New Mexico at San Diego State - 2021 Matchup Preview

New Mexico Lobos at San Diego State Aztecs

Saturday, October 9th 2021 (9:00 PM EDT)
San Diego State -19.5 (42.5)
San Diego State 31 - New Mexico: 7 (Mountain West)

Lobos (3 - 9) (1 - 11 - 0)
Coach Danny Gonzales (4 - 6)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (28 - 26 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SDSU coming off BYE
UNM is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -16 (SP+ SDSU -27)
Projected Score: UNM: 19 - SDSU: 26 (45)
SDSU Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
UNM Travel: 622 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Aztecs (12 - 2) (7 - 6 - 1)
Coach Brady Hoke (7 - 4)
Avg Score : 26 - 15 (31 - 7 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNM Players
SDSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

New Mexico's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	New Mexico vs Houston Christian	-25.5	66.0	W 27 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/11	New Mexico vs New Mexico State	-19.5	55.5	W 34 - 25	O	N
Sat 9/18	New Mexico at Texas A&M	+30.5	49.5	L 0 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/25	New Mexico at UTEP	-2.5	53.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/2	New Mexico vs Air Force	+11.5	46.0	L 10 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/9	New Mexico at San Diego State	+19.5	42.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/16	New Mexico vs Colorado State	+13.0	44.5	L 7 - 36	U	N
Sat 10/23	New Mexico at Wyoming	+20.0	41.0	W 14 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	New Mexico vs UNLV	-1.5	45.0	L 17 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/13	New Mexico at Fresno State	+24.0	51.0	L 7 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/20	New Mexico at Boise State	+27.5	48.0	L 0 - 37	U	N
Fri 11/26	New Mexico vs Utah State	+17.0	48.0	L 10 - 35	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule

San Diego State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	San Diego State vs New Mexico State	-31.0	51.0	W 28 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/11	San Diego State at Arizona	+1.5	46.0	W 38 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/18	San Diego State vs Utah	+8.0	42.5	W 33 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/25	San Diego State vs Towson	-23.0	41.0	W 48 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9	San Diego State vs New Mexico	-19.5	42.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Fri 10/15	San Diego State at San José State	-10.0	41.0	W 19 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/23	San Diego State at Air Force	+3.0	38.5	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/30	San Diego State vs Fresno State	+2.0	43.5	L 20 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/6	San Diego State at Hawai'i	-7.0	45.0	W 17 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/13	San Diego State vs Nevada	-2.5	45.0	W 23 - 21	U	N
Fri 11/19	San Diego State at UNLV	-11.0	41.0	W 28 - 20	O	N
Fri 11/26	San Diego State vs Boise State	+3.0	44.0	W 27 - 16	U	Y
Sat 12/4	San Diego State vs Utah State	-6.5	49.5	L 13 - 46	O	N
Tue 12/21	San Diego State vs UTSA	-3.0	48.0	W 38 - 24	O	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNM	.11	40%	27.1	46%	3.14	196	33%	198	2.75	.25	45%	22.3	46%	43%	3.39	57.7	1.3	1.9
SDSU	.07	39%	26.4	39%	2.6	199	39%	150	3.04	.01	34%	15.4	32%	36%	2.95	42.4	1.4	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SDSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNM Offense	7	27.1	27.5	40%	2.75	1.3	22	394	196	198	4.7	55%	45%	46%	33%	16%	.11
SDSU Defense	8	15.4	6.8	34%	2.95	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	32%	36%	21%	.01

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNM Defense	7	22.3	26.3	44.6%	3.39	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	46%	43%	15%	.25
SDSU Offense	8	26.4	31.2	38.6%	3.04	1.4	19	349	199	150	4.4	60%	40%	39%	39%	19%	.07

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
New Mexico	7	30:23	21.7	43%	25%	6	57.7	1.3	1.9	4.7	2	0	35.3
San Diego State	8	34:38	19	36%	44%	4.8	42.4	1.4	1.5	8	2.4	4	32.2

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNM Offense	7	55%	46%	41.3	195.7	4.7	12	.16	3.14	59%	10%	1.04
SDSU Defense	8	46%	32%	-	-	-	-	-.01	2.1	50%	15%	1.15

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNM Defense	7	50%	46%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.19	62%	10%	1.01
SDSU Offense	8	60%	39%	45	198.8	4.4	14	.04	2.6	70%	13%	1.07

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNM Offense	7	45%	33%	17.4	30.7	198	6.5	11.4	8	6	.04	1.5	30%	30%	.22	5%	1.8
SDSU Defense	8	54%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.03	1.4	35%	26%	.2	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNM Defense	7	50%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.38	1.7	28%	30%	.55	5%	2.5
SDSU Offense	8	40%	39%	14.5	25.4	150	5.9	10.3	6	5	.11	1.4	33%	27%	.13	5%	1.9

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico's 2021 Expected Record: -
New Mexico's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.6 #121
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 11.6 #131
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #95

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: San Diego State: 6.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -18.6 San Diego State: 8.3

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: 6.65 NR
San Diego State's Offense Rating: NR
San Diego State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
San Diego State's 2021 Expected Record: -
San Diego State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3 #50
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #93
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.1 #12

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.3

New Mexico's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 1 - 11 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
San Diego State 26
New Mexico 19

Projected Total Points: 45

San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 15.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 6.8

San Diego State's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/28	New Mexico	23	San Diego State	17	San Diego State -1.5	New Mexico	41.5	Under
2024	11/08	San Diego State	16	New Mexico	21	San Diego State -1.5	New Mexico	65.5	Under
2022	11/18	New Mexico	10	San Diego State	34	San Diego State -15	San Diego State	36.0	Over
2021	10/09	San Diego State	31	New Mexico	7	San Diego State -19.5	San Diego State	42.5	Under
2018	11/03	New Mexico	23	San Diego State	31	San Diego State -12	New Mexico	45.5	Over
2017	11/24	San Diego State	35	New Mexico	10	San Diego State -20.5	San Diego State	48.5	Under
2014	10/10	New Mexico	14	San Diego State	24	San Diego State -6	San Diego State	0
2013	11/02	San Diego State	35	New Mexico	30	San Diego State -17	New Mexico	0
2011	11/05	San Diego State	35	New Mexico	7
2010	10/23	New Mexico	20	San Diego State	30
2009	10/31	San Diego State	23	New Mexico	20
2008	10/18	New Mexico	70	San Diego State	7
2007	10/20	San Diego State	17	New Mexico	20
2006	11/25	New Mexico	41	San Diego State	14
2005	10/22	San Diego State	24	New Mexico	47
2004	10/23	New Mexico	19	San Diego State	9
2003	10/18	San Diego State	7	New Mexico	30
2002	11/09	New Mexico	15	San Diego State	8
2001	11/03	San Diego State	15	New Mexico	20
2000	11/03	New Mexico	16	San Diego State	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
San Diego State	10	4	2 Overs
New Mexico	10	4	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 10	4 - 4	2 - 2	2 - 2
Road Teams	10 - 10	4 - 4	2 - 2	2 - 2

(#) UNM at (#) SDSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNM	SDSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#121	#50
Perf GradeGrade	#127	#34
OffenseOff	#132	#54
DefenseDef	#111	#21
Spec TeamsST	#110	#18
TalentTal	#112	#95
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

New Mexico Injury Report

San Diego State Injury Report

New Mexico on Offense


CategoryCat	UNM Off	SDSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#132	#21
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#131	#12
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico Run Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	SDSU Def
Run GameRun	#136	#55
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#102	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#48

New Mexico Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	SDSU Def
Pass GamePass	#126	#13
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#86	#23
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

San Diego State on Offense


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	UNM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#54	#111
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#93	#95
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San Diego State Run Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	UNM Def
Run GameRun	#100	#119
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#18	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#63

San Diego State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	UNM Def
Pass GamePass	#91	#66
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#16	#82
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
SDSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

UNM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Qualcomm Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 6
San Diego State -19.5 (42.5)
San Diego State won vs New Mexico this year (31-7)

Previous Matchups
New Mexico beat San Diego State last year (23-17)
New Mexico beat San Diego State in 2024 (21-16)

UNM's OC Drew Mehringer (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC Rocky Long (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

SDSU's OC Jeff Hecklinski (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC Kurt Mattix (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD