (OH)21Ball State20Miami (OH) -6Ball State55.0Under
201311/29Ball State55Miami (OH)14Ball State -34Ball State0
201211/23Miami (OH)24Ball State31
200811/11Miami (OH)16Ball State31
200708/30Ball State13Miami (OH)14
200610/28Miami (OH)17Ball State20
200310/18Ball State3Miami (OH)49
200109/29Ball State20Miami (OH)28
200010/06Miami (OH)10Ball State15
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami (OH)1254 Overs
Ball State666 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 117 - 44 - 33 - 1
Road Teams11 - 74 - 71 - 33 - 4

(#) BALL at (#) M-OH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBALLM-OH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #114 #105
Perf GradeGrade #85 #116
OffenseOff #86 #116
DefenseDef #76 #97
Spec TeamsST #87 #41
TalentTal #121 #112
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ball State on Offense
CategoryCat
BALL OffM-OH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #86 #97
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #118 #38
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ball State Run Game
CategoryCat
BALL OffM-OH Def
Run GameRun #34 #103
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #89 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #77
Ball State Pass Game
CategoryCat
BALL OffM-OH Def
Pass GamePass #96 #79
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #87 #116
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Miami (OH) on Offense
CategoryCatM-OH OffBALL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #116 #76
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #130 #84
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Miami (OH) Run Game
CategoryCat
M-OH OffBALL Def
Run GameRun #109 #41
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #58 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #17
Miami (OH) Pass Game
CategoryCatM-OH OffBALL Def
Pass GamePass #129 #87
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #95 #110
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
M-OH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

BALL 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yager Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Miami (OH) -2.5 (45.0)
Miami (OH) won vs Ball State this year (18-17)

Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Ball State last year (45-24)
Miami (OH) beat Ball State in 2024 (27-21)
Miami (OH) beat Ball State in 2023 (17-15)

  
BALL's OC Kevin Lynch (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC Tyler Stockton (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

M-OH's OC Eric Koehler (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC Bill Brechin (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD