Georgia State at Southern Miss - 2022 Matchup Preview

Georgia State Panthers at Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Saturday, November 5th 2022 (3:00 PM EDT)
Southern Mississippi -2 (47.5)
Georgia State 42 - Southern Miss: 14 (Sun Belt)

Panthers (4 - 8) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Shawn Elliott (30 - 30)
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (18 - 45 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USM 2nd straight Home Game
USM is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ GAST -0)
Projected Score: GAST: 23 - USM: 36 (59)
USM Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
GAST Travel: 332 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Golden Eagles (7 - 6) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach Will Hall (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 27 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GAST Players
USM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Georgia State at South Carolina	+12.5	55.0	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/10	Georgia State vs North Carolina	+7.0	64.0	L 28 - 35	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Georgia State vs Charlotte	-19.5	64.0	L 41 - 42	O	N
Thu 9/22	Georgia State vs Coastal Carolina	+2.5	63.5	L 24 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/1	Georgia State at Army	+8.5	54.0	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Georgia State vs Georgia Southern	-2.5	67.5	W 41 - 33	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/19	Georgia State at App State	+9.5	60.5	L 17 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/29	Georgia State vs Old Dominion	-3.5	53.5	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Georgia State at Southern Miss	+2.0	47.5	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Georgia State vs UL Monroe	-13.5	59.5	L 28 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/19	Georgia State at James Madison	+10.0	51.5	L 40 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Georgia State at Marshall	+6.5	45.5	L 23 - 28	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule

Southern Miss's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Southern Miss vs Liberty	+3.5	50.0	L 27 - 29	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Southern Miss at Miami	+27.5	51.0	L 7 - 30	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Southern Miss vs Northwestern State	-32.5	50.5	W 64 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Southern Miss at Tulane	+12.0	48.5	W 27 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8	Southern Miss at Troy	+7.0	44.0	L 10 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/15	Southern Miss vs Arkansas State	-4.5	53.0	W 20 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/22	Southern Miss at Texas State	-2.5	43.0	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Thu 10/27	Southern Miss vs Louisiana	+2.5	42.5	W 39 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Southern Miss vs Georgia State	-2.0	47.5	L 14 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/12	Southern Miss at Coastal Carolina	+4.5	48.0	L 23 - 26	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Southern Miss vs South Alabama	+7.5	45.0	L 20 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Southern Miss at UL Monroe	-3.0	49.5	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Sat 12/17	Southern Miss vs Rice	-7.0	46.5	W 38 - 24	O	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST	.24	47%	19.8	49%	3.27	225	45%	162	4.54	.2	39%	37.8	38%	40%	3.55	50.5	1.2	2
USM	.02	35%	28.8	35%	2.82	121	38%	146	2.53	.24	42%	27.4	42%	41%	3.11	62.5	2.6	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Offense	13	19.8	18	47.1%	4.54	1.2	21	387	225	162	5	62%	38%	49%	45%	17%	.24
USM Defense	12	27.4	27.3	41.6%	3.11	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	42%	41%	19%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Defense	13	37.8	45.3	39.4%	3.55	2	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	38%	40%	21%	.2
USM Offense	12	28.8	30.9	35.5%	2.53	2.6	16	266	121	146	3.1	52%	46%	35%	38%	25%	.02

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia State	13	28:21	21.5	42%	56%	5.4	50.5	1.2	2	6.9	2.8	1	26
Southern Miss	12	30:52	15.9	29%	41%	8.2	62.5	2.6	1.9	5.7	1.9	4	29.1

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Offense	13	62%	49%	45.1	225.5	5	25	.23	3.27	79%	11%	0.97
USM Defense	12	53%	42%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.27	81%	12%	1.05

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Defense	13	50%	38%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.8	81%	14%	1.04
USM Offense	12	52%	35%	38.8	120.8	3.1	8	-.07	2.82	67%	18%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Offense	13	38%	45%	13.8	23.9	161.6	6.8	11.7	19	8	.3	1.5	27%	31%	.23	6%	1.8
USM Defense	12	47%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.32	1.9	32%	32%	.39	7%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Defense	13	50%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.29	1.7	35%	31%	.38	7%	2.2
USM Offense	12	46%	38%	13.3	23.9	145.5	6.1	10.9	14	17	.2	1.6	37%	25%	.12	7%	2.1

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: NR
Georgia State's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Georgia State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Georgia State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.3 #79
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #40
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.3 #117

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: Southern Miss: 0.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -3.3 Southern Miss: -3.5

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: 0.75 NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Southern Miss's 2022 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #80
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.0 #107
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #40

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 18
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.3

Georgia State's 2022 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Southern Miss 36
Georgia State 23

Projected Total Points: 59

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Southern Miss's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	11/05	Southern Miss	14	Georgia State	42	Southern Mississippi -2	Georgia State	47.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Southern Miss	0	0	1 Overs
Georgia State	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) GAST at (#) USM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GAST	USM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#79	#80
Perf GradeGrade	#85	#92
OffenseOff	#87	#119
DefenseDef	#74	#41
Spec TeamsST	#108	#118
TalentTal	#87	#85
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Georgia State Injury Report

Southern Miss Injury Report

Georgia State on Offense


CategoryCat	GAST Off	USM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#87	#41
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#40	#40
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia State Run Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	USM Def
Run GameRun	#90	#16
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#81	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#59

Georgia State Pass Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	USM Def
Pass GamePass	#49	#81
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#85	#70
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Southern Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	USM Off	GAST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#119	#74
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#107	#117
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Southern Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	GAST Def
Run GameRun	#68	#86
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#126	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#129

Southern Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	GAST Def
Pass GamePass	#117	#94
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#135	#20
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USM 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Top G5

GAST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Southern Miss -2.0 (47.5)
Georgia State won at Southern Miss this year (42-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

GAST's OC Trent McKnight (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC Nate Fuqua (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USM's OC Sam Gregg (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC Austin Armstrong (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD