Colorado State at New Mexico - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 16th 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
Colorado State -13 (44.5)
Colorado State 36 - New Mexico: 7 (Mountain West)

Rams (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Steve Addazio (2 - 5)
Avg Score : 19 - 31 (17 - 36 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNM is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -5.5 (SP+ CSU -16)
Projected Score: CSU: 19 - UNM: 31 (50)
CSU Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
CSU Travel: 389 miles

Lobos (3 - 9) (1 - 11 - 0)
Coach Danny Gonzales (4 - 6)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (28 - 19 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CSU Players
UNM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Colorado State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Colorado State vs South Dakota State	-2.5	50.5	L 23 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/11	Colorado State vs Vanderbilt	-6.5	52.5	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/18	Colorado State at Toledo	+14.5	59.0	W 22 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Colorado State at Iowa	+24.0	43.5	L 14 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9	Colorado State vs San José State	-3.5	44.0	W 32 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Colorado State at New Mexico	-13.0	44.5	W 36 - 7	U	Y
Fri 10/22	Colorado State at Utah State	-3.0	58.5	L 24 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/30	Colorado State vs Boise State	+2.0	51.5	L 19 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/6	Colorado State at Wyoming	-3.0	41.5	L 17 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/13	Colorado State vs Air Force	+3.0	45.0	L 21 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/20	Colorado State at Hawai'i	-3.0	54.0	L 45 - 50	O	N
Sat 11/27	Colorado State vs Nevada	+3.0	57.5	L 10 - 52	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule

New Mexico's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	New Mexico vs Houston Christian	-25.5	66.0	W 27 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/11	New Mexico vs New Mexico State	-19.5	55.5	W 34 - 25	O	N
Sat 9/18	New Mexico at Texas A&M	+30.5	49.5	L 0 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/25	New Mexico at UTEP	-2.5	53.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/2	New Mexico vs Air Force	+11.5	46.0	L 10 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/9	New Mexico at San Diego State	+19.5	42.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/16	New Mexico vs Colorado State	+13.0	44.5	L 7 - 36	U	N
Sat 10/23	New Mexico at Wyoming	+20.0	41.0	W 14 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	New Mexico vs UNLV	-1.5	45.0	L 17 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/13	New Mexico at Fresno State	+24.0	51.0	L 7 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/20	New Mexico at Boise State	+27.5	48.0	L 0 - 37	U	N
Fri 11/26	New Mexico vs Utah State	+17.0	48.0	L 10 - 35	U	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CSU	.04	33%	18.5	33%	2.24	124	33%	195	3.3	.17	38%	30.8	33%	44%	4.04	49.8	1	1.3
UNM	.11	40%	27.1	46%	3.14	196	33%	198	2.75	.25	45%	22.3	46%	43%	3.39	57.7	1.3	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CSU Offense	4	18.5	16.6	33.2%	3.3	1	17	319	124	195	3.2	53%	47%	33%	33%	21%	.04
UNM Defense	7	22.3	18.7	44.6%	3.39	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	46%	43%	15%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CSU Defense	4	30.8	36	38.3%	4.04	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	33%	44%	19%	.17
UNM Offense	7	27.1	28.3	40%	2.75	1.3	22	394	196	198	4.7	55%	45%	46%	33%	16%	.11

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Colorado State	4	24:33	17	20%	38%	6	49.8	1	1.3	10.5	4	1	31.8
New Mexico	7	30:23	21.7	43%	25%	6	57.7	1.3	1.9	4.7	2	0	35.3

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CSU Offense	4	53%	33%	38.8	124	3.2	6	-.02	2.24	62%	15%	1.04
UNM Defense	7	50%	46%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.19	62%	10%	1.01

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CSU Defense	4	53%	33%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.1	65%	16%	1.02
UNM Offense	7	55%	46%	41.3	195.7	4.7	12	.16	3.14	59%	10%	1.04

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CSU Offense	4	47%	33%	14.8	29.5	194.8	6.6	13.2	4	3	.11	1.9	37%	22%	.05	6%	2.2
UNM Defense	7	50%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.38	1.7	28%	30%	.55	5%	2.5

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CSU Defense	4	47%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	.35	1.7	37%	32%	.37	3%	2.1
UNM Offense	7	45%	33%	17.4	30.7	198	6.5	11.4	8	6	.04	1.5	30%	30%	.22	5%	1.8

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: NR
Colorado State's Offense Rating: NR
Colorado State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Colorado State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Colorado State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.4 #87
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #98
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #59

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: New Mexico: -6.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -2.4 New Mexico: -18.6

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -6.8 NR
New Mexico's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
New Mexico's 2021 Expected Record: -
New Mexico's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.6 #121
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 11.6 #131
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #95

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 18.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.6
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36

Colorado State's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
New Mexico 31
Colorado State 19

Projected Total Points: 50

New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

New Mexico's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 1 - 11 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/15	New Mexico	20	Colorado State	17	New Mexico -15.5	Colorado State	53.5	Under
2024	10/26	Colorado State	17	New Mexico	6	Colorado State -3.5	Colorado State	62.0	Under
2022	11/25	Colorado State	17	New Mexico	0	Colorado State -7.5	Colorado State	36.0	Under
2021	10/16	New Mexico	7	Colorado State	36	Colorado State -13	Colorado State	44.5	Under
2019	10/11	New Mexico	21	Colorado State	35	Colorado State -4	Colorado State	66.5	Under
2018	10/13	Colorado State	20	New Mexico	18	New Mexico -1.5	Colorado State	63.0	Under
2017	10/20	New Mexico	24	Colorado State	27	Colorado State -10	New Mexico	61.0	Under
2016	11/19	Colorado State	49	New Mexico	31	Colorado State -5	Colorado State	61.5	Over
2015	11/21	New Mexico	21	Colorado State	28	Colorado State -2	Colorado State	56.5	Under
2014	11/22	Colorado State	58	New Mexico	20	Colorado State -21	Colorado State	0
2013	11/16	New Mexico	42	Colorado State	66	Colorado State -4	Colorado State	0
2012	11/24	Colorado State	24	New Mexico	20
2011	09/03	New Mexico	10	Colorado State	14
2010	10/30	Colorado State	38	New Mexico	14
2009	11/21	New Mexico	29	Colorado State	27
2008	11/15	Colorado State	20	New Mexico	6
2007	11/10	New Mexico	26	Colorado State	23
2006	10/28	Colorado State	19	New Mexico	20
2005	10/28	New Mexico	25	Colorado State	35
2004	10/30	Colorado State	17	New Mexico	26
2003	11/07	New Mexico	37	Colorado State	34
2001	11/17	New Mexico	17	Colorado State	24
2000	10/06	Colorado State	17	New Mexico	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
New Mexico	6	1	1 Overs
Colorado State	17	10	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 10	6 - 5	4 - 1	2 - 4
Road Teams	10 - 13	5 - 6	4 - 2	1 - 4

(#) CSU at (#) UNM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CSU	UNM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#87	#121
Perf GradeGrade	#67	#127
OffenseOff	#79	#132
DefenseDef	#47	#111
Spec TeamsST	#117	#110
TalentTal	#93	#112
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Colorado State Injury Report

New Mexico Injury Report

Colorado State on Offense


CategoryCat	CSU Off	UNM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#79	#111
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#98	#95
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Colorado State Run Game


CategoryCat	CSU Off	UNM Def
Run GameRun	#123	#119
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#94	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#63

Colorado State Pass Game


CategoryCat	CSU Off	UNM Def
Pass GamePass	#38	#66
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#105	#82
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

New Mexico on Offense


CategoryCat	UNM Off	CSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#132	#47
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#131	#59
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico Run Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	CSU Def
Run GameRun	#136	#60
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#102	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#46

New Mexico Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	CSU Def
Pass GamePass	#126	#69
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#86	#12
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UNM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Poor G5

CSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
Colorado State 13.0 (44.5)
Colorado State won at New Mexico this year (36-7)

Previous Matchups
New Mexico beat Colorado State last year (20-17)
Colorado State beat New Mexico in 2024 (17-6)

CSU's OC Jon Budmayr (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Colorado State's Full Roster

CSU's DC Chuck Heater (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UNM's OC Drew Mehringer (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC Rocky Long (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD