BYU at Liberty - 2022 Matchup Preview
BYU logo (#15)BYU Cougars at Liberty FlamesLiberty logo
Saturday, October 22nd 2022 (3:30 PM EDT)
BYU -7 (58.0)
Liberty 41 - BYU: 14  (FBS Independents)

 
Cougars (8 - 5) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (48 - 29)
Avg Score : 31 - 30 (30 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LIB 2nd straight Home Game
LIB is playing their 8th straight game
BYU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ BYU -0)
Projected Score: BYU: 22 - LIB: 25 (47)
BYU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
BYU Travel: 1751 miles, 2 hrs behind
Flames (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (26 - 11)
Avg Score : 28 - 25 (23 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
BYU's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 BYU at South Florida-11.058.5W 50 - 21OY
Sat 9/10 BYU vs Baylor-2.554.5W 26 - 20UY
Sat 9/17 BYU at Oregon+3.558.0L 20 - 41ON
Sat 9/24 BYU vs Wyoming-21.550.0W 38 - 24ON
Thu 9/29 BYU vs Utah State-26.060.0W 38 - 26ON
Sat 10/8 BYU vs Notre Dame+4.051.0L 20 - 28UN
Sat 10/15 BYU vs Arkansas-1.066.5L 35 - 52ON
Sat 10/22 BYU at Liberty-7.058.0L 14 - 41UN
Fri 10/28 BYU vs East Carolina-3.064.0L 24 - 27UN
Sat 11/5 BYU at Boise State+9.554.5W 31 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/19 BYU vs Utah Tech-23
Sat 11/26 BYU at Stanford-6.057.5W 35 - 26OY
Sat 12/17 BYU vs SMU+4.565.0W 24 - 23UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for BYU's Schedule
Liberty's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Liberty at Southern Miss-3.550.0W 29 - 27ON
Sat 9/10 Liberty vs UAB+6.050.0W 21 - 14UY
Sat 9/17 Liberty at Wake Forest+17.564.0L 36 - 37OY
Sat 9/24 Liberty vs Akron-26.552.5W 21 - 12UN
Sat 10/1 Liberty at Old Dominion-3.548.0W 38 - 24OY
Sat 10/8 Liberty at Massachusetts-22.545.5W 42 - 24ON
Sat 10/15 Liberty vs Gardner-Webb-24.555.0W 21 - 20UN
Sat 10/22 Liberty vs BYU+7.058.0W 41 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Liberty at Arkansas+14.561.5W 21 - 19UY
Sat 11/12 Liberty at UConn-13.545.0L 33 - 36ON
Sat 11/19 Liberty vs Virginia Tech-10.546.0L 22 - 23UN
Sat 11/26 Liberty vs New Mexico State-24.051.0L 14 - 49ON
Tue 12/20 Liberty vs Toledo+4.051.5L 19 - 21UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU.346%31.346%3.3317646%2504.33.2548%29.550%47%4.6553.20.81
LIB.1541%27.546%3.2217238%2173.61.136%24.638%36%3.5753.52.12.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU#51 (.22)45% (44)47% (30)3.23 (37)14843% (59)2163.73 (88)#41 (.13)41% (65)46% (99)37% (28)3.79 (68)371.42.1
LIB#24 (.26)50% (7)54% (2)3.56 (7)23843% (60)1614.21 (43)#24 (.1)39% (39)39% (30)40% (66)3.68 (58)64.41.31.3



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Offense1331.33045.6%4.330.8224261762505.252%47%46%46%13%.3
LIB Defense1324.62236.2%3.572.2 - - - - - 51%47%38%36%20%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Defense1329.531.448.3%4.651 - - - - - 53%47%50%47%13%.25
LIB Offense1327.523.341.4%3.612.1203891722174.650%48%46%38%19%.15

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
BYU1329:0921.945%33%5.753.20.813.71.2327.7
Liberty1328:3720.437%48%6.253.52.12.28.43.2131.3
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Offense1352%46%33.7176.45.219.233.3369%8%1.11
LIB Defense1351%38% - - - - .082.5975%14%1.06
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Defense1353%50% - - - - .213.5467%7%0.89
LIB Offense1350%46%37.8172.44.624.173.2268%13%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Offense1347%46%19.830.2249.78.312.6327.41.730%33%.425%2
LIB Defense1347%36% - - - - - - 14.191.736%27%.267%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Defense1347%47% - - - - - - 8.311.526%39%.576%2.1
LIB Offense1348%38%17.630.4216.57.112.32115.221.631%26%.236%2.2

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: NR
BYU's Offense Rating: NR
BYU's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
BYU's 2022 Expected Record: -
BYU's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4  #72
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3  #35
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.8  #103

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
BYU:    Liberty: 1.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
BYU: -1.4   Liberty: -1.5




Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 1.75 NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #146
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Liberty's 2022 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.5  #73
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1  #83
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4  #57

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 29.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.4

BYU's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 25
BYU 22

Total Points: 47

Based on Last 4 Games
Liberty 21
BYU 17

Total Points: 38

Based on Entire Season
Liberty 28
BYU 27

Total Points: 55
Liberty Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.3
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

Liberty's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/22Liberty41BYU14BYU -7Liberty58.0Under
201911/09BYU31Liberty24BYU -17Liberty61.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Liberty120 Overs
BYU102 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#) BYU at (#) LIB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBYULIB
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #72 #73
Perf GradeGrade #33 #81
OffenseOff #6 #95
DefenseDef #99 #72
Spec TeamsST #24 #4
TalentTal #107 #146
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
BYU on Offense
CategoryCat
BYU OffLIB Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #6 #72
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #35 #57
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
BYU Run Game
CategoryCat
BYU OffLIB Def
Run GameRun #70 #66
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #12 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #117
BYU Pass Game
CategoryCat
BYU OffLIB Def
Pass GamePass #18 #71
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #1 #86
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Liberty on Offense
CategoryCatLIB OffBYU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #95 #99
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #83 #103
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Liberty Run Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffBYU Def
Run GameRun #99 #113
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #78 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #57
Liberty Pass Game
CategoryCatLIB OffBYU Def
Pass GamePass #125 #63
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #21 #98
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LIB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'22 Profile: Remains Top G5

BYU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 72°
Rematch from Week 8
BYU 7.0 (58.0)
Liberty won vs BYU this year (41-14)

Previous Matchups
Liberty beat BYU in 2022 (41-14)

  
BYU's OC Aaron Roderick (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BYU's DC Ilaisa Tuiaki (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

LIB's OC Kent Austin (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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LIB's DC Josh Aldridge (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD