Liberty at Wake Forest - 2022 Matchup Preview
Liberty logo   Liberty Flames at Wake Forest Demon Deacons  Wake Forest logo
Saturday, September 17th 2022 (5:00 PM EDT)
Wake Forest -17.5 (64.0)
Wake Forest 37 - Liberty: 36

 
Flames (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (26 - 11)
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (20 - 26 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -7.5  (SP+ WAKE -10)
Projected Score: LIB: 21 - WAKE: 27 (48)
WAKE Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
LIB Travel: 104 miles
Demon Deacons (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Dave Clawson (51 - 48)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (28 - 17 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Liberty's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Liberty at Southern Miss-3.550.0W 29 - 27ON
Sat 9/10 Liberty vs UAB+6.050.0W 21 - 14UY
Sat 9/17 Liberty at Wake Forest+17.564.0L 36 - 37OY
Sat 9/24 Liberty vs Akron-26.552.5W 21 - 12UN
Sat 10/1 Liberty at Old Dominion-3.548.0W 38 - 24OY
Sat 10/8 Liberty at Massachusetts-22.545.5W 42 - 24ON
Sat 10/15 Liberty vs Gardner-Webb-24.555.0W 21 - 20UN
Sat 10/22 Liberty vs BYU+7.058.0W 41 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Liberty at Arkansas+14.561.5W 21 - 19UY
Sat 11/12 Liberty at UConn-13.545.0L 33 - 36ON
Sat 11/19 Liberty vs Virginia Tech-10.546.0L 22 - 23UN
Sat 11/26 Liberty vs New Mexico State-24.051.0L 14 - 49ON
Tue 12/20 Liberty vs Toledo+4.051.5L 19 - 21UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Wake Forest's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Wake Forest vs VMI-33.566.5W 44 - 10UY
Sat 9/10 Wake Forest at Vanderbilt-13.565.5W 45 - 25OY
Sat 9/17 Wake Forest vs Liberty-17.564.0W 37 - 36ON
Sat 9/24 Wake Forest vs Clemson+7.558.0L 45 - 51OY
Sat 10/1 Wake Forest at Florida State+6.067.0W 31 - 21UY
Sat 10/8 Wake Forest vs Army-16.065.5W 45 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Wake Forest vs Boston College-20.060.0W 43 - 15UY
Sat 10/29 Wake Forest at Louisville-3.066.5L 21 - 48ON
Sat 11/5 Wake Forest at NC State-3.054.0L 21 - 30UN
Sat 11/12 Wake Forest vs North Carolina-4.579.0L 34 - 36UN
Sat 11/19 Wake Forest vs Syracuse-9.558.5W 45 - 35OY
Sat 11/26 Wake Forest at Duke-3.067.0L 31 - 34UN
Fri 12/23 Wake Forest vs Missouri-3.059.0W 27 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB.2945%25.652%3.7218139%2554.57.1341%26.544%38%3.6266.51.70.8
WAKE.345%28.144%3.0816147%3074.88.2647%22.150%43%3.8852.61.42.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WAKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Offense1325.619.745.4%4.571.7234361812554.648%51%52%39%17%.29
WAKE Defense1422.117.346.8%3.882.2 - - - - - 54%46%50%43%20%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Defense1326.525.741.1%3.620.8 - - - - - 56%43%44%38%18%.13
WAKE Offense1428.128.345.4%4.881.425468161307446%54%44%47%16%.3

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Liberty1330:1922.643%43%7.166.51.70.87.52.8228.5
Wake Forest1428:4225.350%60%5.852.61.42.26.92.7230.5
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Offense1348%52%39.1180.84.626.353.7279%11%1.11
WAKE Defense1454%50% - - - - .293.3771%14%1.09
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Defense1356%44% - - - - .133.1775%12%0.87
WAKE Offense1446%44%40.4160.5431.163.0873%8%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Offense1351%39%17.429.32558.714.73315.251.730%32%.316%2.1
WAKE Defense1446%43% - - - - - - 15.221.630%37%.436%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Defense1343%38% - - - - - - 9.161.531%29%.266%1.9
WAKE Offense1454%47%21.637.1307.48.314.33915.431.731%38%.528%2

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #146
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Liberty's 2022 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.5  #73
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1  #83
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4  #57

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty:    Wake Forest: 6.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: -1.5   Wake Forest: 8.2




Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: 6.6 NR
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Wake Forest's 2022 Expected Record: -
Wake Forest's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.2  #43
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 43.3  #6
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2  #106

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Liberty Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.7

Liberty's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Wake Forest 27
Liberty 21

Projected Total Points: 48
Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.3

Wake Forest's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/17Wake Forest37Liberty36Wake Forest -17.5Liberty64.0Over
201209/01Wake Forest20Liberty17
200609/30Wake Forest34Liberty14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wake Forest301 Overs
Liberty010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 31 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) LIB at (#) WAKE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLIBWAKE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #73 #43
Perf GradeGrade #81 #7
OffenseOff #95 #11
DefenseDef #72 #11
Spec TeamsST #4 #86
TalentTal #146 #68
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Liberty on Offense
CategoryCat
LIB OffWAKE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #95 #11
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #83 #106
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Liberty Run Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffWAKE Def
Run GameRun #99 #7
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #78 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #37
Liberty Pass Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffWAKE Def
Pass GamePass #125 #54
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #21 #2
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Wake Forest on Offense
CategoryCatWAKE OffLIB Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #11 #72
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #6 #57
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Wake Forest Run Game
CategoryCat
WAKE OffLIB Def
Run GameRun #104 #66
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #50 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #117
Wake Forest Pass Game
CategoryCatWAKE OffLIB Def
Pass GamePass #4 #71
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #41 #86
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
WAKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

LIB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'22 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in BB&T Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Wake Forest -17.5 (64.0)
Wake Forest won vs Liberty this year (37-36)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
LIB's OC Kent Austin (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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View Liberty's Full Roster

LIB's DC Josh Aldridge (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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WAKE's OC Warren Ruggiero (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Wake Forest's Full Roster

WAKE's DC Brad Lambert (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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