Liberty at UConn - 2022 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 12th 2022 (12:00 PM EST)
Liberty -13.5 (45.0)
UConn 36 - Liberty: 33

Flames (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (26 - 11)
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (20 - 26 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

LIB 2nd straight Road Game
CONN 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -4 (SP+ LIB -13)
Projected Score: LIB: 23 - CONN: 32 (55)
LIB Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
LIB Travel: 463 miles

Huskies (6 - 7) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Jim L. Mora (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (40 - 20 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LIB Players
CONN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Liberty's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Liberty at Southern Miss	-3.5	50.0	W 29 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/10	Liberty vs UAB	+6.0	50.0	W 21 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Liberty at Wake Forest	+17.5	64.0	L 36 - 37	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Liberty vs Akron	-26.5	52.5	W 21 - 12	U	N
Sat 10/1	Liberty at Old Dominion	-3.5	48.0	W 38 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Liberty at Massachusetts	-22.5	45.5	W 42 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/15	Liberty vs Gardner-Webb	-24.5	55.0	W 21 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/22	Liberty vs BYU	+7.0	58.0	W 41 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Liberty at Arkansas	+14.5	61.5	W 21 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Liberty at UConn	-13.5	45.0	L 33 - 36	O	N
Sat 11/19	Liberty vs Virginia Tech	-10.5	46.0	L 22 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/26	Liberty vs New Mexico State	-24.0	51.0	L 14 - 49	O	N
Tue 12/20	Liberty vs Toledo	+4.0	51.5	L 19 - 21	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule

UConn's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	UConn at Utah State	+24.0	59.0	L 20 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/3	UConn vs Central Connecticut	-20.5	51.5	W 28 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/10	UConn vs Syracuse	+23.5	49.5	L 14 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/17	UConn at Michigan	+47.5	59.0	L 0 - 59	U	N
Sat 9/24	UConn at NC State	+38.5	48.0	L 10 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/1	UConn vs Fresno State	+23.5	51.0	W 19 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/8	UConn at Florida International	-5.5	46.5	W 33 - 12	U	Y
Sat 10/15	UConn at Ball State	+9.5	47.5	L 21 - 25	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	UConn vs Boston College	+8.0	44.0	W 13 - 3	U	Y
Fri 11/4	UConn vs Massachusetts	-15.0	39.5	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/12	UConn vs Liberty	+13.5	45.0	W 36 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/19	UConn at Army	+10.5	45.0	L 17 - 34	O	N
Mon 12/19	UConn vs Marshall	+11.5	42.0	L 14 - 28	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LIB	.29	45%	25.6	52%	3.72	181	39%	255	4.57	.13	41%	26.5	44%	38%	3.62	66.5	1.7	0.8
CONN	.01	31%	35.3	37%	2.61	101	27%	164	2.96	.29	47%	27	51%	43%	4.42	48.8	1.8	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LIB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CONN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LIB Offense	13	25.6	19.7	45.4%	4.57	1.7	23	436	181	255	4.6	48%	51%	52%	39%	17%	.29
CONN Defense	12	27	19.5	47%	4.42	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	51%	43%	14%	.29

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LIB Defense	13	26.5	25.7	41.1%	3.62	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	44%	38%	18%	.13
CONN Offense	12	35.3	40.3	31.3%	2.96	1.8	14	265	101	164	3.2	44%	56%	37%	27%	26%	.01

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Liberty	13	30:19	22.6	43%	43%	7.1	66.5	1.7	0.8	7.5	2.8	2	28.5
UConn	12	25:49	14.4	23%	38%	6.7	48.8	1.8	1.3	5.3	1.1	3	28.5

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LIB Offense	13	48%	52%	39.1	180.8	4.6	26	.35	3.72	79%	11%	1.11
CONN Defense	12	51%	51%	-	-	-	-	.24	3.23	78%	8%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LIB Defense	13	56%	44%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.17	75%	12%	0.87
CONN Offense	12	44%	37%	31.4	101.3	3.2	8	-	2.61	50%	16%	1.1

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LIB Offense	13	51%	39%	17.4	29.3	255	8.7	14.7	33	15	.25	1.7	30%	32%	.31	6%	2.1
CONN Defense	12	49%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.36	1.6	28%	34%	.57	5%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LIB Defense	13	43%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.16	1.5	31%	29%	.26	6%	1.9
CONN Offense	12	56%	27%	17.3	33.9	163.8	4.8	9.5	11	17	.04	1.7	37%	24%	.24	10%	2.2

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #146
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Liberty's 2022 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.5 #73
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #83
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #57

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty: UConn: -4.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: -1.5 UConn: -14.6

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -4.8 NR
UConn's Offense Rating: NR
UConn's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UConn's 2022 Expected Record: -
UConn's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.6 #113
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.2 #126
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #69

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Liberty Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.7

Liberty's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
UConn 32
Liberty 23

Projected Total Points: 55

UConn Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.3
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

UConn's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	11/12	UConn	36	Liberty	33	Liberty -13.5	UConn	45.0	Over
2005	09/10	UConn	59	Liberty	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UConn	2	1	1 Overs
Liberty	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0

(#) LIB at (#) CONN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LIB	CONN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#73	#113
Perf GradeGrade	#81	#93
OffenseOff	#95	#89
DefenseDef	#72	#76
Spec TeamsST	#4	#129
TalentTal	#146	#129
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Liberty Injury Report

UConn Injury Report

Liberty on Offense


CategoryCat	LIB Off	CONN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#95	#76
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#83	#69
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Liberty Run Game


CategoryCat	LIB Off	CONN Def
Run GameRun	#99	#91
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#78	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#67

Liberty Pass Game


CategoryCat	LIB Off	CONN Def
Pass GamePass	#125	#38
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#21	#108
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

UConn on Offense


CategoryCat	CONN Off	LIB Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#89	#72
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#126	#57
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UConn Run Game


CategoryCat	CONN Off	LIB Def
Run GameRun	#70	#66
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#32	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#117

UConn Pass Game


CategoryCat	CONN Off	LIB Def
Pass GamePass	#130	#71
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#17	#86
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CONN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

LIB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'22 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rentschler Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
Liberty 13.5 (45.0)
UConn won vs Liberty this year (36-33)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

LIB's OC Kent Austin (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Liberty's Full Roster

LIB's DC Josh Aldridge (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

CONN's OC Nick Charlton (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UConn's Full Roster

CONN's DC Lou Spanos (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD