Southern Miss at Coastal Carolina - 2022 Matchup Preview

Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Saturday, November 12th 2022 (7:30 PM EST)
Coastal Carolina -4.5 (48.0)
Coastal Carolina 26 - Southern Miss: 23 (Sun Belt)

Golden Eagles (7 - 6) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach Will Hall (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (28 - 28 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CCU 2nd straight Home Game
USM is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ CCU -4)
Projected Score: USM: 29 - CCU: 25 (54)
CCU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
USM Travel: 624 miles, 1 hrs behind

Chanticleers (9 - 4) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (30 - 19)
Avg Score : 22 - 33 (22 - 27 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USM Players
CCU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Southern Miss's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Southern Miss vs Liberty	+3.5	50.0	L 27 - 29	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Southern Miss at Miami	+27.5	51.0	L 7 - 30	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Southern Miss vs Northwestern State	-32.5	50.5	W 64 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Southern Miss at Tulane	+12.0	48.5	W 27 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8	Southern Miss at Troy	+7.0	44.0	L 10 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/15	Southern Miss vs Arkansas State	-4.5	53.0	W 20 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/22	Southern Miss at Texas State	-2.5	43.0	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Thu 10/27	Southern Miss vs Louisiana	+2.5	42.5	W 39 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Southern Miss vs Georgia State	-2.0	47.5	L 14 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/12	Southern Miss at Coastal Carolina	+4.5	48.0	L 23 - 26	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Southern Miss vs South Alabama	+7.5	45.0	L 20 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Southern Miss at UL Monroe	-3.0	49.5	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Sat 12/17	Southern Miss vs Rice	-7.0	46.5	W 38 - 24	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule

Coastal Carolina's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Coastal Carolina vs Army	-1.5	54.0	W 38 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Coastal Carolina vs Gardner-Webb	-32.5	66.5	W 31 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/17	Coastal Carolina vs Buffalo	-12.0	60.0	W 38 - 26	O	N
Thu 9/22	Coastal Carolina at Georgia State	-2.5	63.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Coastal Carolina vs Georgia Southern	-10.0	69.5	W 34 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/8	Coastal Carolina at UL Monroe	-12.5	58.0	W 28 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/15	Coastal Carolina vs Old Dominion	-11.0	58.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Coastal Carolina at Marshall	+2.5	54.0	W 24 - 13	U	Y
Thu 11/3	Coastal Carolina vs App State	+3.0	65.5	W 35 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Coastal Carolina vs Southern Miss	-4.5	48.0	W 26 - 23	O	N
Sat 11/19	Coastal Carolina at Virginia	+2.0	44.5
Sat 11/26	Coastal Carolina at James Madison	+15.5	53.0	L 7 - 47	O	N
Sat 12/3	Coastal Carolina at Troy	+7.0	49.0	L 26 - 45	O	N
Tue 12/27	Coastal Carolina vs East Carolina	+7.0	67.5	L 29 - 53	O	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM	.02	35%	28.8	35%	2.82	121	38%	146	2.53	.24	42%	27.4	42%	41%	3.11	62.5	2.6	1.9
CCU	.45	53%	22.2	51%	3.56	229	58%	266	4.95	.18	40%	33.1	43%	39%	4.04	51.2	0.8	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CCU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Offense	12	28.8	28.4	35.5%	2.53	2.6	16	266	121	146	3.1	52%	46%	35%	38%	25%	.02
CCU Defense	13	33.1	26.5	40.5%	4.04	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	43%	39%	19%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Defense	12	27.4	27.6	41.6%	3.11	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	42%	41%	19%	.24
CCU Offense	13	22.2	21.7	53.5%	4.95	0.8	24	495	229	266	5.8	58%	42%	51%	58%	14%	.45

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Southern Miss	12	30:52	15.9	29%	41%	8.2	62.5	2.6	1.9	5.7	1.9	4	29.1
Coastal Carolina	13	31:16	23.8	54%	77%	5.4	51.2	0.8	1.1	6.3	2.5	3	29.3

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Offense	12	52%	35%	38.8	120.8	3.1	8	-.07	2.82	67%	18%	1.02
CCU Defense	13	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	.19	2.93	72%	13%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Defense	12	53%	42%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.27	81%	12%	1.05
CCU Offense	13	58%	51%	39.2	228.8	5.8	36	.34	3.56	73%	10%	1.14

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Offense	12	46%	38%	13.3	23.9	145.5	6.1	10.9	14	17	.2	1.6	37%	25%	.12	7%	2.1
CCU Defense	13	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.23	1.7	33%	29%	.31	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Defense	12	47%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.32	1.9	32%	32%	.39	7%	2.2
CCU Offense	13	42%	58%	17.5	24.8	265.9	10.7	15.2	33	4	.6	1.6	25%	44%	.69	4%	2

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Southern Miss's 2022 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #80
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.0 #107
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #40

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: Coastal Carolina: 2.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -3.5 Coastal Carolina: 0.6

Coastal Carolina's Power Ratings
Coastal Carolina's Power Rating: 2.8 NR
Coastal Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
Coastal Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Coastal Carolina's 2022 Expected Record: -
Coastal Carolina's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.6 #69
Coastal Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #44
Coastal Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #89

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.6

Southern Miss's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Southern Miss 29
Coastal Carolina 25

Projected Total Points: 54

Coastal Carolina Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.7
Defense: 33.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.5

Coastal Carolina's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	11/12	Coastal Carolina	26	Southern Miss	23	Coastal Carolina -4.5	Southern Miss	48.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Coastal Carolina	1	0	1 Overs
Southern Miss	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) USM at (#) CCU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USM	CCU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#80	#69
Perf GradeGrade	#92	#82
OffenseOff	#119	#67
DefenseDef	#41	#100
Spec TeamsST	#118	#99
TalentTal	#85	#98
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Southern Miss Injury Report

Coastal Carolina Injury Report

Southern Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	USM Off	CCU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#119	#100
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#107	#89
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Southern Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	CCU Def
Run GameRun	#68	#95
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#126	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#128

Southern Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	CCU Def
Pass GamePass	#117	#126
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#135	#14
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Coastal Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	CCU Off	USM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#67	#41
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#44	#40
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Coastal Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	CCU Off	USM Def
Run GameRun	#86	#16
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#73	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#59

Coastal Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	CCU Off	USM Def
Pass GamePass	#35	#81
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#110	#70
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CCU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Down to Top G5

USM 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Brooks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
Coastal Carolina -4.5 (48.0)
Coastal Carolina won vs Southern Miss this year (26-23)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

USM's OC Sam Gregg (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC Austin Armstrong (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

CCU's OC Willy Korn (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Coastal Carolina's Full Roster

CCU's DC Chad Staggs (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD