San Diego State at UNLV - 2021 Matchup Preview
San Diego State logo San Diego State Aztecs at UNLV RebelsUNLV logo
Friday, November 19th 2021 (11:30 PM EST)
San Diego State -11 (41.0)
San Diego State 28 - UNLV: 20  (Mountain West)

 
Aztecs (12 - 2) (7 - 6 - 1)
Coach Brady Hoke (7 - 4)
Avg Score : 27 - 20 (24 - 14 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNLV 2nd straight Home Game
UNLV is playing their 6th straight game
SDSU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -8.5  (SP+ SDSU -22)
Projected Score: SDSU: 25 - UNLV: 19 (44)
SDSU Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
SDSU Travel: 2694 miles
Rebels (2 - 10) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Marcus Arroyo (0 - 9)
Avg Score : 21 - 33 (21 - 30 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
San Diego State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 San Diego State vs New Mexico State-31.051.0W 28 - 10UN
Sat 9/11 San Diego State at Arizona+1.546.0W 38 - 14OY
Sat 9/18 San Diego State vs Utah+8.042.5W 33 - 31OY
Sat 9/25 San Diego State vs Towson-23.041.0W 48 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9 San Diego State vs New Mexico-19.542.5W 31 - 7UY
Fri 10/15 San Diego State at San José State-10.041.0W 19 - 13UN
Sat 10/23 San Diego State at Air Force+3.038.5W 20 - 14UY
Sat 10/30 San Diego State vs Fresno State+2.043.5L 20 - 30ON
Sat 11/6 San Diego State at Hawai'i-7.045.0W 17 - 10UN
Sat 11/13 San Diego State vs Nevada-2.545.0W 23 - 21UN
Fri 11/19 San Diego State at UNLV-11.041.0W 28 - 20ON
Fri 11/26 San Diego State vs Boise State+3.044.0W 27 - 16UY
Sat 12/4 San Diego State vs Utah State-6.549.5L 13 - 46ON
Tue 12/21 San Diego State vs UTSA-3.048.0W 38 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule
UNLV's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 UNLV vs Eastern Washington+2.066.0L 33 - 35OY
Sat 9/11 UNLV at Arizona State+34.555.5L 10 - 37UY
Sat 9/18 UNLV vs Iowa State+32.053.0L 3 - 48UN
Fri 9/24 UNLV at Fresno State+30.059.0L 30 - 38OY
Sat 10/2 UNLV at UTSA+21.555.5L 17 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 UNLV vs Utah State+7.564.0L 24 - 28UY
Thu 10/21 UNLV vs San José State+6.044.0L 20 - 27ON
Fri 10/29 UNLV at Nevada+19.058.0L 20 - 51ON
Sat 11/6 UNLV at New Mexico+1.545.0W 31 - 17OY
Sat 11/13 UNLV vs Hawai'i+3.555.5W 27 - 13UY
Fri 11/19 UNLV vs San Diego State+11.041.0L 20 - 28OY
Fri 11/26 UNLV at Air Force+18.549.5L 14 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SDSU.1540%27.440%317539%1683.57.0736%19.833%38%3.4667.911.9
UNLV.1436%20.836%2.6311036%2034.14.2544%32.840%49%4.2637.91.81.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SDSU#108 (.12)37% (120)37% (124)3 (78)12938% (109)2063.44 (107)#103 (.23)46% (113)49% (117)43% (98)4.28 (111)81.80.81
UNLV#56 (.21)42% (84)43% (83)3.36 (16)24840% (90)1734.26 (33)#34 (.11)37% (14)40% (39)36% (14)4.05 (97)49.20.61.6



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SDSU Offense1427.424.439.7%3.571193431751684.356%43%40%39%15%.15
UNLV Defense1232.829.844%4.261.4 - - - - - 53%46%40%49%18%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SDSU Defense1419.814.235.8%3.461.9 - - - - - 39%61%33%38%20%.07
UNLV Offense1220.821.236.1%4.141.8163121102033.346%54%36%36%31%.14

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
San Diego State1432:0418.632%63%7.467.911.96.82.9530.5
UNLV1229:3915.535%25%4.537.91.81.451.8027.5
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SDSU Offense1456%40%40.8174.94.326.17376%10%1.14
UNLV Defense1253%40% - - - - .143.0862%13%1.12
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SDSU Defense1439%33% - - - - -.062.6165%12%0.84
UNLV Offense1246%36%32.9109.83.318.072.6386%20%0.99

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SDSU Offense1443%39%14.925.8167.96.511.3165.171.433%28%.245%1.9
UNLV Defense1246%49% - - - - - - 9.411.531%35%.525%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SDSU Defense1461%38% - - - - - - 17.181.536%26%.198%1.9
UNLV Offense1254%36%16.127.6202.57.312.61114.221.837%27%.2411%2

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: NR
San Diego State's Offense Rating: NR
San Diego State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
San Diego State's 2021 Expected Record: -
San Diego State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3  #50
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7  #93
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.1  #12

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
San Diego State:    UNLV: -4.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: 8.3   UNLV: -13.8




UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -4.4 NR
UNLV's Offense Rating: NR
UNLV's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UNLV's 2021 Expected Record: -
UNLV's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.8  #116
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9  #117
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.0  #104

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 27.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.4
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 14.2

San Diego State's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
San Diego State 25
UNLV 19

Total Points: 44

Based on Last 4 Games
San Diego State 21
UNLV 20

Total Points: 41

Based on Entire Season
San Diego State 29
UNLV 19

Total Points: 48
UNLV Scoring
Offense: 20.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.2
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.8

UNLV's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16UNLV41San Diego State20UNLV -22San Diego State55.5Over
202211/05San Diego State14UNLV10San Diego State -5UNLV47.0Under
202111/19UNLV20San Diego State28San Diego State -11UNLV41.0Over
202010/24San Diego State34UNLV6San Diego State -14San Diego State51.0Under
201910/26UNLV17San Diego State20San Diego State -12UNLV45.0Under
201811/10San Diego State24UNLV27San Diego State -24UNLV51.5Under
201710/07UNLV10San Diego State41San Diego State -9.5San Diego State56.5Under
201610/08San Diego State26UNLV7San Diego State -17.5San Diego State53.5Under
201511/21UNLV14San Diego State52San Diego State -11San Diego State50.5Over
201409/27San Diego State34UNLV17San Diego State -17Push0
201311/30UNLV45San Diego State19San Diego State -3UNLV0
201210/27San Diego State24UNLV13
201111/26UNLV14San Diego State31
201011/27San Diego State48UNLV14
200911/28UNLV28San Diego State24
200811/22San Diego State42UNLV21
200711/10UNLV30San Diego State38
200611/11San Diego State21UNLV7
200510/08UNLV13San Diego State10
200411/20San Diego State21UNLV3
200311/08UNLV0San Diego State7
200210/26San Diego State31UNLV21
200110/13UNLV31San Diego State3
200011/24San Diego State24UNLV31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UNLV753 Overs
San Diego State1756 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 95 - 52 - 33 - 2
Road Teams9 - 155 - 52 - 33 - 2

(#) SDSU at (#) UNLV
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSDSUUNLV
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #50 #116
Perf GradeGrade #34 #107
OffenseOff #54 #109
DefenseDef #21 #93
Spec TeamsST #18 #34
TalentTal #95 #108
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
San Diego State on Offense
CategoryCat
SDSU OffUNLV Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #54 #93
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #93 #104
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
San Diego State Run Game
CategoryCat
SDSU OffUNLV Def
Run GameRun #100 #70
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #18 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #107
San Diego State Pass Game
CategoryCat
SDSU OffUNLV Def
Pass GamePass #91 #97
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #16 #94
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UNLV on Offense
CategoryCatUNLV OffSDSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #109 #21
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #117 #12
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UNLV Run Game
CategoryCat
UNLV OffSDSU Def
Run GameRun #110 #55
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #65 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #48
UNLV Pass Game
CategoryCatUNLV OffSDSU Def
Pass GamePass #112 #13
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #123 #23
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNLV 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

SDSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Allegiant Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
San Diego State 11.0 (41.0)
San Diego State won at UNLV this year (28-20)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat San Diego State last year (41-20)
San Diego State beat UNLV in 2022 (14-10)

  
SDSU's OC Jeff Hecklinski (in his first season)
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View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC Kurt Mattix (in his first season)
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UNLV's OC Glenn Thomas (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UNLV's DC Peter Hansen (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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