Southern Miss at Troy - 2022 Matchup Preview
Southern Miss logo   Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Troy Trojans  Troy logo
Saturday, October 8th 2022 (7:00 PM EDT)
Troy -7 (44.0)
Troy 27 - Southern Miss: 10  (Sun Belt)

 
Golden Eagles (7 - 6) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach Will Hall (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (28 - 28 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USM coming off BYE
TROY is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -8.5  (SP+ TROY -12)
Projected Score: USM: 26 - TROY: 26 (52)
TROY Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
USM Travel: 202 miles
Trojans (12 - 2) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 23 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Southern Miss's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Southern Miss vs Liberty+3.550.0L 27 - 29OY
Sat 9/10 Southern Miss at Miami+27.551.0L 7 - 30UY
Sat 9/17 Southern Miss vs Northwestern State-32.550.5W 64 - 10OY
Sat 9/24 Southern Miss at Tulane+12.048.5W 27 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8 Southern Miss at Troy+7.044.0L 10 - 27UN
Sat 10/15 Southern Miss vs Arkansas State-4.553.0W 20 - 19UN
Sat 10/22 Southern Miss at Texas State-2.543.0W 20 - 14UY
Thu 10/27 Southern Miss vs Louisiana+2.542.5W 39 - 24OY
Sat 11/5 Southern Miss vs Georgia State-2.047.5L 14 - 42ON
Sat 11/12 Southern Miss at Coastal Carolina+4.548.0L 23 - 26OY
Sat 11/19 Southern Miss vs South Alabama+7.545.0L 20 - 27OY
Sat 11/26 Southern Miss at UL Monroe-3.049.5W 20 - 10UY
Sat 12/17 Southern Miss vs Rice-7.046.5W 38 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
Troy's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Troy at Ole Miss+21.556.5L 10 - 28UY
Sat 9/10 Troy vs Alabama A&M-37.552.0W 38 - 17ON
Sat 9/17 Troy at App State+14.052.0L 28 - 32OY
Sat 9/24 Troy vs Marshall+3.051.5W 16 - 7UY
Sat 10/1 Troy at Western Kentucky+5.055.0W 34 - 27OY
Sat 10/8 Troy vs Southern Miss-7.044.0W 27 - 10UY
Sat 10/15 Troy vs Texas State-16.547.0W 17 - 14UN
Thu 10/20 Troy at South Alabama+3.047.0W 10 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Troy at Louisiana-3.542.5W 23 - 17UY
Sat 11/12 Troy vs Army-8.545.5W 10 - 9UN
Sat 11/19 Troy vs UL Monroe-15.048.5W 34 - 16OY
Sat 11/26 Troy at Arkansas State-13.543.5W 48 - 19OY
Sat 12/3 Troy vs Coastal Carolina-7.049.0W 45 - 26OY
Fri 12/16 Troy vs UTSA-2.055.5W 18 - 12UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM.0235%28.835%2.8212138%1462.53.2442%27.442%41%3.1162.52.61.9
TROY.1239%23.537%2.6510041%2392.86.1338%23.938%39%3.8944.51.82.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TROY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Offense1228.828.435.5%2.532.6162661211463.152%46%35%38%25%.02
TROY Defense1223.922.838.4%3.892.3 - - - - - 55%45%38%39%18%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Defense1227.427.641.6%3.111.9 - - - - - 53%47%42%41%19%.24
TROY Offense1223.525.339.1%2.861.8183381002393.341%59%37%41%18%.12

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Southern Miss1230:5215.929%41%8.262.52.61.95.71.9429.1
Troy1227:3718.340%63%544.51.82.37.53.2330.2
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Offense1252%35%38.8120.83.18-.072.8267%18%1.02
TROY Defense1255%38% - - - - .062.8491%13%0.9
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Defense1253%42% - - - - .173.2781%12%1.05
TROY Offense1241%37%30.599.83.3182.6561%12%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Offense1246%38%13.323.9145.56.110.91417.21.637%25%.127%2.1
TROY Defense1245%39% - - - - - - 16.241.734%25%.255%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Defense1247%41% - - - - - - 11.321.932%32%.397%2.2
TROY Offense1259%41%22.134.9238.76.810.81510.221.532%31%.356%2.2

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Southern Miss's 2022 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5  #80
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.0  #107
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6  #40

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss:    Troy: 6.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -3.5   Troy: 8.1




Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: 6.55 NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Troy's 2022 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1  #44
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7  #108
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.2  #8

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.6

Southern Miss's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Southern Miss 26
Troy 26

Projected Total Points: 52
Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.8

Troy's 2022 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Southern Miss18Troy28Southern Miss -6.5Troy50.5Under
202411/30Troy52Southern Miss20Troy -17.5Troy48.5Over
202311/25Southern Miss17Troy35Troy -16.5Troy48.5Over
202210/08Troy27Southern Miss10Troy -7Troy44.0Under
202109/18Southern Miss9Troy21Troy -11Troy49.0Under
201909/14Troy42Southern Miss47Troy -3Southern Miss49.0Over
201609/17Southern Miss31Troy37Southern Mississippi -11.5Troy61.0Over
200812/21Troy27Southern Miss30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Troy664 Overs
Southern Miss213 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 62 - 52 - 30 - 2
Road Teams6 - 25 - 22 - 03 - 2

(#) USM at (#) TROY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSMTROY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #80 #44
Perf GradeGrade #92 #14
OffenseOff #119 #29
DefenseDef #41 #17
Spec TeamsST #118 #68
TalentTal #85 #91
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Southern Miss on Offense
CategoryCat
USM OffTROY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #119 #17
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #107 #8
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Southern Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
USM OffTROY Def
Run GameRun #68 #39
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #126 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #112
Southern Miss Pass Game
CategoryCat
USM OffTROY Def
Pass GamePass #117 #18
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #135 #10
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Troy on Offense
CategoryCatTROY OffUSM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #29 #41
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #108 #40
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffUSM Def
Run GameRun #38 #16
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #61 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #59
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCatTROY OffUSM Def
Pass GamePass #11 #81
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #109 #70
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TROY 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'22 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

USM 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
Troy -7.0 (44.0)
Troy won vs Southern Miss this year (27-10)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat Southern Miss last year (28-18)
Troy beat Southern Miss in 2024 (52-20)
Troy beat Southern Miss in 2023 (35-17)

  
USM's OC Sam Gregg (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC Austin Armstrong (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TROY's OC Joe Craddock (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC Shiel Wood (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD