Liberty at Southern Miss - 2022 Matchup Preview
Liberty logo   Liberty Flames at Southern Miss Golden Eagles  Southern Miss logo
Saturday, September 3rd 2022 (7:00 PM EDT)
Liberty -3.5 (50.0)
Liberty 29 - Southern Miss: 27

 
Flames (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (26 - 11)
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (20 - 26 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -1.5  (SP+ LIB -2)
Projected Score: LIB: 25 - USM: 28 (53)
LIB Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
LIB Travel: 713 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Eagles (7 - 6) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach Will Hall (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 27 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Liberty's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Liberty at Southern Miss-3.550.0W 29 - 27ON
Sat 9/10 Liberty vs UAB+6.050.0W 21 - 14UY
Sat 9/17 Liberty at Wake Forest+17.564.0L 36 - 37OY
Sat 9/24 Liberty vs Akron-26.552.5W 21 - 12UN
Sat 10/1 Liberty at Old Dominion-3.548.0W 38 - 24OY
Sat 10/8 Liberty at Massachusetts-22.545.5W 42 - 24ON
Sat 10/15 Liberty vs Gardner-Webb-24.555.0W 21 - 20UN
Sat 10/22 Liberty vs BYU+7.058.0W 41 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Liberty at Arkansas+14.561.5W 21 - 19UY
Sat 11/12 Liberty at UConn-13.545.0L 33 - 36ON
Sat 11/19 Liberty vs Virginia Tech-10.546.0L 22 - 23UN
Sat 11/26 Liberty vs New Mexico State-24.051.0L 14 - 49ON
Tue 12/20 Liberty vs Toledo+4.051.5L 19 - 21UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Southern Miss's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Southern Miss vs Liberty+3.550.0L 27 - 29OY
Sat 9/10 Southern Miss at Miami+27.551.0L 7 - 30UY
Sat 9/17 Southern Miss vs Northwestern State-32.550.5W 64 - 10OY
Sat 9/24 Southern Miss at Tulane+12.048.5W 27 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8 Southern Miss at Troy+7.044.0L 10 - 27UN
Sat 10/15 Southern Miss vs Arkansas State-4.553.0W 20 - 19UN
Sat 10/22 Southern Miss at Texas State-2.543.0W 20 - 14UY
Thu 10/27 Southern Miss vs Louisiana+2.542.5W 39 - 24OY
Sat 11/5 Southern Miss vs Georgia State-2.047.5L 14 - 42ON
Sat 11/12 Southern Miss at Coastal Carolina+4.548.0L 23 - 26OY
Sat 11/19 Southern Miss vs South Alabama+7.545.0L 20 - 27OY
Sat 11/26 Southern Miss at UL Monroe-3.049.5W 20 - 10UY
Sat 12/17 Southern Miss vs Rice-7.046.5W 38 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB.2945%25.652%3.7218139%2554.57.1341%26.544%38%3.6266.51.70.8
USM.0235%28.835%2.8212138%1462.53.2442%27.442%41%3.1162.52.61.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Offense1325.619.745.4%4.571.7234361812554.648%51%52%39%17%.29
USM Defense1227.427.341.6%3.111.9 - - - - - 53%47%42%41%19%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Defense1326.525.741.1%3.620.8 - - - - - 56%43%44%38%18%.13
USM Offense1228.830.935.5%2.532.6162661211463.152%46%35%38%25%.02

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Liberty1330:1922.643%43%7.166.51.70.87.52.8228.5
Southern Miss1230:5215.929%41%8.262.52.61.95.71.9429.1
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Offense1348%52%39.1180.84.626.353.7279%11%1.11
USM Defense1253%42% - - - - .173.2781%12%1.05
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Defense1356%44% - - - - .133.1775%12%0.87
USM Offense1252%35%38.8120.83.18-.072.8267%18%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Offense1351%39%17.429.32558.714.73315.251.730%32%.316%2.1
USM Defense1247%41% - - - - - - 11.321.932%32%.397%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Defense1343%38% - - - - - - 9.161.531%29%.266%1.9
USM Offense1246%38%13.323.9145.56.110.91417.21.637%25%.127%2.1

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #146
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Liberty's 2022 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.5  #73
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1  #83
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4  #57

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty:    Southern Miss: 0.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: -1.5   Southern Miss: -3.5




Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: 0.75 NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Southern Miss's 2022 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5  #80
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.0  #107
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6  #40

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Liberty Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.7

Liberty's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Southern Miss 28
Liberty 25

Projected Total Points: 53
Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Southern Miss's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/03Southern Miss27Liberty29Liberty -3.5Southern Miss50.0Over
202010/24Liberty56Southern Miss35Liberty -14Liberty59.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Southern Miss012 Overs
Liberty210 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 12 - 01 - 01 - 0
Road Teams1 - 10 - 20 - 10 - 1

(#) LIB at (#) USM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLIBUSM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #73 #80
Perf GradeGrade #81 #92
OffenseOff #95 #119
DefenseDef #72 #41
Spec TeamsST #4 #118
TalentTal #146 #85
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Liberty on Offense
CategoryCat
LIB OffUSM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #95 #41
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #83 #40
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Liberty Run Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffUSM Def
Run GameRun #99 #16
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #78 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #59
Liberty Pass Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffUSM Def
Pass GamePass #125 #81
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #21 #70
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Southern Miss on Offense
CategoryCatUSM OffLIB Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #119 #72
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #107 #57
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Southern Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
USM OffLIB Def
Run GameRun #68 #66
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #126 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #117
Southern Miss Pass Game
CategoryCatUSM OffLIB Def
Pass GamePass #117 #71
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #135 #86
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USM 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Top G5

LIB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'22 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Liberty 3.5 (50.0)
Liberty won at Southern Miss this year (29-27)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
LIB's OC Kent Austin (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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LIB's DC Josh Aldridge (in his first season)
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USM's OC Sam Gregg (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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USM's DC Austin Armstrong (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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