UNLV at New Mexico - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 6th 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
New Mexico -1.5 (45.0)
UNLV 31 - New Mexico: 17 (Mountain West)

Rebels (2 - 10) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Marcus Arroyo (0 - 9)
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (35 - 29 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNLV 2nd straight Road Game
UNM coming off BYE
UNLV is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -0 (SP+ UNLV -5)
Projected Score: UNLV: 27 - UNM: 28 (55)
UNM Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
UNLV Travel: 484 miles, 1 hrs behind

Lobos (3 - 9) (1 - 11 - 0)
Coach Danny Gonzales (4 - 6)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (28 - 19 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNLV Players
UNM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UNLV's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	UNLV vs Eastern Washington	+2.0	66.0	L 33 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/11	UNLV at Arizona State	+34.5	55.5	L 10 - 37	U	Y
Sat 9/18	UNLV vs Iowa State	+32.0	53.0	L 3 - 48	U	N
Fri 9/24	UNLV at Fresno State	+30.0	59.0	L 30 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/2	UNLV at UTSA	+21.5	55.5	L 17 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	UNLV vs Utah State	+7.5	64.0	L 24 - 28	U	Y
Thu 10/21	UNLV vs San José State	+6.0	44.0	L 20 - 27	O	N
Fri 10/29	UNLV at Nevada	+19.0	58.0	L 20 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/6	UNLV at New Mexico	+1.5	45.0	W 31 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/13	UNLV vs Hawai'i	+3.5	55.5	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Fri 11/19	UNLV vs San Diego State	+11.0	41.0	L 20 - 28	O	Y
Fri 11/26	UNLV at Air Force	+18.5	49.5	L 14 - 48	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule

New Mexico's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	New Mexico vs Houston Christian	-25.5	66.0	W 27 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/11	New Mexico vs New Mexico State	-19.5	55.5	W 34 - 25	O	N
Sat 9/18	New Mexico at Texas A&M	+30.5	49.5	L 0 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/25	New Mexico at UTEP	-2.5	53.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/2	New Mexico vs Air Force	+11.5	46.0	L 10 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/9	New Mexico at San Diego State	+19.5	42.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/16	New Mexico vs Colorado State	+13.0	44.5	L 7 - 36	U	N
Sat 10/23	New Mexico at Wyoming	+20.0	41.0	W 14 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	New Mexico vs UNLV	-1.5	45.0	L 17 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/13	New Mexico at Fresno State	+24.0	51.0	L 7 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/20	New Mexico at Boise State	+27.5	48.0	L 0 - 37	U	N
Fri 11/26	New Mexico vs Utah State	+17.0	48.0	L 10 - 35	U	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNLV	.11	38%	34.1	43%	3.06	140	33%	186	3.04	.34	48%	28	54%	41%	4.13	54	1.5	0.8
UNM	.11	40%	27.1	46%	3.14	196	33%	198	2.75	.25	45%	22.3	46%	43%	3.39	57.7	1.3	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNLV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNLV Offense	6	34.1	34.7	37.7%	3.04	1.5	19	326	140	186	3.8	46%	54%	43%	33%	22%	.11
UNM Defense	7	22.3	18.7	44.6%	3.39	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	46%	43%	15%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNLV Defense	6	28	29.3	47.9%	4.13	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	54%	41%	13%	.34
UNM Offense	7	27.1	28.3	40%	2.75	1.3	22	394	196	198	4.7	55%	45%	46%	33%	16%	.11

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UNLV	6	29:16	18.7	37%	67%	6.5	54	1.5	0.8	5.2	2.3	0	26
New Mexico	7	30:23	21.7	43%	25%	6	57.7	1.3	1.9	4.7	2	0	35.3

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense	6	46%	43%	37.2	140.2	3.8	7	.16	3.06	90%	15%	1.1
UNM Defense	7	50%	46%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.19	62%	10%	1.01

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense	6	54%	54%	-	-	-	-	.41	3.56	72%	9%	1.17
UNM Offense	7	55%	46%	41.3	195.7	4.7	12	.16	3.14	59%	10%	1.04

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense	6	54%	33%	19.2	32.7	185.8	5.7	9.7	6	4	.06	1.4	36%	28%	.27	7%	2
UNM Defense	7	50%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.38	1.7	28%	30%	.55	5%	2.5

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense	6	46%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	.25	1.6	30%	34%	.45	4%	2.2
UNM Offense	7	45%	33%	17.4	30.7	198	6.5	11.4	8	6	.04	1.5	30%	30%	.22	5%	1.8

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: NR
UNLV's Offense Rating: NR
UNLV's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UNLV's 2021 Expected Record: -
UNLV's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.8 #116
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #117
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #104

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV: New Mexico: -6.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -13.8 New Mexico: -18.6

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -6.8 NR
New Mexico's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
New Mexico's 2021 Expected Record: -
New Mexico's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.6 #121
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 11.6 #131
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #95

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.7
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

UNLV's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
New Mexico 28
UNLV 27

Projected Total Points: 55

New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

New Mexico's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 1 - 11 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	UNLV	35	New Mexico	40	UNLV -3.5	New Mexico	61.5	Over
2023	11/04	New Mexico	14	UNLV	56	UNLV -10	UNLV	61.0	Over
2022	09/30	UNLV	31	New Mexico	20	UNLV -14	New Mexico	44.0	Over
2021	11/06	New Mexico	17	UNLV	31	New Mexico -1.5	UNLV	45.0	Over
2018	10/06	UNLV	14	New Mexico	50	UNLV -8	New Mexico	62.5	Over
2017	11/17	New Mexico	35	UNLV	38	New Mexico -3	UNLV	55.5	Over
2014	11/01	UNLV	28	New Mexico	31	UNLV -1	New Mexico	62.0	Under
2013	09/28	New Mexico	42	UNLV	56	New Mexico -1	UNLV	0
2012	11/03	UNLV	35	New Mexico	7
2011	11/12	New Mexico	21	UNLV	14
2010	09/25	UNLV	45	New Mexico	10
2009	10/24	New Mexico	17	UNLV	34
2008	11/08	UNLV	27	New Mexico	20
2007	11/24	New Mexico	27	UNLV	6
2006	10/14	UNLV	36	New Mexico	39
2005	09/05	New Mexico	24	UNLV	22
2004	10/16	UNLV	20	New Mexico	24
2003	11/01	New Mexico	35	UNLV	37
2002	10/12	UNLV	16	New Mexico	25
2001	11/10	New Mexico	27	UNLV	17
2000	11/10	UNLV	18	New Mexico	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
New Mexico	10	4	6 Overs
UNLV	11	4	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 12	0 - 8	0 - 7	0 - 1
Road Teams	12 - 9	8 - 0	1 - 0	7 - 0

(#) UNLV at (#) UNM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNLV	UNM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#116	#121
Perf GradeGrade	#107	#127
OffenseOff	#109	#132
DefenseDef	#93	#111
Spec TeamsST	#34	#110
TalentTal	#108	#112
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

UNLV Injury Report

New Mexico Injury Report

UNLV on Offense


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	UNM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#109	#111
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#117	#95
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UNLV Run Game


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	UNM Def
Run GameRun	#110	#119
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#65	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#63

UNLV Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	UNM Def
Pass GamePass	#112	#66
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#123	#82
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

New Mexico on Offense


CategoryCat	UNM Off	UNLV Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#132	#93
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#131	#104
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico Run Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	UNLV Def
Run GameRun	#136	#70
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#102	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#107

New Mexico Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	UNLV Def
Pass GamePass	#126	#97
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#86	#94
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UNM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Poor G5

UNLV 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
New Mexico -1.5 (45.0)
UNLV won at New Mexico this year (31-17)

Previous Matchups
New Mexico beat UNLV last year (40-35)
UNLV beat New Mexico in 2023 (56-14)

UNLV's OC Glenn Thomas (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Peter Hansen (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UNM's OC Drew Mehringer (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC Rocky Long (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD