UTSA at Louisiana Tech - 2021 Matchup Preview

UTSA Roadrunners at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Saturday, October 23rd 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
UT San Antonio -5.5 (59.5)
UTSA 45 - Louisiana Tech: 16 (Conference USA)

Roadrunners (12 - 2) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (10 - 5)
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (22 - 34 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UTSA is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -6.5 (SP+ UTSA -18)
Projected Score: UTSA: 24 - LT: 32 (56)
UTSA Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
UTSA Travel: 407 miles

Bulldogs (3 - 9) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Skip Holtz (62 - 43)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (37 - 17 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UTSA Players
LT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UTSA's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	UTSA at Illinois	+4.5	52.0	W 37 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/11	UTSA vs Lamar	-38.0	65.0	W 54 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/18	UTSA vs Middle Tennessee	-11.5	60.0	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/25	UTSA at Memphis	+3.0	66.5	W 31 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/2	UTSA vs UNLV	-21.5	55.5	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/9	UTSA at Western Kentucky	+3.5	71.0	W 52 - 46	O	Y
Sat 10/16	UTSA vs Rice	-17.0	53.0	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/23	UTSA at Louisiana Tech	-5.5	59.5	W 45 - 16	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	UTSA at UTEP	-12.0	53.5	W 44 - 23	O	Y
Sat 11/13	UTSA vs Southern Miss	-32.5	54.0	W 27 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/20	UTSA vs UAB	-3.5	54.0	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/27	UTSA at North Texas	-8.5	60.0	L 23 - 45	O	N
Fri 12/3	UTSA vs Western Kentucky	+3.0	74.5	W 49 - 41	O	Y
Tue 12/21	UTSA vs San Diego State	+3.0	48.0	L 24 - 38	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule

Louisiana Tech's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Louisiana Tech at Mississippi State	+20.5	52.5	L 34 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Louisiana Tech vs SE Louisiana	-11.5	70.5	W 45 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/18	Louisiana Tech vs SMU	+11.0	65.0	L 37 - 39	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Louisiana Tech vs North Texas	-9.5	65.0	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/2	Louisiana Tech at NC State	+18.5	56.0	L 27 - 34	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Louisiana Tech at UTEP	-6.5	55.5	L 3 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/23	Louisiana Tech vs UTSA	+5.5	59.5	L 16 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/30	Louisiana Tech at Old Dominion	-4.0	52.0	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/6	Louisiana Tech at UAB	+14.0	49.5	L 38 - 52	O	Y
Sat 11/13	Louisiana Tech vs Charlotte	-7.0	58.0	W 42 - 32	O	Y
Fri 11/19	Louisiana Tech vs Southern Miss	-15.0	47.5	L 19 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/27	Louisiana Tech at Rice	-3.5	52.5	L 31 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTSA	.15	40%	35.5	39%	3.05	215	41%	200	3.7	.16	41%	28.8	44%	38%	3.57	66.9	1	1.6
LT	.07	39%	27.3	42%	2.78	99	37%	217	4.05	.2	45%	20.8	46%	43%	3.93	45.6	1.6	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTSA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
LT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTSA Offense	12	35.5	21.7	39.7%	3.7	1	22	415	215	200	5.2	54%	46%	39%	41%	14%	.15
LT Defense	10	20.8	17.3	44.8%	3.93	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	46%	43%	13%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTSA Defense	12	28.8	33.7	41.2%	3.57	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	44%	38%	18%	.16
LT Offense	10	27.3	36.5	38.8%	4.05	1.6	20	316	99	217	2.9	46%	54%	42%	37%	18%	.07

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UTSA	12	29:32	21.8	44%	53%	7	66.9	1	1.6	7.1	2.1	1	29.2
Louisiana Tech	10	30:16	19.8	39%	89%	5	45.6	1.6	1.4	5.2	1.7	1	33.4

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense	12	54%	39%	41.3	215.4	5.2	24	.15	3.05	71%	9%	1.17
LT Defense	10	54%	46%	-	-	-	-	.15	2.93	70%	8%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense	12	53%	44%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.88	81%	13%	0.96
LT Offense	10	46%	42%	34.2	99.2	2.9	10	.1	2.78	71%	12%	0.95

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense	12	46%	41%	18.5	30.8	199.9	6.5	10.8	16	8	.16	1.6	31%	31%	.25	5%	2.1
LT Defense	10	46%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.24	1.6	30%	33%	.28	4%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense	12	47%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.21	1.7	33%	34%	.29	5%	1.7
LT Offense	10	54%	37%	22.1	35.9	216.6	6	9.8	21	14	.05	1.5	31%	30%	.26	7%	1.9

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: NR
UTSA's Offense Rating: NR
UTSA's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UTSA's 2021 Expected Record: -
UTSA's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.5 #58
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #42
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #76

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA: Louisiana Tech: -3.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 6.5 Louisiana Tech: -11.6

Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -3.3 NR
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Louisiana Tech's 2021 Expected Record: -
Louisiana Tech's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.6 #109
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #94
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #113

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

UTSA Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7

UTSA's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Louisiana Tech 32
UTSA 24

Projected Total Points: 56

Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.5
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.3

Louisiana Tech's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	11/12	UTSA	51	Louisiana Tech	7	UT San Antonio -17	UTSA	68.5	Under
2021	10/23	Louisiana Tech	16	UTSA	45	UT San Antonio -5.5	UTSA	59.5	Over
2020	10/24	UTSA	27	Louisiana Tech	26	Louisiana Tech -2.5	UTSA	52.5	Over
2019	11/30	Louisiana Tech	41	UTSA	27	Louisiana Tech -20.5	UTSA	56.0	Over
2018	10/13	UTSA	3	Louisiana Tech	31	Louisiana Tech -13	Louisiana Tech	45.5	Under
2017	11/25	Louisiana Tech	20	UTSA	6	UT San Antonio -1	Louisiana Tech	52.5	Under
2016	11/12	Louisiana Tech	63	UTSA	35	Louisiana Tech -19	Louisiana Tech	63.0	Over
2015	10/10	UTSA	31	Louisiana Tech	34	Louisiana Tech -11.5	UTSA	54.0	Over
2014	10/18	Louisiana Tech	27	UTSA	20	Louisiana Tech -6.5	Louisiana Tech	0
2013	11/30	UTSA	30	Louisiana Tech	10	UT San Antonio -14	UTSA	0
2012	11/03	Louisiana Tech	51	UTSA	27

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisiana Tech	7	4	5 Overs
UTSA	4	6	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 3	7 - 3	4 - 1	3 - 2
Road Teams	3 - 8	3 - 7	2 - 3	1 - 4

(#) UTSA at (#) LT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UTSA	LT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#58	#109
Perf GradeGrade	#42	#102
OffenseOff	#34	#102
DefenseDef	#79	#89
Spec TeamsST	#55	#74
TalentTal	#77	#75
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

UTSA Injury Report

Louisiana Tech Injury Report

UTSA on Offense


CategoryCat	UTSA Off	LT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#34	#89
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#42	#113
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UTSA Run Game


CategoryCat	UTSA Off	LT Def
Run GameRun	#49	#82
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#56	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#115

UTSA Pass Game


CategoryCat	UTSA Off	LT Def
Pass GamePass	#33	#79
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#94	#87
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Louisiana Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	LT Off	UTSA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#102	#79
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#94	#76
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisiana Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	LT Off	UTSA Def
Run GameRun	#91	#39
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#108	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#103

Louisiana Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	LT Off	UTSA Def
Pass GamePass	#77	#113
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#128	#50
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
LT 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

UTSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joe Aillet Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
UTSA 5.5 (59.5)
UTSA won at Louisiana Tech this year (45-16)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

UTSA's OC Barry Lunney Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC Jess Loepp / Rod Wright (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

LT's OC Joe Sloan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

LT's DC David Blackwell (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD