South Alabama at Southern Miss - 2022 Matchup Preview
South Alabama logo   South Alabama Jaguars at Southern Miss Golden Eagles  Southern Miss logo
Saturday, November 19th 2022 (3:30 PM EST)
South Alabama -7.5 (45.0)
South Alabama 27 - Southern Miss: 20  (Sun Belt)

 
Jaguars (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Kane Wommack (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (25 - 32 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USM is playing their 7th straight game
USA is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -4.5  (SP+ USA -14.5)

Projected Score: USA: 27 - USM: 31 (58)
USA Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
USA Travel: 88 miles
Golden Eagles (7 - 6) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach Will Hall (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 27 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
South Alabama's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 South Alabama vs Nicholls-13.553.0W 48 - 7OY
Sat 9/10 South Alabama at Central Michigan+6.057.5W 38 - 24OY
Sat 9/17 South Alabama at UCLA+15.559.5L 31 - 32OY
Sat 9/24 South Alabama vs Louisiana Tech-13.059.0W 38 - 14UY
Sat 10/1 South Alabama at Louisiana-8.547.0W 20 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 South Alabama vs UL Monroe-17.051.0W 41 - 34ON
Thu 10/20 South Alabama vs Troy-3.047.0L 6 - 10UN
Sat 10/29 South Alabama at Arkansas State-9.052.5W 31 - 3UY
Sat 11/5 South Alabama at Georgia Southern-3.560.5W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/12 South Alabama vs Texas State-16.046.0W 38 - 21OY
Sat 11/19 South Alabama at Southern Miss-7.545.0W 27 - 20ON
Sat 11/26 South Alabama vs Old Dominion-16.547.0W 27 - 20UN
Wed 12/21 South Alabama vs Western Kentucky-4.058.0L 23 - 44ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule
Southern Miss's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Southern Miss vs Liberty+3.550.0L 27 - 29OY
Sat 9/10 Southern Miss at Miami+27.551.0L 7 - 30UY
Sat 9/17 Southern Miss vs Northwestern State-32.550.5W 64 - 10OY
Sat 9/24 Southern Miss at Tulane+12.048.5W 27 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8 Southern Miss at Troy+7.044.0L 10 - 27UN
Sat 10/15 Southern Miss vs Arkansas State-4.553.0W 20 - 19UN
Sat 10/22 Southern Miss at Texas State-2.543.0W 20 - 14UY
Thu 10/27 Southern Miss vs Louisiana+2.542.5W 39 - 24OY
Sat 11/5 Southern Miss vs Georgia State-2.047.5L 14 - 42ON
Sat 11/12 Southern Miss at Coastal Carolina+4.548.0L 23 - 26OY
Sat 11/19 Southern Miss vs South Alabama+7.545.0L 20 - 27OY
Sat 11/26 Southern Miss at UL Monroe-3.049.5W 20 - 10UY
Sat 12/17 Southern Miss vs Rice-7.046.5W 38 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USA.1742%26.539%2.7711144%2563.36.1539%30.437%41%3.0243.81.72.2
USM.0235%28.835%2.8212138%1462.53.2442%27.442%41%3.1162.52.61.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USA Offense1226.525.241.6%3.361.7193671112563.146%54%39%44%21%.17
USM Defense1227.427.341.6%3.111.9 - - - - - 53%47%42%41%19%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USA Defense1230.43238.9%3.022.2 - - - - - 49%50%37%41%20%.15
USM Offense1228.830.935.5%2.532.6162661211463.152%46%35%38%25%.02

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Alabama1232:181931%61%4.843.81.72.25.72.7128.5
Southern Miss1230:5215.929%41%8.262.52.61.95.71.9429.1
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USA Offense1246%39%36.6111.43.115.072.7768%16%0.91
USM Defense1253%42% - - - - .173.2781%12%1.05
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USA Defense1249%37% - - - - .032.5563%13%1.01
USM Offense1252%35%38.8120.83.18-.072.8267%18%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USA Offense1254%44%22.833.92567.611.32211.271.533%30%.396%2.1
USM Defense1247%41% - - - - - - 11.321.932%32%.397%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USA Defense1250%41% - - - - - - 15.291.732%30%.37%2.1
USM Offense1246%38%13.323.9145.56.110.91417.21.637%25%.127%2.1

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: NR
South Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Alabama's 2022 Expected Record: -
South Alabama's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8  #33
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8  #66
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.4  #22

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
South Alabama:    Southern Miss: 0.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: 10.8   Southern Miss: -3.5




Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: 0.75 NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Southern Miss's 2022 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5  #80
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.0  #107
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6  #40

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32

South Alabama's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Southern Miss 31
South Alabama 27


Projected Total Points: 58
Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Southern Miss's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22South Alabama42Southern Miss35Southern Miss -2.5South Alabama53.0Over
202411/23Southern Miss14South Alabama35South Alabama -24Southern Miss54.0Under
202310/17South Alabama55Southern Miss3South Alabama -18.5South Alabama51.0Over
202211/19Southern Miss20South Alabama27South Alabama -7.5Southern Miss45.0Over
202109/04South Alabama31Southern Miss7South Alabama -2South Alabama56.5Under
202009/03Southern Miss21South Alabama32Southern Mississippi -12.5South Alabama55.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Southern Miss023 Overs
South Alabama643 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 35 - 12 - 13 - 0
Road Teams3 - 31 - 50 - 31 - 2

(#) USA at (#) USM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSAUSM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #33 #80
Perf GradeGrade #51 #92
OffenseOff #64 #119
DefenseDef #49 #41
Spec TeamsST #34 #118
TalentTal #89 #85
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
South Alabama on Offense
CategoryCat
USA OffUSM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #64 #41
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #66 #40
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
USA OffUSM Def
Run GameRun #62 #16
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #100 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #59
South Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCat
USA OffUSM Def
Pass GamePass #36 #81
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #85 #70
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Southern Miss on Offense
CategoryCatUSM OffUSA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #119 #49
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #107 #22
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Southern Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
USM OffUSA Def
Run GameRun #68 #59
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #126 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #36
Southern Miss Pass Game
CategoryCatUSM OffUSA Def
Pass GamePass #117 #47
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #135 #27
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USM 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Top G5

USA 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
South Alabama 7.5 (45.0)
South Alabama won at Southern Miss this year (27-20)

Previous Matchups
South Alabama beat Southern Miss last year (42-35)
South Alabama beat Southern Miss in 2024 (35-14)
South Alabama beat Southern Miss in 2023 (55-3)

  
USA's OC Major Applewhite (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC Corey Batoon (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USM's OC Sam Gregg (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC Austin Armstrong (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD