UTSA at North Texas - 2021 Matchup Preview

UTSA Roadrunners at North Texas Mean Green

Saturday, November 27th 2021 (2:00 PM EST)
UT San Antonio -8.5 (60.0)
North Texas 45 - UTSA: 23 (Conference USA)

Roadrunners (12 - 2) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (10 - 5)
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (22 - 34 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNT is playing their 8th straight game
UTSA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -4 (SP+ UTSA -13)
Projected Score: UTSA: 26 - UNT: 38 (64)
UTSA Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
UTSA Travel: 273 miles

Mean Green (6 - 7) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Seth Littrell (32 - 33)
Avg Score : 45 - 27 (46 - 22 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UTSA Players
UNT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UTSA's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	UTSA at Illinois	+4.5	52.0	W 37 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/11	UTSA vs Lamar	-38.0	65.0	W 54 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/18	UTSA vs Middle Tennessee	-11.5	60.0	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/25	UTSA at Memphis	+3.0	66.5	W 31 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/2	UTSA vs UNLV	-21.5	55.5	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/9	UTSA at Western Kentucky	+3.5	71.0	W 52 - 46	O	Y
Sat 10/16	UTSA vs Rice	-17.0	53.0	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/23	UTSA at Louisiana Tech	-5.5	59.5	W 45 - 16	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	UTSA at UTEP	-12.0	53.5	W 44 - 23	O	Y
Sat 11/13	UTSA vs Southern Miss	-32.5	54.0	W 27 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/20	UTSA vs UAB	-3.5	54.0	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/27	UTSA at North Texas	-8.5	60.0	L 23 - 45	O	N
Fri 12/3	UTSA vs Western Kentucky	+3.0	74.5	W 49 - 41	O	Y
Tue 12/21	UTSA vs San Diego State	+3.0	48.0	L 24 - 38	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule

North Texas's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	North Texas vs Northwestern State	-20.0	66.0	W 44 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/11	North Texas at SMU	+22.5	75.5	L 12 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/18	North Texas vs UAB	+12.5	58.5	L 6 - 40	U	N
Sat 9/25	North Texas at Louisiana Tech	+9.5	65.0	L 17 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9	North Texas at Missouri	+18.5	69.0	L 35 - 48	O	Y
Fri 10/15	North Texas vs Marshall	+11.0	66.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/23	North Texas vs Liberty	+21.0	61.0	L 26 - 35	U	Y
Sat 10/30	North Texas at Rice	+1.5	55.0	W 30 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/6	North Texas at Southern Miss	-5.5	49.0	W 38 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/13	North Texas vs UTEP	-1.0	55.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/20	North Texas at Florida International	-10.0	57.0	W 49 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/27	North Texas vs UTSA	+8.5	60.0	W 45 - 23	O	Y
Thu 12/23	North Texas vs Miami (OH)	+2.0	56.5	L 14 - 27	U	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTSA	.15	40%	35.5	39%	3.05	215	41%	200	3.7	.16	41%	28.8	44%	38%	3.57	66.9	1	1.6
UNT	.29	46%	45.1	49%	3.27	230	42%	283	4.03	.33	47%	26.5	48%	44%	4.67	53.6	1.5	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTSA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTSA Offense	12	35.5	21.7	39.7%	3.7	1	22	415	215	200	5.2	54%	46%	39%	41%	14%	.15
UNT Defense	10	26.5	22	46.6%	4.67	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	48%	44%	13%	.33

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTSA Defense	12	28.8	33.7	41.2%	3.57	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	44%	38%	18%	.16
UNT Offense	10	45.1	45.7	46.1%	4.03	1.5	25	513	230	283	5.2	54%	46%	49%	42%	12%	.29

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UTSA	12	29:32	21.8	44%	53%	7	66.9	1	1.6	7.1	2.1	1	29.2
North Texas	10	25:00	24.8	47%	46%	6.8	53.6	1.5	0.9	5.1	2.2	0	28.3

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense	12	54%	39%	41.3	215.4	5.2	24	.15	3.05	71%	9%	1.17
UNT Defense	10	55%	48%	-	-	-	-	.31	3.42	80%	8%	1.19

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense	12	53%	44%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.88	81%	13%	0.96
UNT Offense	10	54%	49%	44.3	230.2	5.2	18	.21	3.27	70%	6%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense	12	46%	41%	18.5	30.8	199.9	6.5	10.8	16	8	.16	1.6	31%	31%	.25	5%	2.1
UNT Defense	10	45%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.34	1.6	29%	32%	.43	4%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense	12	47%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.21	1.7	33%	34%	.29	5%	1.7
UNT Offense	10	46%	42%	18.5	33.6	283	8.4	15.3	28	9	.38	1.9	31%	37%	.49	6%	2.2

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: NR
UTSA's Offense Rating: NR
UTSA's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UTSA's 2021 Expected Record: -
UTSA's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.5 #58
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #42
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #76

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA: North Texas: -0.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 6.5 North Texas: -6.5

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -0.75 NR
North Texas's Offense Rating: NR
North Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Texas's 2021 Expected Record: -
North Texas's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.5 #95
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #100
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #87

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

UTSA Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7

UTSA's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
North Texas 38
UTSA 26

Projected Total Points: 64

North Texas Scoring
Offense: 45.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

North Texas's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	North Texas	55	UTSA	17	North Texas -4	North Texas	64.5	Over
2024	11/15	UTSA	48	North Texas	27	UTSA -1	UTSA	73.0	Over
2023	11/04	North Texas	29	UTSA	37	UT San Antonio -7.5	UTSA	71.0	Under
2022	12/02	UTSA	48	North Texas	27	UT San Antonio -8.5	UTSA	70.0	Over
2022	10/22	UTSA	31	North Texas	27	UT San Antonio -10	North Texas	73.0	Under
2021	11/27	North Texas	45	UTSA	23	UT San Antonio -8.5	North Texas	60.0	Over
2020	11/28	UTSA	49	North Texas	17	UT San Antonio -1.5	UTSA	67.0	Under
2019	09/21	North Texas	45	UTSA	3	North Texas -17.5	North Texas	57.0	Under
2018	11/24	UTSA	21	North Texas	24	North Texas -25	UTSA	51.5	Under
2017	10/14	North Texas	29	UTSA	26	UT San Antonio -2.5	North Texas	58.5	Under
2016	10/29	UTSA	31	North Texas	17	UT San Antonio -4	UTSA	51.0	Under
2015	10/31	North Texas	30	UTSA	23	UT San Antonio -12	North Texas	54.5	Under
2014	11/29	UTSA	34	North Texas	27	UT San Antonio -6	UTSA	0
2013	11/23	North Texas	13	UTSA	21	North Texas -7	UTSA	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
North Texas	6	6	4 Overs
UTSA	8	8	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 3	11 - 3	7 - 2	4 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 11	3 - 11	1 - 4	2 - 7

(#) UTSA at (#) UNT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UTSA	UNT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#58	#95
Perf GradeGrade	#42	#83
OffenseOff	#34	#104
DefenseDef	#79	#36
Spec TeamsST	#55	#25
TalentTal	#77	#79
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

UTSA Injury Report

North Texas Injury Report

UTSA on Offense


CategoryCat	UTSA Off	UNT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#34	#36
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#42	#87
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UTSA Run Game


CategoryCat	UTSA Off	UNT Def
Run GameRun	#49	#31
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#56	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#89

UTSA Pass Game


CategoryCat	UTSA Off	UNT Def
Pass GamePass	#33	#102
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#94	#1
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

North Texas on Offense


CategoryCat	UNT Off	UTSA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#104	#79
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#100	#76
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

North Texas Run Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	UTSA Def
Run GameRun	#32	#39
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#116	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#103

North Texas Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	UTSA Def
Pass GamePass	#94	#113
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#117	#50
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UNT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

UTSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
UTSA 8.5 (60.0)
North Texas won vs UTSA this year (45-23)

Previous Matchups
North Texas beat UTSA last year (55-17)
UTSA beat North Texas in 2024 (48-27)
UTSA beat North Texas in 2023 (37-29)

UTSA's OC Barry Lunney Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC Jess Loepp / Rod Wright (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UNT's OC Mike Bloesch (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View North Texas's Full Roster

UNT's DC Phil Bennett (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD