Liberty at Old Dominion - 2022 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 1st 2022 (6:00 PM EDT)
Liberty -3.5 (48.0)
Liberty 38 - Old Dominion: 24

Flames (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (26 - 11)
Avg Score : 28 - 25 (33 - 28 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ODU 2nd straight Home Game
ODU is playing their 5th straight game
LIB is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -3.5 (SP+ LIB -11.5)
Projected Score: LIB: 27 - ODU: 24 (51)
LIB Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
LIB Travel: 161 miles

Monarchs (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ricky Rahne (6 - 7)
Avg Score : 20 - 27 (17 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LIB Players
ODU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Liberty's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Liberty at Southern Miss	-3.5	50.0	W 29 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/10	Liberty vs UAB	+6.0	50.0	W 21 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Liberty at Wake Forest	+17.5	64.0	L 36 - 37	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Liberty vs Akron	-26.5	52.5	W 21 - 12	U	N
Sat 10/1	Liberty at Old Dominion	-3.5	48.0	W 38 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Liberty at Massachusetts	-22.5	45.5	W 42 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/15	Liberty vs Gardner-Webb	-24.5	55.0	W 21 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/22	Liberty vs BYU	+7.0	58.0	W 41 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Liberty at Arkansas	+14.5	61.5	W 21 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Liberty at UConn	-13.5	45.0	L 33 - 36	O	N
Sat 11/19	Liberty vs Virginia Tech	-10.5	46.0	L 22 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/26	Liberty vs New Mexico State	-24.0	51.0	L 14 - 49	O	N
Tue 12/20	Liberty vs Toledo	+4.0	51.5	L 19 - 21	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule

Old Dominion's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Old Dominion vs Virginia Tech	+6.0	48.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Old Dominion at East Carolina	+13.0	49.5	L 21 - 39	O	N
Sat 9/17	Old Dominion at Virginia	+8.0	52.5	L 14 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Old Dominion vs Arkansas State	-5.0	55.5	W 29 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/1	Old Dominion vs Liberty	+3.5	48.0	L 24 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina	+11.0	58.5	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Old Dominion vs Georgia Southern	-1.5	66.0	L 23 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/29	Old Dominion at Georgia State	+3.5	53.5	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/5	Old Dominion vs Marshall	+3.5	46.5	L 0 - 12	U	N
Sat 11/12	Old Dominion vs James Madison	+7.5	48.0	L 3 - 37	U	N
Sat 11/19	Old Dominion at App State	+16.5	50.5	L 14 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Old Dominion at South Alabama	+16.5	47.0	L 20 - 27	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LIB	.15	41%	27.5	46%	3.22	172	38%	217	3.61	.1	36%	24.6	38%	36%	3.57	53.5	2.1	2.2
ODU	.12	34%	19.5	36%	2.79	91	34%	248	3.35	.23	43%	26.6	43%	45%	3.21	63.8	1.5	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LIB	#24 (.26)	50% (7)		54% (2)	3.56 (7)	238	43% (60)	161	4.21 (43)	#24 (.1)	39% (39)		39% (30)	40% (66)	3.68 (58)	64.4	1.3	1.3
ODU	#47 (.22)	42% (71)		45% (55)	3.24 (34)	211	40% (89)	193	4.75 (6)	#71 (.17)	39% (33)		38% (22)	40% (64)	3.64 (50)	54.2	1.7	1.4

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LIB Offense	13	27.5	33.2	41.4%	3.61	2.1	20	389	172	217	4.6	50%	48%	46%	38%	19%	.15
ODU Defense	12	26.6	26.3	43.3%	3.21	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	43%	45%	15%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LIB Defense	13	24.6	27.8	36.2%	3.57	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	38%	36%	20%	.1
ODU Offense	12	19.5	16.5	34.3%	3.35	1.5	16	340	91	248	3.5	37%	62%	36%	34%	22%	.12

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Liberty	13	28:37	20.4	37%	48%	6.2	53.5	2.1	2.2	8.4	3.2	1	31.3
Old Dominion	12	24:07	15.8	30%	35%	6.9	63.8	1.5	1.9	6.2	2.6	1	27.9

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LIB Offense	13	50%	46%	37.8	172.4	4.6	24	.17	3.22	68%	13%	1.05
ODU Defense	12	57%	43%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.1	75%	10%	0.94

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LIB Defense	13	51%	38%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.59	75%	14%	1.06
ODU Offense	12	37%	36%	25.8	91.4	3.5	8	-.02	2.79	69%	12%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LIB Offense	13	48%	38%	17.6	30.4	216.5	7.1	12.3	21	15	.22	1.6	31%	26%	.23	6%	2.2
ODU Defense	12	42%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.39	1.6	30%	30%	.33	5%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LIB Defense	13	47%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.19	1.7	36%	27%	.26	7%	2
ODU Offense	12	62%	34%	19.8	34.8	248.1	7.1	12.6	19	7	.2	1.7	38%	24%	.24	9%	2.2

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #146
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Liberty's 2022 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.5 #73
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #83
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #57

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty: Old Dominion: -4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: -1.5 Old Dominion: -13.0

Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: -4 NR
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: NR
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Old Dominion's 2022 Expected Record: -
Old Dominion's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.0 #107
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #112
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #78

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Liberty Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.2
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

Liberty's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Liberty 27
Old Dominion 24

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Liberty 27
Old Dominion 26

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Liberty 28
Old Dominion 22

Total Points: 50

Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 19.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 16.5
Defense: 26.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.3

Old Dominion's 2022 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	Old Dominion	21	Liberty	7	Old Dominion -14.5	Liberty	53.5	Under
2023	11/11	Liberty	38	Old Dominion	10	Liberty -13.5	Liberty	58.5	Under
2022	10/01	Old Dominion	24	Liberty	38	Liberty -3.5	Liberty	48.0	Over
2021	09/18	Liberty	45	Old Dominion	17	Liberty -26.5	Liberty	53.5	Over
2018	09/01	Liberty	52	Old Dominion	10	Old Dominion -5	Liberty	59.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Old Dominion	1	0	3 Overs
Liberty	4	5	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 1	3 - 2	2 - 1	1 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 4	2 - 3	1 - 1	1 - 2

(#) LIB at (#) ODU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LIB	ODU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#73	#107
Perf GradeGrade	#81	#102
OffenseOff	#95	#105
DefenseDef	#72	#88
Spec TeamsST	#4	#14
TalentTal	#146	#101
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Liberty Injury Report

Old Dominion Injury Report

Liberty on Offense


CategoryCat	LIB Off	ODU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#95	#88
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#83	#78
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Liberty Run Game


CategoryCat	LIB Off	ODU Def
Run GameRun	#99	#54
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#78	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#27

Liberty Pass Game


CategoryCat	LIB Off	ODU Def
Pass GamePass	#125	#101
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#21	#105
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Old Dominion on Offense


CategoryCat	ODU Off	LIB Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#105	#72
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#112	#57
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Old Dominion Run Game


CategoryCat	ODU Off	LIB Def
Run GameRun	#88	#66
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#109	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#117

Old Dominion Pass Game


CategoryCat	ODU Off	LIB Def
Pass GamePass	#87	#71
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#80	#86
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ODU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

LIB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'22 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Foreman Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 68° - Wind: 11 mph

Rematch from Week 5
Liberty 3.5 (48.0)
Liberty won at Old Dominion this year (38-24)

Previous Matchups
Liberty beat Old Dominion in 2023 (38-10)
Liberty beat Old Dominion in 2022 (38-24)

LIB's OC Kent Austin (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Liberty's Full Roster

LIB's DC Josh Aldridge (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ODU's OC Dave Patenaude (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Old Dominion's Full Roster

ODU's DC Blake Seiler (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD