Western Michigan at Miami (OH) - 2022 Matchup Preview

Western Michigan Broncos at Miami (OH) RedHawks

Saturday, October 22nd 2022 (3:30 PM EDT)
Miami (OH) -7.0 (44.0)
Western Michigan 16 - Miami (OH): 10 (Mid-American)

Broncos (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Tim Lester (32 - 25)
Avg Score : 25 - 17 (18 - 22 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

M-OH is playing their 8th straight game
WMU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -5 (SP+ M-OH -5)
Projected Score: WMU: 22 - M-OH: 24 (46)
M-OH Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
WMU Travel: 196 miles

RedHawks (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (39 - 52)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (32 - 23 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WMU Players
M-OH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Western Michigan's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Western Michigan at Michigan State	+22.0	54.5	L 13 - 35	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Western Michigan at Ball State	-6.5	51.5	W 37 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Western Michigan vs Pittsburgh	+10.0	46.0	L 13 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/24	Western Michigan at San José State	+6.5	49.0	L 6 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/1	Western Michigan vs New Hampshire	-15.0	52.5	W 44 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Western Michigan vs Eastern Michigan	-4.5	55.5	L 23 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/15	Western Michigan vs Ohio	-2.0	61.5	L 14 - 33	U	N
Sat 10/22	Western Michigan at Miami (OH)	+7.0	44.0	W 16 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/2	Western Michigan at Bowling Green	+5.0	48.0	L 9 - 13	U	Y
Wed 11/9	Western Michigan vs Northern Illinois	+1.0	49.0	L 21 - 24	U	N
Wed 11/16	Western Michigan at Central Michigan	+10.0	49.0	W 12 - 10	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Western Michigan vs Toledo	+8.5	50.5	W 20 - 14	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule

Miami (OH)'s 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Miami (OH) at Kentucky	+15.0	55.0	L 13 - 37	U	N
Sat 9/10	Miami (OH) vs Robert Morris	-30.0	54.0	W 31 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/17	Miami (OH) vs Cincinnati	+24.0	51.0	L 17 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Miami (OH) at Northwestern	+7.5	50.0	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Miami (OH) at Buffalo	+3.0	50.0	L 20 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/8	Miami (OH) vs Kent State	+5.0	56.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Miami (OH) at Bowling Green	-7.0	45.0	L 13 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/22	Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan	-7.0	44.0	L 10 - 16	U	N
Sat 10/29	Miami (OH) at Akron	-9.0	51.5	W 27 - 9	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/8	Miami (OH) vs Ohio	+2.5	52.0	L 21 - 37	O	N
Wed 11/16	Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois	+1.0	44.0	W 29 - 23	O	Y
Tue 11/22	Miami (OH) vs Ball State	-2.5	45.0	W 18 - 17	U	N
Fri 12/16	Miami (OH) vs UAB	+11.0	44.5	L 20 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WMU	.31	50%	24.9	52%	3.54	214	47%	254	4.16	.22	39%	17.4	43%	35%	3.72	58.9	1.2	1.3
M-OH	.27	42%	23.5	41%	3.08	148	43%	279	3.83	.22	42%	21.7	41%	43%	3.75	60.8	0.9	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
M-OH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WMU Offense	13	24.9	18.3	49.9%	4.16	1.2	25	468	214	254	4.7	58%	42%	52%	47%	13%	.31
M-OH Defense	13	21.7	22.7	41.9%	3.75	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	41%	43%	23%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WMU Defense	13	17.4	21.7	38.9%	3.72	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	43%	35%	22%	.22
M-OH Offense	13	23.5	32.3	41.8%	3.83	0.9	21	426	148	279	4.3	46%	54%	41%	43%	17%	.27

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Western Michigan	13	35:17	24.8	46%	46%	6.8	58.9	1.2	1.3	7.5	3.3	2	28.2
Miami (OH)	13	29:45	21.5	40%	43%	6.7	60.8	0.9	1.3	7.8	2.9	1	27.6

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WMU Offense	13	58%	52%	45.4	214.1	4.7	31	.28	3.54	67%	8%	0.93
M-OH Defense	13	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.11	82%	16%	1.11

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WMU Defense	13	51%	43%	-	-	-	-	.21	2.82	71%	16%	1.17
M-OH Offense	13	46%	41%	34.8	147.6	4.3	15	.14	3.08	80%	9%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WMU Offense	13	42%	47%	17.9	28.3	253.6	9	14.2	23	6	.4	1.7	25%	35%	.47	6%	2.2
M-OH Defense	13	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.27	1.6	33%	27%	.28	7%	2.4

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WMU Defense	13	49%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.23	1.8	35%	26%	.22	6%	2
M-OH Offense	13	54%	43%	19	32.8	278.5	8.5	14.7	32	8	.37	1.7	35%	35%	.41	7%	2

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Michigan's 2022 Expected Record: -
Western Michigan's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.3 #121
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 11.2 #129
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #68

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: Miami (OH): -3.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -17.3 Miami (OH): -12.7

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -3.85 NR
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Miami (OH)'s 2022 Expected Record: -
Miami (OH)'s 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #105
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 8.6 #130
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #38

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.3
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

Western Michigan's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Miami (OH) 24
Western Michigan 22

Projected Total Points: 46

Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7

Miami (OH)'s 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Miami (OH)	26	Western Michigan	17	Miami (OH) -2.5	Miami (OH)	40.5	Over
2025	12/06	Western Michigan	23	Miami (OH)	13	Western Michigan -2.5	Western Michigan	44.5	Under
2023	10/14	Western Michigan	21	Miami (OH)	34	Miami (OH) -7.5	Miami (OH)	46.0	Over
2022	10/22	Miami (OH)	10	Western Michigan	16	Miami (OH) -7.0	Western Michigan	44.0	Under
2019	10/12	Western Michigan	38	Miami (OH)	16	Western Michigan -12	Western Michigan	57.5	Under
2018	09/29	Miami (OH)	39	Western Michigan	40	Western Michigan -3	Miami (OH)	52.5	Over
2015	10/24	Western Michigan	35	Miami (OH)	13	Western Michigan -20	Western Michigan	55.0	Under
2014	11/01	Miami (OH)	10	Western Michigan	41	Western Michigan -5	Western Michigan	0
2011	11/16	Miami (OH)	21	Western Michigan	24
2009	09/19	Western Michigan	48	Miami (OH)	26
2006	11/04	Western Michigan	27	Miami (OH)	24
2004	11/13	Western Michigan	21	Miami (OH)	42
2001	10/27	Miami (OH)	25	Western Michigan	11

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Miami (OH)	4	3	3 Overs
Western Michigan	9	5	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 6	5 - 3	4 - 1	1 - 2
Road Teams	6 - 7	3 - 5	2 - 1	1 - 4

(#) WMU at (#) M-OH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WMU	M-OH
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#121	#105
Perf GradeGrade	#78	#116
OffenseOff	#111	#116
DefenseDef	#20	#97
Spec TeamsST	#94	#41
TalentTal	#97	#112
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Western Michigan Injury Report

Miami (OH) Injury Report

Western Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	WMU Off	M-OH Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#111	#97
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#129	#38
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Western Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	WMU Off	M-OH Def
Run GameRun	#127	#103
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#56	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#77

Western Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	WMU Off	M-OH Def
Pass GamePass	#121	#79
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#91	#116
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Miami (OH) on Offense


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	WMU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#116	#20
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#130	#68
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Miami (OH) Run Game


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	WMU Def
Run GameRun	#109	#22
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#58	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#59

Miami (OH) Pass Game


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	WMU Def
Pass GamePass	#129	#56
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#95	#11
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
M-OH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

WMU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yager Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
Miami (OH) -7.0 (44.0)
Western Michigan won at Miami (OH) this year (16-10)

Previous Matchups
Western Michigan beat Miami (OH) last year (23-13)
Miami (OH) beat Western Michigan in 2023 (34-21)

WMU's OC Eric Evans (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Western Michigan's Full Roster

WMU's DC Lou Esposito (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

M-OH's OC Eric Koehler (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC Bill Brechin (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD