San Diego State at Arizona - 2021 Matchup Preview
San Diego State logo San Diego State Aztecs at Arizona WildcatsArizona logo
Saturday, September 11th 2021 (10:00 PM EDT)
Arizona -1.5 (46.0)
San Diego State 38 - Arizona: 14

 
Aztecs (12 - 2) (7 - 6 - 1)
Coach Brady Hoke (7 - 4)
Avg Score : 27 - 20 (24 - 14 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 92.1° (27% Hum)
ARIZ 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -8  (SP+ SDSU -21)
Projected Score: SDSU: 29 - ARIZ: 17 (46)
ARIZ Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
SDSU Travel: 362 miles, 1 hrs behind
Wildcats (1 - 11) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (0 - 3)
Avg Score : 17 - 31 (17 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
San Diego State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 San Diego State vs New Mexico State-31.051.0W 28 - 10UN
Sat 9/11 San Diego State at Arizona+1.546.0W 38 - 14OY
Sat 9/18 San Diego State vs Utah+8.042.5W 33 - 31OY
Sat 9/25 San Diego State vs Towson-23.041.0W 48 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9 San Diego State vs New Mexico-19.542.5W 31 - 7UY
Fri 10/15 San Diego State at San José State-10.041.0W 19 - 13UN
Sat 10/23 San Diego State at Air Force+3.038.5W 20 - 14UY
Sat 10/30 San Diego State vs Fresno State+2.043.5L 20 - 30ON
Sat 11/6 San Diego State at Hawai'i-7.045.0W 17 - 10UN
Sat 11/13 San Diego State vs Nevada-2.545.0W 23 - 21UN
Fri 11/19 San Diego State at UNLV-11.041.0W 28 - 20ON
Fri 11/26 San Diego State vs Boise State+3.044.0W 27 - 16UY
Sat 12/4 San Diego State vs Utah State-6.549.5L 13 - 46ON
Tue 12/21 San Diego State vs UTSA-3.048.0W 38 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule
Arizona's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Arizona vs BYU+13.554.0L 16 - 24UY
Sat 9/11 Arizona vs San Diego State-1.546.0L 14 - 38ON
Sat 9/18 Arizona vs Northern Arizona-26.553.5L 19 - 21UN
Sat 9/25 Arizona at Oregon+29.558.5L 19 - 41OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9 Arizona vs UCLA+16.060.0L 16 - 34UN
Sat 10/16 Arizona at Colorado+6.046.5L 0 - 34UN
Fri 10/22 Arizona vs Washington+17.545.5L 16 - 21UY
Sat 10/30 Arizona at USC+22.055.5L 34 - 41OY
Sat 11/6 Arizona vs California+7.047.0W 10 - 3UY
Sat 11/13 Arizona vs Utah+24.054.5L 29 - 38OY
Fri 11/19 Arizona at Washington State+15.052.5L 18 - 44ON
Sat 11/27 Arizona at Arizona State+20.052.5L 15 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SDSU.1540%27.440%317539%1683.57.0736%19.833%38%3.4667.911.9
ARIZ.0439%17.242%2.8413037%2262.56.2442%31.444%39%4.670.41.90.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SDSU#108 (.12)37% (120)37% (124)3 (78)12938% (109)2063.44 (107)#103 (.23)46% (113)49% (117)43% (98)4.28 (111)81.80.81
ARIZ#93 (.15)39% (117)37% (126)2.64 (123)10740% (91)2483.53 (101)#109 (.24)45% (100)45% (90)44% (109)4.55 (125)57.61.71.2



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SDSU Offense1427.424.439.7%3.571193431751684.356%43%40%39%15%.15
ARIZ Defense1231.425.842.1%4.60.6 - - - - - 57%43%44%39%17%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SDSU Defense1419.814.235.8%3.461.9 - - - - - 39%61%33%38%20%.07
ARIZ Offense1217.217.338.9%2.561.9213561302263.746%53%42%37%17%.04

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
San Diego State1432:0418.632%63%7.467.911.96.82.9530.5
Arizona1230:1320.732%64%8.870.41.90.65.81.8225.3
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SDSU Offense1456%40%40.8174.94.326.17376%10%1.14
ARIZ Defense1257%44% - - - - .173.1176%11%1.01
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SDSU Defense1439%33% - - - - -.062.6165%12%0.84
ARIZ Offense1246%42%35.5129.73.76.082.8472%12%0.89

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SDSU Offense1443%39%14.925.8167.96.511.3165.171.433%28%.245%1.9
ARIZ Defense1243%39% - - - - - - 4.361.932%32%.396%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SDSU Defense1461%38% - - - - - - 17.181.536%26%.198%1.9
ARIZ Offense1253%37%22.337226.36.110.11218.051.434%26%.225%2.1

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: NR
San Diego State's Offense Rating: NR
San Diego State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
San Diego State's 2021 Expected Record: -
San Diego State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3  #50
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7  #93
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.1  #12

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
San Diego State:    Arizona: -3.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: 8.3   Arizona: -12.6




Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: -3.8 NR
Arizona's Offense Rating: NR
Arizona's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arizona's 2021 Expected Record: -
Arizona's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.6  #113
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2  #120
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.3  #102

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 27.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.4
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 14.2

San Diego State's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
San Diego State 29
Arizona 17

Total Points: 46

Based on Last 4 Games
San Diego State 31
Arizona 17

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
San Diego State 27
Arizona 17

Total Points: 44
Arizona Scoring
Offense: 17.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.3
Defense: 31.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.8

Arizona's 2021 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/03San Diego State20Arizona38San Diego State -6Arizona46.5Over
202109/11Arizona14San Diego State38Arizona -1.5San Diego State46.0Over
200108/30San Diego State10Arizona23
200009/15Arizona17San Diego State3
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona312 Overs
San Diego State110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 30 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams3 - 12 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#) SDSU at (#) ARIZ
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSDSUARIZ
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #50 #113
Perf GradeGrade #34 #133
OffenseOff #54 #128
DefenseDef #21 #130
Spec TeamsST #18 #128
TalentTal #95 #68
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
San Diego State on Offense
CategoryCat
SDSU OffARIZ Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #54 #130
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #93 #102
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
San Diego State Run Game
CategoryCat
SDSU OffARIZ Def
Run GameRun #100 #112
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #18 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #100
San Diego State Pass Game
CategoryCat
SDSU OffARIZ Def
Pass GamePass #91 #134
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #16 #95
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arizona on Offense
CategoryCatARIZ OffSDSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #128 #21
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #120 #12
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arizona Run Game
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffSDSU Def
Run GameRun #102 #55
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #132 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #48
Arizona Pass Game
CategoryCatARIZ OffSDSU Def
Pass GamePass #123 #13
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #66 #23
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

SDSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arizona Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 92°
Rematch from Week 2
Arizona -1.5 (46.0)
San Diego State won at Arizona this year (38-14)

Previous Matchups
Arizona beat San Diego State in 2022 (38-20)

  
SDSU's OC Jeff Hecklinski (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
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View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC Kurt Mattix (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ARIZ's OC Brennan Carroll (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arizona's Full Roster

ARIZ's DC Don Brown (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD