Akron at Liberty - 2022 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 24th 2022 (6:00 PM EDT)
Liberty -26.5 (52.5)
Liberty 21 - Akron: 12

Zips (2 - 10) (7 - 4 - 0)
Coach Joe Moorhead (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 27 (17 - 36 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

AKR 3rd straight Road Game
LIB is playing their 4th straight game
AKR is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -13.5 (SP+ LIB -22)
Projected Score: AKR: 23 - LIB: 30 (53)
LIB Win prob: 97% | Cover: 51%
AKR Travel: 286 miles

Flames (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (26 - 11)
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (32 - 27 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
AKR Players
LIB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Akron's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Akron vs St. Francis (PA)	-12
Sat 9/10	Akron at Michigan State	+34.5	56.0	L 0 - 52	U	N
Sat 9/17	Akron at Tennessee	+47.5	67.0	L 6 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/24	Akron at Liberty	+26.5	52.5	L 12 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Akron vs Bowling Green	+9.0	49.5	L 28 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Akron at Ohio	+10.0	58.5	L 34 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/15	Akron vs Central Michigan	+12.0	60.5	L 21 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Akron at Kent State	+16.0	65.0	L 27 - 33	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Akron vs Miami (OH)	+9.0	51.5	L 9 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/8	Akron vs Eastern Michigan	+6.5	57.0	L 28 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Akron at Buffalo	+14.0	43.5
Sat 11/26	Akron at Northern Illinois	+9.5	51.5	W 44 - 12	O	Y
Fri 12/2	Akron at Buffalo	+12.0	55.0	L 22 - 23	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Akron's Schedule

Liberty's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Liberty at Southern Miss	-3.5	50.0	W 29 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/10	Liberty vs UAB	+6.0	50.0	W 21 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Liberty at Wake Forest	+17.5	64.0	L 36 - 37	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Liberty vs Akron	-26.5	52.5	W 21 - 12	U	N
Sat 10/1	Liberty at Old Dominion	-3.5	48.0	W 38 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Liberty at Massachusetts	-22.5	45.5	W 42 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/15	Liberty vs Gardner-Webb	-24.5	55.0	W 21 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/22	Liberty vs BYU	+7.0	58.0	W 41 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Liberty at Arkansas	+14.5	61.5	W 21 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Liberty at UConn	-13.5	45.0	L 33 - 36	O	N
Sat 11/19	Liberty vs Virginia Tech	-10.5	46.0	L 22 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/26	Liberty vs New Mexico State	-24.0	51.0	L 14 - 49	O	N
Tue 12/20	Liberty vs Toledo	+4.0	51.5	L 19 - 21	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AKR	.19	41%	22.3	41%	3.17	122	41%	218	3.83	.42	55%	27.4	58%	51%	5.52	46.1	1.4	1
LIB	.29	45%	25.6	52%	3.72	181	39%	255	4.57	.13	41%	26.5	44%	38%	3.62	66.5	1.7	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AKR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
LIB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AKR Offense	12	22.3	17	41%	3.83	1.4	19	339	122	218	3.4	48%	52%	41%	41%	23%	.19
LIB Defense	13	26.5	27.3	41.1%	3.62	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	44%	38%	18%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AKR Defense	12	27.4	36.3	54.6%	5.52	1	-	-	-	-	-	58%	42%	58%	51%	12%	.42
LIB Offense	13	25.6	31.5	45.4%	4.57	1.7	23	436	181	255	4.6	48%	51%	52%	39%	17%	.29

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Akron	12	31:09	18.8	38%	44%	5.7	46.1	1.4	1	3.8	1.3	2	26.3
Liberty	13	30:19	22.6	43%	43%	7.1	66.5	1.7	0.8	7.5	2.8	2	28.5

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AKR Offense	12	48%	41%	36	121.9	3.4	8	.16	3.17	60%	19%	1.14
LIB Defense	13	56%	44%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.17	75%	12%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AKR Defense	12	58%	58%	-	-	-	-	.42	3.75	84%	8%	1.05
LIB Offense	13	48%	52%	39.1	180.8	4.6	26	.35	3.72	79%	11%	1.11

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AKR Offense	12	52%	41%	18.8	29.3	217.5	7.4	11.6	21	5	.21	1.6	34%	29%	.31	4%	2
LIB Defense	13	43%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.16	1.5	31%	29%	.26	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AKR Defense	12	42%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.44	1.6	27%	37%	.48	3%	1.9
LIB Offense	13	51%	39%	17.4	29.3	255	8.7	14.7	33	15	.25	1.7	30%	32%	.31	6%	2.1

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: NR
Akron's Offense Rating: NR
Akron's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Akron's 2022 Expected Record: -
Akron's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.4 #128
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #113
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #118

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Akron: Liberty: 1.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Akron: -23.4 Liberty: -1.5

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 1.75 NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #146
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Liberty's 2022 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.5 #73
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #83
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #57

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Akron Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.3

Akron's 2022 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Liberty 30
Akron 23

Projected Total Points: 53

Liberty Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.5
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Liberty's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	09/24	Liberty	21	Akron	12	Liberty -26.5	Akron	52.5	Under
2002	10/12	Akron	49	Liberty	21

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Liberty	1	0	0 Overs
Akron	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) AKR at (#) LIB

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	AKR	LIB
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#128	#73
Perf GradeGrade	#123	#81
OffenseOff	#100	#95
DefenseDef	#125	#72
Spec TeamsST	#106	#4
TalentTal	#95	#146
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Akron Injury Report

Liberty Injury Report

Akron on Offense


CategoryCat	AKR Off	LIB Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#100	#72
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#113	#57
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Akron Run Game


CategoryCat	AKR Off	LIB Def
Run GameRun	#101	#66
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#99	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#117

Akron Pass Game


CategoryCat	AKR Off	LIB Def
Pass GamePass	#93	#71
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#83	#86
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Liberty on Offense


CategoryCat	LIB Off	AKR Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#95	#125
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#83	#118
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Liberty Run Game


CategoryCat	LIB Off	AKR Def
Run GameRun	#99	#122
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#78	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#95

Liberty Pass Game


CategoryCat	LIB Off	AKR Def
Pass GamePass	#125	#122
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#21	#83
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
LIB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'22 Profile: Remains Top G5

AKR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'22 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Liberty -26.5 (52.5)
Liberty won vs Akron this year (21-12)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

AKR's OC Joe Moorhead (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Akron's Full Roster

AKR's DC Tim Tibesar (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

LIB's OC Kent Austin (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Liberty's Full Roster

LIB's DC Josh Aldridge (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD