Southern Miss at UL Monroe - 2022 Matchup Preview

Southern Miss Golden Eagles at UL Monroe Warhawks

Saturday, November 26th 2022 (5:00 PM EST)
Southern Mississippi -3 (49.5)
Southern Miss 20 - UL Monroe: 10 (Sun Belt)

Golden Eagles (7 - 6) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach Will Hall (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (28 - 28 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ULM is playing their 4th straight game
USM is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -3.5 (SP+ USM -12)
Projected Score: USM: 28 - ULM: 22 (50)
USM Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
USM Travel: 181 miles

Warhawks (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Terry Bowden (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 17 - 32 (18 - 22 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USM Players
ULM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Southern Miss's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Southern Miss vs Liberty	+3.5	50.0	L 27 - 29	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Southern Miss at Miami	+27.5	51.0	L 7 - 30	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Southern Miss vs Northwestern State	-32.5	50.5	W 64 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Southern Miss at Tulane	+12.0	48.5	W 27 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8	Southern Miss at Troy	+7.0	44.0	L 10 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/15	Southern Miss vs Arkansas State	-4.5	53.0	W 20 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/22	Southern Miss at Texas State	-2.5	43.0	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Thu 10/27	Southern Miss vs Louisiana	+2.5	42.5	W 39 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Southern Miss vs Georgia State	-2.0	47.5	L 14 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/12	Southern Miss at Coastal Carolina	+4.5	48.0	L 23 - 26	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Southern Miss vs South Alabama	+7.5	45.0	L 20 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Southern Miss at UL Monroe	-3.0	49.5	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Sat 12/17	Southern Miss vs Rice	-7.0	46.5	W 38 - 24	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule

UL Monroe's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	UL Monroe at Texas	+37.0	64.5	L 10 - 52	U	N
Sat 9/10	UL Monroe vs Nicholls	-4.5	58.5	W 35 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/17	UL Monroe at Alabama	+49.5	68.5	L 7 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/24	UL Monroe vs Louisiana	+9.5	51.0	W 21 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/1	UL Monroe at Arkansas State	+7.5	58.5	L 28 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/8	UL Monroe vs Coastal Carolina	+12.5	58.0	L 21 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/15	UL Monroe at South Alabama	+17.0	51.0	L 34 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/22	UL Monroe at Army	+6.5	55.5	L 24 - 48	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	UL Monroe vs Texas State	-2.5	52.5	W 31 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/12	UL Monroe at Georgia State	+13.5	59.5	W 31 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/19	UL Monroe at Troy	+15.0	48.5	L 16 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/26	UL Monroe vs Southern Miss	+3.0	49.5	L 10 - 20	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM	.02	35%	28.8	35%	2.82	121	38%	146	2.53	.24	42%	27.4	42%	41%	3.11	62.5	2.6	1.9
ULM	.08	33%	16.6	34%	2.48	134	32%	194	3.4	.27	47%	31.9	46%	48%	4.34	32.6	1.3	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ULM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Offense	12	28.8	28.4	35.5%	2.53	2.6	16	266	121	146	3.1	52%	46%	35%	38%	25%	.02
ULM Defense	12	31.9	22	46.6%	4.34	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	46%	48%	15%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Defense	12	27.4	27.6	41.6%	3.11	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	42%	41%	19%	.24
ULM Offense	12	16.6	18.2	33%	3.4	1.3	19	328	134	194	3.2	52%	48%	34%	32%	21%	.08

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Southern Miss	12	30:52	15.9	29%	41%	8.2	62.5	2.6	1.9	5.7	1.9	4	29.1
UL Monroe	12	28:49	18.6	34%	52%	3.8	32.6	1.3	1.6	4.8	1.9	1	28.4

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Offense	12	52%	35%	38.8	120.8	3.1	8	-.07	2.82	67%	18%	1.02
ULM Defense	12	49%	46%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.31	69%	10%	0.93

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Defense	12	53%	42%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.27	81%	12%	1.05
ULM Offense	12	52%	34%	41.7	134.4	3.2	13		2.48	76%	16%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Offense	12	46%	38%	13.3	23.9	145.5	6.1	10.9	14	17	.2	1.6	37%	25%	.12	7%	2.1
ULM Defense	12	51%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.39	1.6	28%	31%	.44	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Defense	12	47%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.32	1.9	32%	32%	.39	7%	2.2
ULM Offense	12	48%	32%	16.7	29.5	194	6.6	11.6	15	9	.17	1.9	38%	30%	.4	5%	2.3

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Southern Miss's 2022 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #80
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.0 #107
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #40

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: UL Monroe: -5.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -3.5 UL Monroe: -15.7

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -5.35 NR
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: NR
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UL Monroe's 2022 Expected Record: -
UL Monroe's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.7 #118
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #91
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.0 #122

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.6

Southern Miss's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Southern Miss 28
UL Monroe 22

Projected Total Points: 50

UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 16.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.2
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

UL Monroe's 2022 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Southern Miss	49	UL Monroe	21	Southern Miss -14	Southern Miss	48.5	Over
2024	10/12	UL Monroe	38	Southern Miss	21	UL Monroe -4.5	UL Monroe	41.0	Over
2023	11/04	Southern Miss	24	UL Monroe	7	Southern Mississippi -3.0	Southern Miss	56.0	Under
2022	11/26	UL Monroe	10	Southern Miss	20	Southern Mississippi -3	Southern Miss	49.5	Under
2018	09/08	Southern Miss	20	UL Monroe	21	Southern Mississippi -5	UL Monroe	67.5	Under
2017	09/16	UL Monroe	17	Southern Miss	28	Southern Mississippi -7	Southern Miss	55.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UL Monroe	2	2	2 Overs
Southern Miss	4	4	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 3	3 - 3	3 - 1	0 - 2
Road Teams	3 - 3	3 - 3	2 - 0	1 - 3

(#) USM at (#) ULM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USM	ULM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#80	#118
Perf GradeGrade	#92	#129
OffenseOff	#119	#120
DefenseDef	#41	#127
Spec TeamsST	#118	#130
TalentTal	#85	#120
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Southern Miss Injury Report

UL Monroe Injury Report

Southern Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	USM Off	ULM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#119	#127
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#107	#122
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Southern Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	ULM Def
Run GameRun	#68	#117
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#126	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#134

Southern Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	ULM Def
Pass GamePass	#117	#123
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#135	#111
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

UL Monroe on Offense


CategoryCat	ULM Off	USM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#120	#41
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#91	#40
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UL Monroe Run Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	USM Def
Run GameRun	#119	#16
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#133	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#59

UL Monroe Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	USM Def
Pass GamePass	#66	#81
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#125	#70
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ULM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

USM 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Malone Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Southern Miss 3.0 (49.5)
Southern Miss won at UL Monroe this year (20-10)

Previous Matchups
Southern Miss beat UL Monroe last year (49-21)
UL Monroe beat Southern Miss in 2024 (38-21)
Southern Miss beat UL Monroe in 2023 (24-7)

USM's OC Sam Gregg (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC Austin Armstrong (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ULM's OC Matt Kubik (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

ULM's DC Vic Koenning (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD