New Mexico at Texas A&M - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 18th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Texas A&M -30.5 (49.5)
Texas A&M 34 - New Mexico: 0

Lobos (3 - 9) (1 - 11 - 0)
Coach Danny Gonzales (4 - 6)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (28 - 26 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -22.5 (SP+ TA&M -40)
Projected Score: UNM: 23 - TA&M: 28 (51)
TA&M Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
UNM Travel: 671 miles, 1 hrs behind

Aggies (8 - 4) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jimbo Fisher (29 - 10)
Avg Score : 34 - 21 (31 - 15 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNM Players
TA&M Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

New Mexico's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	New Mexico vs Houston Christian	-25.5	66.0	W 27 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/11	New Mexico vs New Mexico State	-19.5	55.5	W 34 - 25	O	N
Sat 9/18	New Mexico at Texas A&M	+30.5	49.5	L 0 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/25	New Mexico at UTEP	-2.5	53.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/2	New Mexico vs Air Force	+11.5	46.0	L 10 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/9	New Mexico at San Diego State	+19.5	42.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/16	New Mexico vs Colorado State	+13.0	44.5	L 7 - 36	U	N
Sat 10/23	New Mexico at Wyoming	+20.0	41.0	W 14 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	New Mexico vs UNLV	-1.5	45.0	L 17 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/13	New Mexico at Fresno State	+24.0	51.0	L 7 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/20	New Mexico at Boise State	+27.5	48.0	L 0 - 37	U	N
Fri 11/26	New Mexico vs Utah State	+17.0	48.0	L 10 - 35	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule

Texas A&M's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Texas A&M vs Kent State	-29.5	67.0	W 41 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Texas A&M vs Colorado	-17.5	51.0	W 10 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/18	Texas A&M vs New Mexico	-30.5	49.5	W 34 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Texas A&M vs Arkansas	-4.5	47.0	L 10 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/2	Texas A&M vs Mississippi State	-7.0	45.5	L 22 - 26	O	N
Sat 10/9	Texas A&M vs Alabama	+18.5	50.5	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Texas A&M at Missouri	-11.5	59.0	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Texas A&M vs South Carolina	-19.0	46.0	W 44 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	Texas A&M vs Auburn	-4.5	49.5	W 20 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Texas A&M at Ole Miss	-1.0	57.5	L 19 - 29	U	N
Sat 11/20	Texas A&M vs Prairie View A&M	-41.5	50.0	W 52 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Texas A&M at LSU	-6.0	47.0	L 24 - 27	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNM	.11	40%	27.1	46%	3.14	196	33%	198	2.75	.25	45%	22.3	46%	43%	3.39	57.7	1.3	1.9
TA&M	.28	49%	33.8	51%	3.17	205	48%	227	3.92	.13	39%	21	38%	40%	3.63	56.4	0.8	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TA&M		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNM Offense	7	27.1	27.5	40%	2.75	1.3	22	394	196	198	4.7	55%	45%	46%	33%	16%	.11
TA&M Defense	10	21	15.3	39.3%	3.63	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	42%	58%	38%	40%	19%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNM Defense	7	22.3	26.3	44.6%	3.39	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	46%	43%	15%	.25
TA&M Offense	10	33.8	31.1	49.4%	3.92	0.8	23	432	205	227	5.5	53%	47%	51%	48%	13%	.28

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
New Mexico	7	30:23	21.7	43%	25%	6	57.7	1.3	1.9	4.7	2	0	35.3
Texas A&M	10	33:47	23.2	55%	38%	6.1	56.4	0.8	1.4	6.3	2.7	1	29.9

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNM Offense	7	55%	46%	41.3	195.7	4.7	12	.16	3.14	59%	10%	1.04
TA&M Defense	10	42%	38%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.97	74%	11%	0.83

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNM Defense	7	50%	46%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.19	62%	10%	1.01
TA&M Offense	10	53%	51%	37.4	205	5.5	21	.21	3.17	80%	7%	0.92

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNM Offense	7	45%	33%	17.4	30.7	198	6.5	11.4	8	6	.04	1.5	30%	30%	.22	5%	1.8
TA&M Defense	10	58%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.21	1.7	34%	26%	.22	7%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNM Defense	7	50%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.38	1.7	28%	30%	.55	5%	2.5
TA&M Offense	10	47%	48%	18.9	30.1	226.7	7.5	12	20	4	.37	1.5	30%	39%	.39	6%	1.8

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico's 2021 Expected Record: -
New Mexico's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.6 #121
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 11.6 #131
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #95

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: Texas A&M: 13.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -18.6 Texas A&M: 21.1

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 13.05 NR
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: NR
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Texas A&M's 2021 Expected Record: -
Texas A&M's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.1 #6
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #35
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.9 #7

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.3

New Mexico's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 1 - 11 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Texas A&M 28
New Mexico 23

Projected Total Points: 51

Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.1
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.3

Texas A&M's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/02	Texas A&M	52	New Mexico	10	Texas A&M -37.5	Texas A&M	48.5	Over
2021	09/18	Texas A&M	34	New Mexico	0	Texas A&M -30.5	Texas A&M	49.5	Under
2017	11/11	Texas A&M	55	New Mexico	14	Texas A&M -18.5	Texas A&M	51.5	Over
2009	09/05	Texas A&M	41	New Mexico	6
2008	09/06	New Mexico	22	Texas A&M	28

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas A&M	5	3	2 Overs
New Mexico	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 1	3 - 0	3 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 4	0 - 3	0 - 0	0 - 3

(#) UNM at (#) TA&M

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNM	TA&M
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#121	#6
Perf GradeGrade	#127	#22
OffenseOff	#132	#43
DefenseDef	#111	#21
Spec TeamsST	#110	#60
TalentTal	#112	#7
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

New Mexico Injury Report

Texas A&M Injury Report

New Mexico on Offense


CategoryCat	UNM Off	TA&M Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#132	#21
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#131	#7
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico Run Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	TA&M Def
Run GameRun	#136	#27
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#102	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#22

New Mexico Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	TA&M Def
Pass GamePass	#126	#31
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#86	#46
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Texas A&M on Offense


CategoryCat	TA&M Off	UNM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#43	#111
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#35	#95
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas A&M Run Game


CategoryCat	TA&M Off	UNM Def
Run GameRun	#9	#119
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#28	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#63

Texas A&M Pass Game


CategoryCat	TA&M Off	UNM Def
Pass GamePass	#43	#66
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#108	#82
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TA&M 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

UNM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kyle Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 3
Texas A&M -30.5 (49.5)
Texas A&M won vs New Mexico this year (34-0)

Previous Matchups
Texas A&M beat New Mexico in 2023 (52-10)

UNM's OC Drew Mehringer (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC Rocky Long (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TA&M's OC Darrell Dickey (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC Mike Elko (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD