New Mexico at Wyoming - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 23rd 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Wyoming -20.0 (41.0)
New Mexico 14 - Wyoming: 3 (Mountain West)

Lobos (3 - 9) (1 - 11 - 0)
Coach Danny Gonzales (4 - 6)
Avg Score : 12 - 28 (7 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WYO 2nd straight Home Game
UNM is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -12 (SP+ WYO -19)
Projected Score: UNM: 14 - WYO: 25 (39)
WYO Win prob: 93% | Cover: 53%
UNM Travel: 435 miles

Cowboys (7 - 6) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Craig Bohl (41 - 44)
Avg Score : 25 - 24 (19 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNM Players
WYO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

New Mexico's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	New Mexico vs Houston Christian	-25.5	66.0	W 27 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/11	New Mexico vs New Mexico State	-19.5	55.5	W 34 - 25	O	N
Sat 9/18	New Mexico at Texas A&M	+30.5	49.5	L 0 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/25	New Mexico at UTEP	-2.5	53.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/2	New Mexico vs Air Force	+11.5	46.0	L 10 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/9	New Mexico at San Diego State	+19.5	42.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/16	New Mexico vs Colorado State	+13.0	44.5	L 7 - 36	U	N
Sat 10/23	New Mexico at Wyoming	+20.0	41.0	W 14 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	New Mexico vs UNLV	-1.5	45.0	L 17 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/13	New Mexico at Fresno State	+24.0	51.0	L 7 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/20	New Mexico at Boise State	+27.5	48.0	L 0 - 37	U	N
Fri 11/26	New Mexico vs Utah State	+17.0	48.0	L 10 - 35	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule

Wyoming's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Wyoming vs Montana State	-19.0	45.0	W 19 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/11	Wyoming at Northern Illinois	-7.0	44.0	W 50 - 43	O	N
Sat 9/18	Wyoming vs Ball State	-6.5	53.5	W 45 - 12	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Wyoming at UConn	-31.5	53.5	W 24 - 22	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9	Wyoming at Air Force	+5.5	46.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/16	Wyoming vs Fresno State	+3.0	53.5	L 0 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/23	Wyoming vs New Mexico	-20.0	41.0	L 3 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/30	Wyoming at San José State	+3.0	40.0	L 21 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/6	Wyoming vs Colorado State	+3.0	41.5	W 31 - 17	O	Y
Fri 11/12	Wyoming at Boise State	+14.0	49.0	L 13 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Wyoming at Utah State	+6.0	52.0	W 44 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Wyoming vs Hawai'i	-13.0	48.5	L 14 - 38	O	N
Tue 12/21	Wyoming vs Kent State	-3.0	61.0	W 52 - 38	O	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNM	-.08	28%	12.2	31%	2.25	120	25%	114	2.15	.22	42%	28.4	45%	40%	3.92	57.1	1.7	1.2
WYO	.22	44%	25.4	47%	3.26	212	40%	163	3.79	.17	41%	23.7	42%	41%	3.2	44.9	1.4	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNM	#14 (.31)	49% (10)		53% (3)	3.81 (1)	254	44% (40)	231	3.83 (79)	#132 (.34)	50% (132)		50% (125)	51% (131)	4.64 (128)	81.5	1.6	0.8
WYO	#127 (.05)	36% (126)		39% (111)	2.64 (122)	138	34% (125)	189	3.07 (126)	#102 (.23)	44% (96)		43% (70)	45% (113)	3.97 (86)	49.6	1.3	0.9

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNM Offense	12	12.2	6.8	28.4%	2.15	1.7	14	234	120	114	3.1	59%	41%	31%	25%	21%	-.08
WYO Defense	13	23.7	19	41.2%	3.2	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	56%	44%	42%	41%	13%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNM Defense	12	28.4	26.5	42.4%	3.92	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	45%	40%	16%	.22
WYO Offense	13	25.4	18.7	44.3%	3.79	1.4	19	374	212	163	5.1	61%	39%	47%	40%	14%	.22

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
New Mexico	12	29:51	13.8	25%	33%	6.9	57.1	1.7	1.2	5.2	2.1	1	25.9
Wyoming	13	29:56	18.5	43%	35%	5.1	44.9	1.4	1.4	4.4	1.8	4	28.1

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNM Offense	12	59%	31%	38.8	119.5	3.1	5	-.08	2.25	57%	18%	1.02
WYO Defense	13	56%	42%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.27	72%	7%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNM Defense	12	53%	45%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.05	69%	10%	0.93
WYO Offense	13	61%	47%	41.8	211.7	5.1	24	.23	3.26	77%	9%	1.04

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNM Offense	12	41%	25%	11.9	21.7	114.1	5.3	9.6	10	8	-.03	1.6	37%	15%	-.02	4%	2
WYO Defense	13	44%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.22	1.6	33%	31%	.3	6%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNM Defense	12	46%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.32	1.8	33%	29%	.35	6%	2.2
WYO Offense	13	39%	40%	12.5	22.8	162.7	7.1	13.1	15	12	.21	1.6	30%	28%	.35	6%	2.1

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico's 2021 Expected Record: -
New Mexico's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.6 #121
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 11.6 #131
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #95

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: Wyoming: 2.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -18.6 Wyoming: 0.6

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: 2.8 NR
Wyoming's Offense Rating: NR
Wyoming's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Wyoming's 2021 Expected Record: -
Wyoming's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.6 #76
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #87
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5 #41

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 12.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 6.8
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.5

New Mexico's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 1 - 11 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Wyoming 25
New Mexico 14

Total Points: 39

Based on Last 4 Games
Wyoming 25
New Mexico 13

Total Points: 38

Based on Entire Season
Wyoming 25
New Mexico 15

Total Points: 40

Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 25.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.7
Defense: 23.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19

Wyoming's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/02	New Mexico	45	Wyoming	49	New Mexico -7.5	Wyoming	60.5	Over
2023	09/30	Wyoming	35	New Mexico	26	Wyoming -14.5	New Mexico	40.5	Over
2022	10/08	New Mexico	14	Wyoming	27	Wyoming -3	Wyoming	37.0	Over
2021	10/23	Wyoming	3	New Mexico	14	Wyoming -20.0	New Mexico	41.0	Under
2020	12/05	New Mexico	17	Wyoming	16	Wyoming -18	New Mexico	52.0	Under
2019	10/19	Wyoming	23	New Mexico	10	Wyoming -17.5	New Mexico	49.0	Under
2018	11/24	New Mexico	3	Wyoming	31	Wyoming -7	Wyoming	43.0	Under
2017	10/28	Wyoming	42	New Mexico	3	Wyoming -2.5	Wyoming	47.0	Under
2016	11/26	New Mexico	56	Wyoming	35	Wyoming -2	New Mexico	65.0	Over
2015	09/26	Wyoming	28	New Mexico	38	New Mexico -2.5	New Mexico	58.5	Over
2014	11/29	New Mexico	36	Wyoming	30	New Mexico -6	Push	0
2013	10/12	Wyoming	38	New Mexico	31	Wyoming -14.5	New Mexico	0
2012	11/10	New Mexico	23	Wyoming	28
2011	11/19	Wyoming	31	New Mexico	10
2010	11/06	New Mexico	34	Wyoming	31
2009	10/10	Wyoming	37	New Mexico	13
2008	10/04	New Mexico	24	Wyoming	0
2007	10/13	Wyoming	3	New Mexico	20
2006	10/07	New Mexico	10	Wyoming	14
2005	10/15	Wyoming	24	New Mexico	27
2004	11/20	New Mexico	16	Wyoming	9
2003	11/22	Wyoming	3	New Mexico	26
2001	10/06	Wyoming	29	New Mexico	30
2000	09/29	New Mexico	45	Wyoming	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wyoming	11	4	5 Overs
New Mexico	13	7	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 11	3 - 8	1 - 5	2 - 3
Road Teams	11 - 13	8 - 3	3 - 2	5 - 1

(#) UNM at (#) WYO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNM	WYO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#121	#76
Perf GradeGrade	#127	#32
OffenseOff	#132	#38
DefenseDef	#111	#19
Spec TeamsST	#110	#123
TalentTal	#112	#120
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

New Mexico Injury Report

Wyoming Injury Report

New Mexico on Offense


CategoryCat	UNM Off	WYO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#132	#19
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#131	#41
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico Run Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	WYO Def
Run GameRun	#136	#35
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#102	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#81

New Mexico Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	WYO Def
Pass GamePass	#126	#9
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#86	#55
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Wyoming on Offense


CategoryCat	WYO Off	UNM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#38	#111
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#87	#95
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wyoming Run Game


CategoryCat	WYO Off	UNM Def
Run GameRun	#29	#119
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#27	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#63

Wyoming Pass Game


CategoryCat	WYO Off	UNM Def
Pass GamePass	#118	#66
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#37	#82
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WYO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

UNM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in War Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
Wyoming -20.0 (41.0)
New Mexico won at Wyoming this year (14-3)

Previous Matchups
Wyoming beat New Mexico last year (49-45)
Wyoming beat New Mexico in 2023 (35-26)
Wyoming beat New Mexico in 2022 (27-14)

UNM's OC Drew Mehringer (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC Rocky Long (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

WYO's OC Tim Polasek (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Wyoming's Full Roster

WYO's DC Jay Sawvel (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD