Southern Miss at UTSA - 2021 Matchup Preview
Southern Miss logo   Southern Miss Golden Eagles at UTSA Roadrunners  UTSA logo
Saturday, November 13th 2021 (3:30 PM EST)
UT San Antonio -32.5 (54.0)
UTSA 27 - Southern Miss: 17  (Conference USA)

 
Golden Eagles (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Will Hall (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (28 - 28 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -13  (SP+ UTSA -21)
Projected Score: USM: 28 - UTSA: 34 (62)
UTSA Win prob: 97% | Cover: 46%
USM Travel: 561 miles
Roadrunners (12 - 2) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (10 - 5)
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (46 - 26 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Southern Miss's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Southern Miss at South Alabama+2.056.5L 7 - 31UN
Sat 9/11 Southern Miss vs Grambling-23.047.5W 37 - 0UY
Sat 9/18 Southern Miss vs Troy+11.049.0L 9 - 21UN
Sat 9/25 Southern Miss at Alabama+45.057.5L 14 - 63ON
Sat 10/2 Southern Miss at Rice+1.545.0L 19 - 24UN
Sat 10/9 Southern Miss vs UTEP+1.046.5L 13 - 26UN
Sat 10/16 Southern Miss vs UAB+17.043.0L 0 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Southern Miss at Middle Tennessee+12.547.0L 10 - 35UN
Sat 11/6 Southern Miss vs North Texas+5.549.0L 14 - 38ON
Sat 11/13 Southern Miss at UTSA+32.554.0L 17 - 27UY
Fri 11/19 Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech+15.047.5W 35 - 19OY
Sat 11/27 Southern Miss vs Florida International-14.545.5W 37 - 17OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
UTSA's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 UTSA at Illinois+4.552.0W 37 - 30OY
Sat 9/11 UTSA vs Lamar-38.065.0W 54 - 0UY
Sat 9/18 UTSA vs Middle Tennessee-11.560.0W 27 - 13UY
Sat 9/25 UTSA at Memphis+3.066.5W 31 - 28UY
Sat 10/2 UTSA vs UNLV-21.555.5W 24 - 17UN
Sat 10/9 UTSA at Western Kentucky+3.571.0W 52 - 46OY
Sat 10/16 UTSA vs Rice-17.053.0W 45 - 0UY
Sat 10/23 UTSA at Louisiana Tech-5.559.5W 45 - 16OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 UTSA at UTEP-12.053.5W 44 - 23OY
Sat 11/13 UTSA vs Southern Miss-32.554.0W 27 - 17UN
Sat 11/20 UTSA vs UAB-3.554.0W 34 - 31ON
Sat 11/27 UTSA at North Texas-8.560.0L 23 - 45ON
Fri 12/3 UTSA vs Western Kentucky+3.074.5W 49 - 41OY
Tue 12/21 UTSA vs San Diego State+3.048.0L 24 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM.1741%28.843%2.9516040%2113.46.2345%27.446%44%3.6836.71.61.2
UTSA.1540%35.539%3.0521541%2003.7.1641%28.844%38%3.5766.911.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UTSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Offense1028.828.441.2%3.461.6193711602114.454%46%43%40%17%.17
UTSA Defense1228.825.541.2%3.571.6 - - - - - 53%47%44%38%18%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Defense1027.427.644.9%3.681.2 - - - - - 54%46%46%44%14%.23
UTSA Offense1235.545.839.7%3.71224152152005.254%46%39%41%14%.15

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Southern Miss1028:3618.742%35%4.436.71.61.24.91.5128.7
UTSA1229:3221.844%53%766.911.67.12.1129.2
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Offense1054%43%36.7159.54.418.152.9565%13%1.1
UTSA Defense1253%44% - - - - .112.8881%13%0.96
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Defense1054%46% - - - - .163.0673%9%0.96
UTSA Offense1254%39%41.3215.45.224.153.0571%9%1.17

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Offense1046%40%16.927.2211.37.812.5129.211.734%34%.264%1.8
UTSA Defense1247%38% - - - - - - 11.211.733%34%.295%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Defense1046%44% - - - - - - 6.321.731%36%.435%2.1
UTSA Offense1246%41%18.530.8199.96.510.8168.161.631%31%.255%2.1

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Southern Miss's 2021 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.2  #117
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.0  #129
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #89

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss:    UTSA: 5.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -14.2   UTSA: 6.5




UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: 5.75 NR
UTSA's Offense Rating: NR
UTSA's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UTSA's 2021 Expected Record: -
UTSA's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.5  #58
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0  #42
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8  #76

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.6

Southern Miss's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
UTSA 34
Southern Miss 28

Projected Total Points: 62
UTSA Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.5

UTSA's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202111/13UTSA27Southern Miss17UT San Antonio -32.5Southern Miss54.0Under
202011/21Southern Miss20UTSA23UT San Antonio -9.5Southern Miss52.5Under
201911/16UTSA17Southern Miss36Southern Mississippi -17Southern Miss55.5Under
201810/20Southern Miss27UTSA17Southern Mississippi -16UTSA44.0Push
201710/07UTSA29Southern Miss31UT San Antonio -10.5Southern Miss50.0Over
201610/08UTSA55Southern Miss32Southern Mississippi -14.5UTSA53.0Over
201510/17Southern Miss32UTSA10Southern Mississippi -7.5Southern Miss56.5Under
201411/13UTSA12Southern Miss10UT San Antonio -11.5Southern Miss0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UTSA422 Overs
Southern Miss464 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 33 - 51 - 42 - 1
Road Teams3 - 55 - 31 - 24 - 1

(#) USM at (#) UTSA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSMUTSA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #117 #58
Perf GradeGrade #124 #42
OffenseOff #135 #34
DefenseDef #46 #79
Spec TeamsST #133 #55
TalentTal #85 #77
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Southern Miss on Offense
CategoryCat
USM OffUTSA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #135 #79
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #129 #76
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Southern Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
USM OffUTSA Def
Run GameRun #106 #39
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #133 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #103
Southern Miss Pass Game
CategoryCat
USM OffUTSA Def
Pass GamePass #134 #113
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #130 #50
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UTSA on Offense
CategoryCatUTSA OffUSM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #34 #46
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #42 #89
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UTSA Run Game
CategoryCat
UTSA OffUSM Def
Run GameRun #49 #30
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #56 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #38
UTSA Pass Game
CategoryCatUTSA OffUSM Def
Pass GamePass #33 #82
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #94 #72
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UTSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

USM 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alamodome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
UTSA -32.5 (54.0)
UTSA won vs Southern Miss this year (27-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
USM's OC Cayden Cochran (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC Austin Armstrong (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UTSA's OC Barry Lunney Jr. (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC Jess Loepp / Rod Wright (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD