UTSA at Illinois - 2021 Matchup Preview

UTSA Roadrunners at Illinois Fighting Illini

Saturday, September 4th 2021 (7:30 PM EDT)
Illinois -4.5 (52.0)
UTSA 37 - Illinois: 30

Roadrunners (12 - 2) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (10 - 5)
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (22 - 34 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -1.5 (SP+ UTSA -2)
Projected Score: UTSA: 24 - ILL: 31 (55)
ILL Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
UTSA Travel: 938 miles

Fighting Illini (5 - 7) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Bret Bielema (1 - 3)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (31 - 14 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UTSA Players
ILL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UTSA's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	UTSA at Illinois	+4.5	52.0	W 37 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/11	UTSA vs Lamar	-38.0	65.0	W 54 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/18	UTSA vs Middle Tennessee	-11.5	60.0	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/25	UTSA at Memphis	+3.0	66.5	W 31 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/2	UTSA vs UNLV	-21.5	55.5	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/9	UTSA at Western Kentucky	+3.5	71.0	W 52 - 46	O	Y
Sat 10/16	UTSA vs Rice	-17.0	53.0	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/23	UTSA at Louisiana Tech	-5.5	59.5	W 45 - 16	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	UTSA at UTEP	-12.0	53.5	W 44 - 23	O	Y
Sat 11/13	UTSA vs Southern Miss	-32.5	54.0	W 27 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/20	UTSA vs UAB	-3.5	54.0	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/27	UTSA at North Texas	-8.5	60.0	L 23 - 45	O	N
Fri 12/3	UTSA vs Western Kentucky	+3.0	74.5	W 49 - 41	O	Y
Tue 12/21	UTSA vs San Diego State	+3.0	48.0	L 24 - 38	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule

Illinois's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/28	Illinois vs Nebraska	+6.5	52.0	W 30 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/4	Illinois vs UTSA	-4.5	52.0	L 30 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/11	Illinois at Virginia	+10.5	57.0	L 14 - 42	U	N
Fri 9/17	Illinois vs Maryland	+7.0	61.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Illinois at Purdue	+10.5	53.5	L 9 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Illinois vs Charlotte	-10.0	54.0	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/9	Illinois vs Wisconsin	+12.5	42.0	L 0 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Illinois at Penn State	+24.5	46.0	W 20 - 18	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Illinois vs Rutgers	+1.5	41.5	L 14 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/6	Illinois at Minnesota	+14.5	44.5	W 14 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/20	Illinois at Iowa	+12.0	37.5	L 23 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Illinois vs Northwestern	-7.0	45.0	W 47 - 14	O	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTSA	.15	40%	35.5	39%	3.05	215	41%	200	3.7	.16	41%	28.8	44%	38%	3.57	66.9	1	1.6
ILL	.14	39%	29.4	43%	2.94	195	31%	153	2.92	.32	50%	23.6	49%	52%	4.44	50.1	1.1	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTSA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ILL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTSA Offense	12	35.5	21.7	39.7%	3.7	1	22	415	215	200	5.2	54%	46%	39%	41%	14%	.15
ILL Defense	8	23.6	14.4	50.4%	4.44	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	58%	42%	49%	52%	14%	.32

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTSA Defense	12	28.8	33.7	41.2%	3.57	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	44%	38%	18%	.16
ILL Offense	8	29.4	31.3	38.6%	2.92	1.1	18	348	195	153	4.8	61%	39%	43%	31%	16%	.14

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UTSA	12	29:32	21.8	44%	53%	7	66.9	1	1.6	7.1	2.1	1	29.2
Illinois	8	27:02	18	38%	47%	4.9	50.1	1.1	1.9	5.6	2.3	0	27.8

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense	12	54%	39%	41.3	215.4	5.2	24	.15	3.05	71%	9%	1.17
ILL Defense	8	58%	49%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.42	85%	10%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense	12	53%	44%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.88	81%	13%	0.96
ILL Offense	8	61%	43%	40.6	194.9	4.8	9	.16	2.94	74%	11%	1.11

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense	12	46%	41%	18.5	30.8	199.9	6.5	10.8	16	8	.16	1.6	31%	31%	.25	5%	2.1
ILL Defense	8	42%	52%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.47	1.5	25%	32%	.39	4%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense	12	47%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.21	1.7	33%	34%	.29	5%	1.7
ILL Offense	8	39%	31%	11.4	24.3	152.9	6.3	13.4	10	4	.12	1.9	35%	30%	.24	5%	2.1

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: NR
UTSA's Offense Rating: NR
UTSA's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UTSA's 2021 Expected Record: -
UTSA's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.5 #58
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #42
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #76

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA: Illinois: 4.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 6.5 Illinois: 4.3

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 4.65 NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Illinois's 2021 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #64
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #99
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #32

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

UTSA Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7

UTSA's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Illinois 31
UTSA 24

Projected Total Points: 55

Illinois Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.4

Illinois's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	09/04	Illinois	30	UTSA	37	Illinois -4.5	UTSA	52.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Illinois	0	0	1 Overs
UTSA	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) UTSA at (#) ILL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UTSA	ILL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#58	#64
Perf GradeGrade	#42	#53
OffenseOff	#34	#84
DefenseDef	#79	#39
Spec TeamsST	#55	#26
TalentTal	#77	#51
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

UTSA Injury Report

Illinois Injury Report

UTSA on Offense


CategoryCat	UTSA Off	ILL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#34	#39
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#42	#32
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UTSA Run Game


CategoryCat	UTSA Off	ILL Def
Run GameRun	#49	#78
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#56	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#12

UTSA Pass Game


CategoryCat	UTSA Off	ILL Def
Pass GamePass	#33	#24
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#94	#31
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Illinois on Offense


CategoryCat	ILL Off	UTSA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#84	#79
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#99	#76
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Illinois Run Game


CategoryCat	ILL Off	UTSA Def
Run GameRun	#77	#39
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#12	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#103

Illinois Pass Game


CategoryCat	ILL Off	UTSA Def
Pass GamePass	#127	#113
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#100	#50
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ILL 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

UTSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Illinois -4.5 (52.0)
UTSA won at Illinois this year (37-30)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

UTSA's OC Barry Lunney Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC Jess Loepp / Rod Wright (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ILL's OC Tony Petersen (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC Ryan Walters (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD