San Diego State at San José State - 2021 Matchup Preview

San Diego State Aztecs at San José State Spartans

Friday, October 15th 2021 (10:30 PM EDT)
San Diego State -10 (41.0)
San Diego State 19 - San José State: 13 (Mountain West)

Aztecs (12 - 2) (7 - 6 - 1)
Coach Brady Hoke (7 - 4)
Avg Score : 26 - 15 (18 - 18 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SJSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ SDSU -10)
Projected Score: SDSU: 27 - SJSU: 20 (47)
SDSU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
SDSU Travel: 412 miles

Spartans (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (17 - 31)
Avg Score : 21 - 33 (26 - 30 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SDSU Players
SJSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

San Diego State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	San Diego State vs New Mexico State	-31.0	51.0	W 28 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/11	San Diego State at Arizona	+1.5	46.0	W 38 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/18	San Diego State vs Utah	+8.0	42.5	W 33 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/25	San Diego State vs Towson	-23.0	41.0	W 48 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9	San Diego State vs New Mexico	-19.5	42.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Fri 10/15	San Diego State at San José State	-10.0	41.0	W 19 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/23	San Diego State at Air Force	+3.0	38.5	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/30	San Diego State vs Fresno State	+2.0	43.5	L 20 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/6	San Diego State at Hawai'i	-7.0	45.0	W 17 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/13	San Diego State vs Nevada	-2.5	45.0	W 23 - 21	U	N
Fri 11/19	San Diego State at UNLV	-11.0	41.0	W 28 - 20	O	N
Fri 11/26	San Diego State vs Boise State	+3.0	44.0	W 27 - 16	U	Y
Sat 12/4	San Diego State vs Utah State	-6.5	49.5	L 13 - 46	O	N
Tue 12/21	San Diego State vs UTSA	-3.0	48.0	W 38 - 24	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule

San José State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/28	San José State vs Southern Utah	-28.0	57.5	W 45 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/4	San José State at USC	+13.5	61.0	L 7 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sun 9/19	San José State at Hawai'i	-8.0	62.5	W 17 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/25	San José State at Western Michigan	+2.5	61.5	L 3 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/2	San José State vs New Mexico State	-25.5	51.5	W 37 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/9	San José State at Colorado State	+3.5	44.0	L 14 - 32	O	N
Fri 10/15	San José State vs San Diego State	+10.0	41.0	L 13 - 19	U	Y
Thu 10/21	San José State at UNLV	-6.0	44.0	W 27 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/30	San José State vs Wyoming	-3.0	40.0	W 27 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/6	San José State at Nevada	+11.5	55.5	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/13	San José State vs Utah State	-4.5	58.0	L 17 - 48	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/25	San José State vs Fresno State	+7.0	52.5	L 9 - 40	U	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SDSU	.07	39%	26.4	39%	2.6	199	39%	150	3.04	.01	34%	15.4	32%	36%	2.95	42.4	1.4	1.5
SJSU	.2	43%	21.4	38%	2.46	133	46%	298	3.03	.13	41%	32.5	40%	41%	2.06	56.9	1.1	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SDSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SJSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SDSU Offense	8	26.4	18.2	38.6%	3.04	1.4	19	349	199	150	4.4	60%	40%	39%	39%	19%	.07
SJSU Defense	8	32.5	29.5	40.8%	2.06	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	40%	41%	16%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SDSU Defense	8	15.4	18.3	34%	2.95	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	32%	36%	21%	.01
SJSU Offense	8	21.4	25.8	42.7%	3.03	1.1	21	431	133	298	4.5	44%	56%	38%	46%	14%	.2

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
San Diego State	8	34:38	19	36%	44%	4.8	42.4	1.4	1.5	8	2.4	4	32.2
San José State	8	29:27	20.5	38%	38%	6.8	56.9	1.1	1.4	6.6	3.1	2	40.9

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SDSU Offense	8	60%	39%	45	198.8	4.4	14	.04	2.6	70%	13%	1.07
SJSU Defense	8	49%	40%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.84	62%	11%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SDSU Defense	8	46%	32%	-	-	-	-	-.01	2.1	50%	15%	1.15
SJSU Offense	8	44%	38%	29.5	132.5	4.5	8	-	2.46	46%	8%	0.96

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SDSU Offense	8	40%	39%	14.5	25.4	150	5.9	10.3	6	5	.11	1.4	33%	27%	.13	5%	1.9
SJSU Defense	8	51%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.2	1.5	33%	33%	.2	4%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SDSU Defense	8	54%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.03	1.4	35%	26%	.2	6%	2
SJSU Offense	8	56%	46%	22.9	36	298.4	8.3	13	19	9	.35	1.7	29%	34%	.49	6%	2.3

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: NR
San Diego State's Offense Rating: NR
San Diego State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
San Diego State's 2021 Expected Record: -
San Diego State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3 #50
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #93
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.1 #12

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: San José State: 1.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: 8.3 San José State: -1.9

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: 1.55 NR
San José State's Offense Rating: NR
San José State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
San José State's 2021 Expected Record: -
San José State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9 #85
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #103
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #54

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.2
Defense: 15.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.3

San Diego State's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
San Diego State 27
San José State 20

Projected Total Points: 47

San José State Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.8
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.5

San José State's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	San Diego State	25	San José State	3	San Diego State -10	San Diego State	50.5	Under
2023	11/18	San José State	24	San Diego State	13	San José State -16.5	San Diego State	48.5	Under
2022	11/12	San Diego State	43	San José State	27	San José State -2.5	San Diego State	41.0	Over
2021	10/15	San José State	13	San Diego State	19	San Diego State -10	San José State	41.0	Under
2020	11/06	San Diego State	17	San José State	28	San Diego State -10	San José State	49.5	Under
2019	10/19	San José State	17	San Diego State	27	San Diego State -7.5	San Diego State	45.5	Under
2018	10/20	San Diego State	16	San José State	13	San Diego State -25.5	San José State	44.5	Under
2017	11/04	San José State	7	San Diego State	52	San Diego State -24	San Diego State	50.5	Over
2016	10/21	San Diego State	42	San José State	3	San Diego State -22.5	San Diego State	48.0	Under
2015	10/17	San José State	7	San Diego State	30	San José State -2	San Diego State	48.0	Under
2014	11/29	San Diego State	38	San José State	7	San Diego State -13.5	San Diego State	0
2013	11/09	San José State	30	San Diego State	34	San José State -6.5	San Diego State	0
2012	09/22	San Diego State	34	San José State	38
2008	09/13	San José State	35	San Diego State	10
2006	09/30	San José State	31	San Diego State	10
2005	09/24	San Diego State	52	San José State	21

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
San José State	5	3	2 Overs
San Diego State	11	9	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 7	5 - 7	3 - 5	2 - 2
Road Teams	7 - 9	7 - 5	2 - 2	5 - 3

(#) SDSU at (#) SJSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SDSU	SJSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#50	#85
Perf GradeGrade	#34	#103
OffenseOff	#54	#124
DefenseDef	#21	#59
Spec TeamsST	#18	#81
TalentTal	#95	#103
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

San Diego State Injury Report

San José State Injury Report

San Diego State on Offense


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	SJSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#54	#59
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#93	#54
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San Diego State Run Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	SJSU Def
Run GameRun	#100	#72
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#18	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#32

San Diego State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	SJSU Def
Pass GamePass	#91	#50
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#16	#33
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

San José State on Offense


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	SDSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#124	#21
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#103	#12
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San José State Run Game


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	SDSU Def
Run GameRun	#73	#55
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#99	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#48

San José State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	SDSU Def
Pass GamePass	#111	#13
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#114	#23
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
SJSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

SDSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
San Diego State 10.0 (41.0)
San Diego State won at San José State this year (19-13)

Previous Matchups
San Diego State beat San José State last year (25-3)
San José State beat San Diego State in 2023 (24-13)

SDSU's OC Jeff Hecklinski (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC Kurt Mattix (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

SJSU's OC Kevin McGiven (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Derrick Odum (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD