Liberty at Arkansas - 2022 Matchup Preview

Liberty Flames at Arkansas Razorbacks

Saturday, November 5th 2022 (4:00 PM EDT)
Arkansas -14.5 (61.5)
Liberty 21 - Arkansas: 19

Flames (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (26 - 11)
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (20 - 26 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

LIB coming off BYE
Our Line: -9.5 (SP+ ARK -14)
Projected Score: LIB: 29 - ARK: 29 (58)
ARK Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
LIB Travel: 835 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Razorbacks (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (12 - 11)
Avg Score : 33 - 34 (31 - 35 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LIB Players
ARK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Liberty's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Liberty at Southern Miss	-3.5	50.0	W 29 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/10	Liberty vs UAB	+6.0	50.0	W 21 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Liberty at Wake Forest	+17.5	64.0	L 36 - 37	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Liberty vs Akron	-26.5	52.5	W 21 - 12	U	N
Sat 10/1	Liberty at Old Dominion	-3.5	48.0	W 38 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Liberty at Massachusetts	-22.5	45.5	W 42 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/15	Liberty vs Gardner-Webb	-24.5	55.0	W 21 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/22	Liberty vs BYU	+7.0	58.0	W 41 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Liberty at Arkansas	+14.5	61.5	W 21 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Liberty at UConn	-13.5	45.0	L 33 - 36	O	N
Sat 11/19	Liberty vs Virginia Tech	-10.5	46.0	L 22 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/26	Liberty vs New Mexico State	-24.0	51.0	L 14 - 49	O	N
Tue 12/20	Liberty vs Toledo	+4.0	51.5	L 19 - 21	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule

Arkansas's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Arkansas vs Cincinnati	-6.5	54.5	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Arkansas vs South Carolina	-9.0	56.0	W 44 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Arkansas vs Missouri State	-26.0	60.0	W 38 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/24	Arkansas vs Texas A&M	+1.5	51.0	L 21 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/1	Arkansas vs Alabama	+17.0	61.0	L 26 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/8	Arkansas at Mississippi State	+8.0	55.5	L 17 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/15	Arkansas at BYU	+1.0	66.5	W 52 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Arkansas at Auburn	-4.0	60.0	W 41 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Arkansas vs Liberty	-14.5	61.5	L 19 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/12	Arkansas vs LSU	+5.0	59.0	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Arkansas vs Ole Miss	+0.0	67.5	W 42 - 27	O	Y
Fri 11/25	Arkansas at Missouri	-3.0	55.5	L 27 - 29	O	N
Wed 12/28	Arkansas vs Kansas	-1.5	70.5	W 55 - 53	O	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LIB	.29	45%	25.6	52%	3.72	181	39%	255	4.57	.13	41%	26.5	44%	38%	3.62	66.5	1.7	0.8
ARK	.28	44%	32.9	46%	3.32	228	42%	214	3.61	.14	39%	33.8	41%	39%	3.03	63.1	0.8	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LIB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LIB Offense	13	25.6	19.7	45.4%	4.57	1.7	23	436	181	255	4.6	48%	51%	52%	39%	17%	.29
ARK Defense	13	33.8	35	39.5%	3.03	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	41%	39%	17%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LIB Defense	13	26.5	25.7	41.1%	3.62	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	44%	38%	18%	.13
ARK Offense	13	32.9	30.5	44.4%	3.61	0.8	22	442	228	214	5	60%	39%	46%	42%	16%	.28

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Liberty	13	30:19	22.6	43%	43%	7.1	66.5	1.7	0.8	7.5	2.8	2	28.5
Arkansas	13	29:30	21.8	37%	63%	7.9	63.1	0.8	1.5	6.1	1.8	1	27.4

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LIB Offense	13	48%	52%	39.1	180.8	4.6	26	.35	3.72	79%	11%	1.11
ARK Defense	13	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.88	67%	10%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LIB Defense	13	56%	44%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.17	75%	12%	0.87
ARK Offense	13	60%	46%	45.2	227.8	5	26	.24	3.32	77%	12%	1.09

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LIB Offense	13	51%	39%	17.4	29.3	255	8.7	14.7	33	15	.25	1.7	30%	32%	.31	6%	2.1
ARK Defense	13	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.21	1.6	32%	22%	.17	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LIB Defense	13	43%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.16	1.5	31%	29%	.26	6%	1.9
ARK Offense	13	39%	42%	15.8	24.2	213.9	8.9	13.6	22	5	.37	1.7	31%	31%	.43	4%	2

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #146
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Liberty's 2022 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.5 #73
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #83
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #57

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty: Arkansas: 8.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: -1.5 Arkansas: 12.0

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 8.5 NR
Arkansas's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas's 2022 Expected Record: -
Arkansas's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.0 #29
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.3 #19
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Liberty Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.7

Liberty's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Liberty 29
Arkansas 29

Projected Total Points: 58

Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35

Arkansas's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	11/05	Arkansas	19	Liberty	21	Arkansas -14.5	Liberty	61.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas	0	0	0 Overs
Liberty	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) LIB at (#) ARK

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LIB	ARK
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#73	#29
Perf GradeGrade	#81	#43
OffenseOff	#95	#18
DefenseDef	#72	#87
Spec TeamsST	#4	#104
TalentTal	#146	#26
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Liberty Injury Report

Arkansas Injury Report

Liberty on Offense


CategoryCat	LIB Off	ARK Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#95	#87
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#83	#64
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Liberty Run Game


CategoryCat	LIB Off	ARK Def
Run GameRun	#99	#34
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#78	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#83

Liberty Pass Game


CategoryCat	LIB Off	ARK Def
Pass GamePass	#125	#119
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#21	#71
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Arkansas on Offense


CategoryCat	ARK Off	LIB Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#18	#72
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#19	#57
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas Run Game


CategoryCat	ARK Off	LIB Def
Run GameRun	#43	#66
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#9	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#117

Arkansas Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARK Off	LIB Def
Pass GamePass	#18	#71
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#11	#86
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ARK 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to Average P4

LIB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'22 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Arkansas -14.5 (61.5)
Liberty won at Arkansas this year (21-19)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

LIB's OC Kent Austin (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Liberty's Full Roster

LIB's DC Josh Aldridge (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ARK's OC Kendal Briles (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC Barry Odom (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD