Louisiana at Southern Miss - 2022 Matchup Preview
Louisiana logo   Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at Southern Miss Golden Eagles  Southern Miss logo
Thursday, October 27th 2022 (7:30 PM EDT)
Louisiana -2.5 (42.5)
Southern Miss 39 - Louisiana: 24  (Sun Belt)

 
Ragin' Cajuns (6 - 7) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (24 - 33 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USM is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ ULL -5.5)

Projected Score: ULL: 26 - USM: 30 (56)
ULL Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
ULL Travel: 178 miles
Golden Eagles (7 - 6) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach Will Hall (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 27 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Louisiana's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Louisiana vs SE Louisiana-13.561.0W 24 - 7UY
Sat 9/10 Louisiana vs Eastern Michigan-11.056.0W 49 - 21OY
Sat 9/17 Louisiana at Rice-11.552.0L 21 - 33ON
Sat 9/24 Louisiana at UL Monroe-9.551.0L 17 - 21UN
Sat 10/1 Louisiana vs South Alabama+8.547.0L 17 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/12 Louisiana at Marshall+10.545.5W 23 - 13UY
Sat 10/22 Louisiana vs Arkansas State-6.051.0W 38 - 18OY
Thu 10/27 Louisiana at Southern Miss-2.542.5L 24 - 39ON
Sat 11/5 Louisiana vs Troy+3.542.5L 17 - 23UN
Thu 11/10 Louisiana vs Georgia Southern-3.563.0W 36 - 17UY
Sat 11/19 Louisiana at Florida State+25.052.5L 17 - 49ON
Sat 11/26 Louisiana at Texas State-5.044.0W 41 - 13OY
Fri 12/23 Louisiana vs Houston+5.556.5L 16 - 23UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule
Southern Miss's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Southern Miss vs Liberty+3.550.0L 27 - 29OY
Sat 9/10 Southern Miss at Miami+27.551.0L 7 - 30UY
Sat 9/17 Southern Miss vs Northwestern State-32.550.5W 64 - 10OY
Sat 9/24 Southern Miss at Tulane+12.048.5W 27 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8 Southern Miss at Troy+7.044.0L 10 - 27UN
Sat 10/15 Southern Miss vs Arkansas State-4.553.0W 20 - 19UN
Sat 10/22 Southern Miss at Texas State-2.543.0W 20 - 14UY
Thu 10/27 Southern Miss vs Louisiana+2.542.5W 39 - 24OY
Sat 11/5 Southern Miss vs Georgia State-2.047.5L 14 - 42ON
Sat 11/12 Southern Miss at Coastal Carolina+4.548.0L 23 - 26OY
Sat 11/19 Southern Miss vs South Alabama+7.545.0L 20 - 27OY
Sat 11/26 Southern Miss at UL Monroe-3.049.5W 20 - 10UY
Sat 12/17 Southern Miss vs Rice-7.046.5W 38 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULL.2446%2647%3.1419444%2194.13.1839%29.243%36%3.19490.61.9
USM.0235%28.835%2.8212138%1462.53.2442%27.442%41%3.1162.52.61.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULL Offense142623.845.5%4.130.6214131942194.855%45%47%44%15%.24
USM Defense1227.427.341.6%3.111.9 - - - - - 53%47%42%41%19%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULL Defense1429.232.838.9%3.191.9 - - - - - 51%49%43%36%20%.18
USM Offense1228.830.935.5%2.532.6162661211463.152%46%35%38%25%.02

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisiana1430:5221.437%59%5.3490.61.96.12.8130.9
Southern Miss1230:5215.929%41%8.262.52.61.95.71.9429.1
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULL Offense1455%47%40.4193.94.834.233.1468%11%1.04
USM Defense1253%42% - - - - .173.2781%12%1.05
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULL Defense1451%43% - - - - .23.3468%12%1.08
USM Offense1252%35%38.8120.83.18-.072.8267%18%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULL Offense1445%44%17.628.9218.67.612.4224.261.529%33%.414%2
USM Defense1247%41% - - - - - - 11.321.932%32%.397%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULL Defense1449%36% - - - - - - 10.181.837%32%.427%2.2
USM Offense1246%38%13.323.9145.56.110.91417.21.637%25%.127%2.1

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: NR
Louisiana's Offense Rating: NR
Louisiana's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Louisiana's 2022 Expected Record: -
Louisiana's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0  #64
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #95
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3  #32

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana:    Southern Miss: 0.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: 2.0   Southern Miss: -3.5




Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: 0.75 NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Southern Miss's 2022 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5  #80
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.0  #107
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6  #40

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Louisiana's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Southern Miss 30
Louisiana 26


Projected Total Points: 56
Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Southern Miss's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Louisiana10Southern Miss22Southern Miss -4.5Southern Miss54.5Under
202410/05Southern Miss13Louisiana23Louisiana -17.5Southern Miss57.5Under
202311/09Louisiana31Southern Miss34Louisiana -8.5Southern Miss51.5Over
202210/27Southern Miss39Louisiana24Louisiana -2.5Southern Miss42.5Over
201612/17Louisiana21Southern Miss28Southern Mississippi -2Southern Miss57.0Under
200808/30Southern Miss51Louisiana21
200311/01Southern Miss48Louisiana3
200109/22Louisiana10Southern Miss35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Southern Miss752 Overs
Louisiana103 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 52 - 30 - 12 - 2
Road Teams5 - 33 - 22 - 21 - 0

(#) ULL at (#) USM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatULLUSM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #64 #80
Perf GradeGrade #53 #92
OffenseOff #77 #119
DefenseDef #22 #41
Spec TeamsST #117 #118
TalentTal #93 #85
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Louisiana on Offense
CategoryCat
ULL OffUSM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #77 #41
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #95 #40
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Louisiana Run Game
CategoryCat
ULL OffUSM Def
Run GameRun #57 #16
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #49 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #59
Louisiana Pass Game
CategoryCat
ULL OffUSM Def
Pass GamePass #83 #81
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #104 #70
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Southern Miss on Offense
CategoryCatUSM OffULL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #119 #22
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #107 #32
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Southern Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
USM OffULL Def
Run GameRun #68 #21
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #126 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #62
Southern Miss Pass Game
CategoryCatUSM OffULL Def
Pass GamePass #117 #15
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #135 #78
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USM 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Top G5

ULL 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
Louisiana 2.5 (42.5)
Southern Miss won vs Louisiana this year (39-24)

Previous Matchups
Southern Miss beat Louisiana last year (22-10)
Louisiana beat Southern Miss in 2024 (23-13)
Southern Miss beat Louisiana in 2023 (34-31)

  
ULL's OC Tim Leger (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC LaMar Morgan (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USM's OC Sam Gregg (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC Austin Armstrong (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD