San Diego State at Cincinnati - 2015 Matchup Preview

San Diego State Aztecs vs Cincinnati Bearcats

Thursday, December 24th 2015 (8:00 PM EST)
Cincinnati -2.5 (0) Open: 0.0
San Diego State 42 - Cincinnati: 7 (HAWAI'I BOWL)

Aztecs (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 16 (30 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -0 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: SDSU: 30 - CIN: 32 (62)
CIN Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
SDSU Travel: 2613 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Bearcats (7 - 6) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 31 (42 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
SDSU Players
CIN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

San Diego State's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	San Diego State vs San Diego	-35.5
Sat 9/12	San Diego State at California	+9.0	59.0	L 7 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/19	San Diego State vs South Alabama	-15.5	47.5	L 27 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/26	San Diego State at Penn State	+12.0	40.0	L 21 - 37	O	N
Sat 10/3	San Diego State vs Fresno State	-9.5	51.5	W 21 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/10	San Diego State at Hawai'i	-2.0	47.0	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/17	San Diego State at San José State	+2.0	48.0	W 30 - 7	U	Y
Fri 10/23	San Diego State vs Utah State	+5.0	44.5	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/31	San Diego State at Colorado State	-2.0	52.0	W 41 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14	San Diego State vs Wyoming	-19.0	49.0	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/21	San Diego State at UNLV	-11.0	50.5	W 52 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/28	San Diego State vs Nevada	-14.0	48.5	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Sat 12/5	San Diego State vs Air Force	-3.5	46.5	W 27 - 24	O	N
Thu 12/24	San Diego State vs Cincinnati	+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule

Cincinnati's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Cincinnati vs Alabama A&M	-23.5
Sat 9/12	Cincinnati vs Temple	-6.5	55.5	L 26 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/19	Cincinnati at Miami (OH)	-19.0	59.5	W 37 - 33	O	N
Thu 9/24	Cincinnati at Memphis	+4.5	70.0	L 46 - 53	O	N
Thu 10/1	Cincinnati vs Miami	+5.0	70.0	W 34 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/16	Cincinnati at BYU	+7.0	68.0	L 24 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/24	Cincinnati vs UConn	-13.0	58.5	W 37 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/31	Cincinnati vs UCF	-20.5	61.5	W 52 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/7	Cincinnati at Houston	+9.0	70.5	L 30 - 33	U	Y
Sat 11/14	Cincinnati vs Tulsa	-16.0	76.5	W 49 - 38	O	N
Fri 11/20	Cincinnati at South Florida	-2.5	66.0	L 27 - 65	O	N
Sat 11/28	Cincinnati at East Carolina	-3.0	69.0	W 19 - 16	U	N
Thu 12/24	Cincinnati vs San Diego State	-2.5

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SDSU	.2	44%	32.1	44%	3.01	233	40%	142	3.78	.04	37%	16.4	37%	36%	2.39	58.1	0.9	2.4
CIN	.23	49%	33.8	47%	2.83	178	49%	360	3.71	.17	43%	31.2	44%	40%	3.41	72.9	2.5	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SDSU	#108 (.12)	37% (120)		37% (124)	3 (78)	129	38% (109)	206	3.44 (107)	#103 (.23)	46% (113)		49% (117)	43% (98)	4.28 (111)	81.8	0.8	1
CIN	#59 (.21)	45% (43)		44% (67)	3.03 (69)	185	45% (32)	237	3.33 (118)	#75 (.18)	42% (76)		46% (94)	39% (43)	3.51 (40)	44.4	1.5	1.2

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SDSU Offense	14	32.1	29.8	44.1%	3.78	0.9	19	375	233	142	4.8	69%	29%	44%	40%	3%	.2
CIN Defense	13	31.2	20.8	42.9%	3.41	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	44%	40%	2%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SDSU Defense	14	16.4	20.7	37.1%	2.39	2.4	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	37%	36%	5%	.04
CIN Offense	13	33.8	41.7	49.1%	3.71	2.5	28	538	178	360	4.5	44%	54%	47%	49%	3%	.23

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
San Diego State	14	32:41	18.6	42%	80%	6.4	58.1	0.9	2.4	0	0	8	32.9
Cincinnati	13	30:52	28.5	51%	64%	8	72.9	2.5	1.1	0	0	0	27.4

Run Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SDSU Offense	14	69%	44%	48.2	233.3	4.8	32	.15	3.01	72%	0%	0.98
CIN Defense	13	51%	44%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.16	65%	0%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SDSU Defense	14	53%	37%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.52	57%	0%	0.88
CIN Offense	13	44%	47%	39.4	177.9	4.5	25	.13	2.83	77%	0%	0.88

Pass Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SDSU Offense	14	29%	40%	10.1	18	142	7.9	14.1	17	3	.34	1.8	30%	34%	.4	3%	1.9
CIN Defense	13	47%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.22	1.6	32%	33%	.28	2%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SDSU Defense	14	46%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	23	.12	1.7	34%	24%	.09	5%	1.9
CIN Offense	13	54%	49%	26.2	42.1	359.9	8.6	13.7	29	22	.32	1.6	31%	39%	.35	3%	1.8

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: NR
San Diego State's Offense Rating: NR
San Diego State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
San Diego State's 2015 Expected Record: -
San Diego State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: Cincinnati: 0

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: Cincinnati:

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 0 NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Cincinnati's 2015 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 32.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 16.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.7

San Diego State's 2015 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Cincinnati 32
San Diego State 30

Total Points: 62

Based on Last 4 Games
Cincinnati 35
San Diego State 30

Total Points: 66

Based on Entire Season
San Diego State 29
Cincinnati 28

Total Points: 57

Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.7
Defense: 31.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.8

Cincinnati's 2015 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2015	12/24	Cincinnati	7	San Diego State	42	Cincinnati -2.5	San Diego State	0
2007	09/29	San Diego State	23	Cincinnati	52

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Cincinnati	1	0	0 Overs
San Diego State	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

San Diego State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2015	I Bowl	San Diego State vs Cincinnati	+2.5		W 42 - 7
2014	Poinsettia Bowl	San Diego State vs Navy	-3.5	51.0	L 16 - 17
2013	Potato Bowl	San Diego State vs Buffalo	+1.0	49.5	W 49 - 24
2012	Poinsettia Bowl	San Diego State vs BYU			L 6 - 23
2011	Orleans Bowl	San Diego State vs Louisiana			L 30 - 32
2010	Poinsettia Bowl	San Diego State vs Navy			W 35 - 14

Cincinnati Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2015	I Bowl	Cincinnati vs San Diego State	-2.5		L 7 - 42
2014	Military Bowl	Cincinnati vs Virginia Tech	-2.0	49.5	L 17 - 33
2013	Belk Bowl	Cincinnati vs North Carolina	+2.5	60.0	L 17 - 39
2012	Belk Bowl	Cincinnati vs Duke			W 48 - 34
2011	Liberty Bowl	Cincinnati vs Vanderbilt			W 31 - 24
2009	Sugar Bowl	Cincinnati vs Florida			L 24 - 51

(#) SDSU at (#) CIN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SDSU	CIN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#70	#71
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

San Diego State Injury Report

Cincinnati Injury Report

San Diego State on Offense


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	CIN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San Diego State Run Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	CIN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

San Diego State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	CIN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Cincinnati on Offense


CategoryCat	CIN Off	SDSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Cincinnati Run Game


CategoryCat	CIN Off	SDSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Cincinnati Pass Game


CategoryCat	CIN Off	SDSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CIN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

SDSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aloha Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 81° - Wind: 11 mph

Rematch from Week 1
Cincinnati -2.5 (0)
San Diego State won at Cincinnati this year (42-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

SDSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

CIN's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD